== $ == Banks Orders Book == $ ==

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD – leveraged accounts and Real money noted Start demand building at 1.3260/50 in good size

[mido kenz]

EUR/USD – leveraged accounts and Real money noted Start demand building at 1.3260/50 in good size

انا مش فاهم كده يعني بيع ولا شراء

[Abo Abdullah]

انا مش فاهم كده يعني بيع ولا شراء

حياك الله يالغالي و عندما ترى كلمة demand اي معناها طلب من مستوى 13260-13250 يعني

الشراء من هذا المستوى سيكون جيدا وعندما ترى كلمة offers يعني عروض من مثلا

مستوى 13350 سيكون جيدا للبيع وهكذا , وفقك الله ورزقك .

[Abo Abdullah]

أخواني الاعزاء جميع هذه الاخبار و التوقعات والتقارير تعتبر استرشاديه ويجب علينا ان

نعرف كيف نتصرف معها قبل المتاجره والهدف منها ان نعلم ما يدور بالسوق اول بأول

وليس دائما تكون السيناريوهات طبق الواقع حيث اننا نعلم ان واقع السوق متغير دائما حسب

الاخبار سواء السياسيه او الاقتصاديه وحسب توجه كبار المستثمرين بالسوق , وهنا اوجه

كلامي بالاخص الى الاخوه المبتدئين ان ينتبهوا الى هذه التقارير وان لا يتعاملون معها على

انها واقع 100% ولتكون لهم بمثابه الاسترشاد والتوقع وعليهم ان يقارنوها مع باقي التحليلات

ومن جميع النواحي قبل اتخاذ القرار بالمتاجره , اما الاخوه اصحاب الخبره و المحترفون فأعتقد

انهم سيعرفون كيف التعامل معها وفي الاوقات المناسبه لكي يستفيدوا منها ويعلموا ما يحدث

بالاسواق .

يعني مثلا هذا الخبر

EUR/USD – HSBC demand noted at 1.2980 in good size

From Singapore - Desk

ليس معناه ان السعر سيطير وسيتغير الاتجاه لان ممكن البنك يطلع بعد اخذ الاوردر بعد 10 او 20

نقطه وحتى احيانا 5 نقاط تكون صفقات سريعه وبكميات كبيره .

خصوصا اذا كان هناك اتفاق مع فروع البنك في الدول الاخرى حيث يقوم فرع مثلا في لندن ببيع

كميات كبيره ويقوم نفس البنك بفرعه في سنغافورا بالشراء بسعر اقل بعد الهبوط بكميات اكبر وهكذا

وهذا على سبيل المثال وليس الحصر.

أرجوا الحذر بالمتاجره وكميه العقود

ملاحظه : سأعيد هذه المشاركه بين فتره وأخرى لينتبه عليها الاخوان الذين لم يطلعوا عليها .

وفقكم الله جميعا ورزقكم

[Abo Abdullah]

Propareos levels (areas where probabilities of price action reversal or saturation reach 90%):
•EURUSD: 1.3395-1.3410 on the upside, 1.3255-1.3270 on the downside.
•AUDUSD: 0.9235-0.9250 on the upside, 0.9110-0.9125 on the downside.
•USDJPY: 97.15-97.30 on the upside, 95.70-95.85 on the downside.
•GBPUSD: 1.5605-1.5620 on the upside, 1.5410-1.5425 on the downside.
•USDCAD: 1.0340-1.0355 on the upside, 1.0235-1.0250 on the downside.
•NZDUSD: 0.8085-0.8100 on the upside, 0.7970- 0.7985 on the downside.
•EURJPY: 129.25-129.40 on the upside, 127.75-127.90 on the downside.
•EURGBP: 0.8625-0.8640 on the upside, 0.8565-0.8570 on the downside.
•USDCHF: 0.9315-0.9330 on the upside, 0.9160-0.9175 on the downside.
•AUDJPY: 89.05-89.20 on the upside, 87.75-87.90 on the downside.
•EURAUD: 1.4625-1.4640 on the upside, 1.4400-1.4415 on the downside.

Warning! Propareos levels do not take into account fundamental developments. Their validity is reduced on days when the NFP is released and when Central Banks change their interest rate.

[Abo Abdullah]

Model funds noted buyers of EUR/USD - stops noted sub-1.3270 though and may attract

AUD/USD - bids now resting at 0.91 with sell stops beneath the 0.9090 support level

[Abo Abdullah]

GBP/USD - Stops noted beneath 1.5450 in good size, bids at 1.5430/20

[Abo Abdullah]

Credit Suisse Holds EUR/USD Short For 1.3025; Goes Long Cable For 1.5675

Credit Suisse maintains its short EUR/USD position from 1.3300, with a stop at 1.3435, and a target at 1.3025.

"EUR/USD has shown some hesitation on approach to the 1.3418 June peak, and we still look for an attempt to hold beneath here. The removal of 1.3318/16 should see the immediate risk stay lower for 1.3265. Beneath 1.3190 remains needed to see a bigger top for 1.3102,"CS outlines its technical bias on the pair.

Meanwhile, CS enters into a fresh long GBP/USD trade with a stop below 1.5389, for 1.5675.

"GBP/USD has again been capped beneath key resistance at 1.5534/42 – the downtrend from the January 2013 high and 200-day average...Above 1.5534/42 should see a move back to 1.5575, and through here to see further strength to 1.5603 next, ahead of 1.5678 and then 1.5752/81," CS adds as a rationale behind this call.

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/JPY- Stops under 127.90 gaining some attention as a potential future target

[Abo Abdullah]

Citi says to go long EUR/CHF

The technical analysis team at Citi recommends EUR/CHF longs at 1.2304 with a target of 1.2650. They put a stop at 1.2200.
They cite positive price action in European stock markets and prior rebounds from the 200-day moving average as catalysts.
They see initial resistance at 1.2465.

[Abo Abdullah]

USD/CHF catching some flows as system funds go long at .9250 where good demand in general has been seen. Stops above .9300 in decent size with offers ahead of the big figure. On the downside, stops under .9220

[Abo Abdullah]

Nomura - USD/JPY Small Double Bottom: Levels & Targets

Thursday’s bullish reversal in USD/JPY has not been confirmed but today a close through 97.00 would suggest that a low is in place, says Nomura.

"With Wave-C expected complete, the path of least resistance is now higher towards 99.50/100.59 downtrend resistance," Nomura adds.

Given that, where are the levels and targets to watch for over the coming sessions?

"S/t, once prices clear 97.00, a sharp move to 97.65 will set up the next test of bettering a series of lows from late July. The small double bottom that has formed below targets 98.15. With the Wave-C complete and Wave-D higher (of the larger bullish triangle) it is critical that any pullback hold above recent lows at 95.93," Nomura projects.

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD - Sell stops in through 1.3260 in good size bids at 1.3250

GBP/USD – Stops under 1.5450 very vulnerable

[Abo Abdullah]

AUD/USD – Bids at .9130 with stops underneath. Next bids coming in ahead of .9100
GBP/USD – Light stops under 1.5465 were cleared, but those larger below 1.5450 left untouched

[Abo Abdullah]

Why August is the time to against USD/JPY

Ashraf Laidi at City Index notes that USD/JPY has fallen in August in 13 of the past 15 years.

“Repatriation of August coupon payments from US treasury bonds by Japanese investors has long been attributed to the yen’s summer gains,” he writes.

USD/JPY is already down 122 pips so far this month. Seasonals are also weak for stocks in August, which also suggests USD/JPY shorts.