== $ == Banks Orders Book == $ ==

[Abo Abdullah]

مجهوووود عظيم اخي ابو عبدالله ،جزاك الله كل خير

لي طلب صغير هل ممكن تضع رابط موقع 4cast

الله يبارك فيك يالغالي ونورت الموضوع , وفقك الله ورزقك ان شاء الله .

تم الرد على الخاص

[Abo Abdullah]

Aussie option coming into focus

Now with the dollar making a move with USD/JPY taking out 98.00 and cable and the euro on the slide, AUD/USD is slipping towards an option at 0.9100. It’s around $500m in size which is fairly substantial for this pair. Just worth bearing in mind if we slip further.

[Abo Abdullah]

Propareos levels (areas where probabilities of price action reversal or saturation reach 90%):
•
EURUSD: 1.3415-1.3430 on the upside, 1.3205-1.3220 on the downside.
•
AUDUSD: 0.9240-0.9255 on the upside, 0.9115-0.9130 on the downside.
•
USDJPY: 97.90-98.05 on the upside, 96.75-96.90 on the downside.
•
GBPUSD: 1.5715-1.57300 on the upside, 1.5475-1.5490 on the downside.
•
USDCAD: 1.0365-1.0380 on the upside, 1.0260-1.0275 on the downside.
•
NZDUSD: 0.8165-0.8180 on the upside, 0.8025-0.8040 on the downside.
•
EURJPY: 130.50-130.65 on the upside, 129.35-129.50 on the downside.
•
EURGBP: 0.8560-0.8575 on the upside, 0.8475-0.8490 on the downside.
•
USDCHF: 0.9295-0.9310 on the upside, 0.9180-0.9195 on the downside.
•
AUDJPY: 90.15-90.30 on the upside, 88.95-89.00 on the downside.
•
EURAUD: 1.4605-1.4620 on the upside, 1.4400-1.4415 on the downside.

Warning! Propareos levels do not take into account fundamental developments. Their validity is reduced on days when the NFP is released and when Central Banks change their interest rate.

[Abo Abdullah]

US Market Report

EURUSD-sovereign accounts offers at 1.3380 and talk of heavy
offers up to 1.3420 with stops above up to 1.3450

GBP/USD- Barrier protection talk ahead of 1.5700 and
Large 1.5700 expiry for today's NY cut.

AUD/USD- more stop at 0.9120/30 , good size demand at 0.9100/0.9090

USD/JPY- 98.00 Option expiry 10am

EUR/JPY- stops at 131.10 , good size offer at 131.30

[Abo Abdullah]

EU Specs looking for GAINS

EUR/USD bias remains on the upside in coming sessions, judging by a recent switch in IMM sentiment. Data published on Friday show that speculative sentiment is now for a higher EUR/USD. In cash terms, the net positive 15,299 contracts is just under 2 yards of EUR/USD in size. That is not particularly big, but it is the highest it's been since the end of June. In fact, for most of July IMM specs were positioned short of EUR/USD. This shows that while the bias is definately for more gains, the size of long positions is not a hinderance to bulls. Chart: http://link.reuters.com/wed52v Martin.Miller at thomsonreuters com

[Abo Abdullah]

Chinese broker Everbright Securities Reuters is now reporting that they’re being forced to sell assets to cover potential losses incurred.

The trading system error on Friday left them long of USD 1 bln in mainland shares which the regulators say they can’t sell for 3 months. Add to that the undoubted compensation claims coming in from less than happy investors .

Board member Mei Jian has said today:

“We will use our own funds, disposal of securities assets and utilise other financing channels to resolve any future liquidty problems”

Interestingly many observers are now pointing to an inherent flaw in the market trading systems with the official Chinese Securities Journal today saying that the malfunction has exposed major flaws in how the Chinese stock exchanges are run.

[Abo Abdullah]

Leveraged account names eager to sell AUD/USD with offers close by at .9150 through .9160 in good size

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD

[Abo Abdullah]

US leveraged name noted buying USD/JPY

[Abo Abdullah]

The Fed will taper because it doesn’t have a choice

Fed hawks are pointing to financial risk as the reason for tapering rather than the economy or inflation.

Now there is more evidence. Rick Rieder, the chief investment officer for fundamental fixed-income at Blackrock (the world’s largest asset manager) was on Bloomberg TV saying “QE is too big. You’ve got to taper down QE, it’s created this tremendous distortion in interest rates.”

They see 10-year yields moving up to 3% to 3.25% from 2.86% today.

[Abo Abdullah]

Barclays - Outlooks & Strategies For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, & AUD/USD

The following are the latest technical outlooks and strategies for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD as provided by the technical strategy team at Barclays Capital.

EUR/USD: The USD is caught between strengthening forces against EM and weakening potential against some commodity currencies. Meanwhile, EUR/USD is caught in range between 1.3200 and 1.3420. We are looking to sell rallies within range.

USD/JPY: We expect 99.30/70 to cap rallies this week as price chops slowly lower towards 96.00. In the very short term, we are prepared to be patient, looking to sell bounces rather than chasing weakness.

GBP/USD: We are looking to scale into a short position. A move above 1.5775 (or a close above 1.5750) would prove our view incorrect. Until then, we expect a return to 1.5420 and potentially lower.

AUD/USD: Upside risks are increasing as a position squeeze is likely. A move above 0.9250 would confirm a test of 0.9320/50 before we can look to sell. An intraday break below 0.9150 would turn us bearish again.

[Abo Abdullah]

Credit Suisse - Holds EUR/USD Short, GBP/USD Long & A Limit Order To Buy USD/JPY

Credit Suisse maintains its short EUR/USD position from 1.3300, with a stop at 1.3435, and a target at 1.3025.

CS also maintains a long GBP/USD position with a stop below 1.5389, and a target at 1.5675.

Finally, CS has a limit order to buy USD/JPY at 97.06, with a stop below 96.45, for 99.50.

"USD/JPY has managed to hold above basing support at 97.05/96.92. A break above the 55-day average at 98.35 and through the 98.65 high though is required to test more important downtrend resistance and the recent high at 99.54/97. We would expect a fresh cap here. Above is needed to look on to 100.88, then the 78.6% retracement level and July high at 101.54/61," CS outlines its technical bias on USD/JPY.

"Below 97.00/96.89 can see weakness extend to 96.40/37, with a break here needed to open the door to a move back to 95.80, then 95.45," CS adds.

[Abo Abdullah]

Citi Bank - AUD/USD: Trading The August's RBA Minutes

"Given the focus from Governor Stevens on the exchange rate as a policy tool, there is risk that the language on FX in the Minutes reveals even stronger intent to weaken AUD than was evident in the statement. The RBA is likely to frown upon tightening in financial conditions and rises in AUD," Citi projects.

And how should investors position in AUD in the run-up to the minutes?

"We favor short AUD positions in the run up to the RBA minutes. AUD should be vulnerable, because markets look poorly positioned for a reiteration of RBA dovishness," Citi advises.

[Abo Abdullah]

Stock drop weighing boosting yen

USD/JPY and EUR/JPY are at the lows of the day alongside stocks.
The stock market drop breaks the 38.2% retracement of the recent rally and the 55-day moving damage. Support is at the 50% retracement and 100-day moving average at 1632.

USD/JPY bids are light but located around the 97.30.

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/CHF falls to one-week low

EUR/CHF took a quick trip lower after support at Friday’s low and the 100-day moving average broke. The next area of support is the zone around 1.2300 and the uptrend since April.