== $ == Banks Orders Book == $ ==

[Abo Abdullah]

EU fail at 100/200 DMA keeps the DOWNSIDE risk alive

Reserve mgr sales o/n into 100 & 200 DMAs keeps recent choppy range intact
USD/JPY 100 break has USD firm & EUR/USD press into Asian bids 1.3000
Bids for same Asian 1.2980/85 but stops below then CTA stops 1.2970
If downside stops run 1.2935/45 supt zone (76.4% Fib, late-May low) eyed
Chart: http://link.reuters.com/puw39t
[email protected]

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD

[Abo Abdullah]

USD/CHF - Already cleared stops above .9500, but more stops from real money accounts above .9530

EUR/USD - Bids at 1.2990/80 being worked through with aggression; stops below under fire

[Abo Abdullah]

Options Expiries for the NY Cut (10:00AM ET)
USD/JPY - 100.00 EUR/USD - 1.3050 USD/CHF - .9450 AUD/USD - .9200
USD very well bid across the board as stops in multiple USD pairs are cleared and more are in sight

[Abo Abdullah]

10 yr Treasury still LEADS risk

The 10-year US Treasury yield has stopped going up but that doesn't mean they are going down, at least not yet. That is giving pause to the emerging-market and commodity-currency rally and bulling up the greenback to above Y100.00 and USD/MXN

Expect the trend to continue into the long weekend but don't lean in--it won't be a one-way move. There is too much risk on the horizon, namely the ECB meeting on Thursday and US payrolls on Friday. The biggest surprise could come from a cut in the ECB lending rate or, more likely, ECB President Draghi pulling back on his hawkish rhetoric from the last meeting--either of course a major euro negative.

Growth prospects and rate differentials highly favor the greenback, so stay the course and continue to look for levels to fade the euro. Initial support is the top of the Ichimoku cloud of $1.2990. A fail of support opens up a run to $1.2795, lows of the month of May.

Vincent Cignarella

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD – Barclays demand noted at 1.2950 in good size
London - Desk

[Abo Abdullah]

أخواني الاعزاء جميع هذه الاخبار و التوقعات والتقارير تعتبر استرشاديه ويجب علينا ان نعرف

كيف نتصرف معها والهدف منها ان نعلم ما يدور بالسوق اول بأول وليس دائما تكون

السيناريوهات طبق الواقع حيث اننا نعلم ان واقع السوق متغير دائما حسب الاخبار سواء

السياسيه او الاقتصاديه وحسب توجه كبار المستثمرين بالسوق , وهنا اوجه كلامي بالاخص

الى الاخوه المبتدئين ان ينتبهوا الى هذه التقارير وان لا يتعاملون معها على انها واقع

100% ولتكون لهم بمثابه الاسترشاد والتوقع وعليهم ان يقارنوها مع باقي التحليلات ومن

جميع النواحي قبل اتخاذ القرار بالمتاجره , اما الاخوه اصحاب الخبره و المحترفون فأعتقد انهم

سيعرفون كيف التعامل معها وفي الاوقات المناسبه لكي يستفيدوا منها ويعلموا ما يحدث

بالاسواق .

يعني مثلا هذا الخبر

EUR/USD – HSBC demand noted at 1.2980 in good size
From Singapore - Desk

ليس معناه ان السعر سيطير وسيتغير الاتجاه لان ممكن البنك يطلع بعد اخذ الاوردر بعد 10 او 20


نقطه وحتى احيانا 5 نقاط تكون صفقات سريعه وبكميات كبيره .


خصوصا اذا كان هناك اتفاق مع فروع البنك في الدول الاخرى حيث يقوم فرع مثلا في لندن ببيع

كميات كبيره ويقوم نفس البنك بفرعه في سنغافورا بالشراء بسعر اقل بعد الهبوط بكميات اكبر وهكذا

وهذا على سبيل المثال وليس الحصر.

ملاحظه : سأعيد هذه المشاركه بين فتره وأخرى لينتبه عليها الاخوان الذين لم يطلعوا عليها .

وفقكم الله جميعا ورزقكم .

[Abo Abdullah]

USD/CHF - Buy stops from real money above .9530 under fire as this pair rises from EUR/USD continuing to be sold aggressively

EUR/USD - Selling bringing price down to test 1.2990 again, targeting the stops under 1.2980

US leveraged funds selling EUR/USD around 1.3000

[Abo Abdullah]

With no more releases expected today, leveraged accounts can continue buying USD/JPY and selling EUR/USD with confidence

Crude Oil trading up about 0.70% for the day

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD

[Abo Abdullah]

Sell stops in EUR/USD and buy stops in USD/JPY still protected; some traders frustrated by the inability to break into those stops

[Abo Abdullah]

Large selling of USD/JPY from a European bank didn't move price very far; demand for this pair remains very high

USD/JPY - Demand noted from macro funds

As US funds continue to buy USD/JPY, there are shorts exiting from EUR/USD after a failed attempt to break 1.2990 along with profit takers. This helped boost EUR/JPY, keeping JPY weak across the board

[Abo Abdullah]

USD/JPY - Barrier at 100.50 broken and stops above cleared

GBP/USD - Sovereign bids at 1.5120 with stops below

Macro accounts now selling EUR/USD, trapping the longs that entered on the recent rally

EUR/USD - Real money selling around 1.3030, helping keep a cap on the recent rally

[Abo Abdullah]

EU Portuguese govt defection WEIGHS on Euro

Two Portuguese govt resignations in as many days hits EUR/USD
Today Foreign Minister Portas quits, also heads the CDS-PP
Yesterday Fin Min Gaspar quit due to austerity measure push-back
Uncertainty weighs & macros sell EUR/USD, intra-day longs may get hurt
Large stops through 1.2980 more through 1.2970, they could entice a s-l run

[Abo Abdullah]

USD/JPY - Leveraged accounts still continuing to show strong demand for this pair