== $ == Banks Orders Book == $ ==

[Abo Abdullah]

أخواني الاعزاء جميع هذه الاخبار و التوقعات والتقارير تعتبر استرشاديه ويجب علينا ان

نعرف كيف نتصرف معها قبل المتاجره والهدف منها ان نعلم ما يدور بالسوق اول بأول

وليس دائما تكون السيناريوهات طبق الواقع حيث اننا نعلم ان واقع السوق متغير دائما حسب

الاخبار سواء السياسيه او الاقتصاديه وحسب توجه كبار المستثمرين بالسوق , وهنا اوجه

كلامي بالاخص الى الاخوه المبتدئين ان ينتبهوا الى هذه التقارير وان لا يتعاملون معها على

انها واقع 100% ولتكون لهم بمثابه الاسترشاد والتوقع وعليهم ان يقارنوها مع باقي التحليلات

ومن جميع النواحي قبل اتخاذ القرار بالمتاجره , اما الاخوه اصحاب الخبره و المحترفون فأعتقد

انهم سيعرفون كيف التعامل معها وفي الاوقات المناسبه لكي يستفيدوا منها ويعلموا ما يحدث

بالاسواق .

يعني مثلا هذا الخبر


EUR/USD – HSBC demand noted at 1.2980 in good size
From Singapore - Desk


ليس معناه ان السعر سيطير وسيتغير الاتجاه لان ممكن البنك يطلع بعد اخذ الاوردر

بعد 10 او 20 نقطه وحتى احيانا 5 نقاط تكون صفقات سريعه وبكميات كبيره .

خصوصا اذا كان هناك اتفاق مع فروع البنك في الدول الاخرى حيث يقوم فرع مثلا في لندن

ببيع كميات كبيره ويقوم نفس البنك بفرعه في سنغافورا بالشراء بسعر اقل بعد الهبوط

بكميات اكبر وهكذا وهذا على سبيل المثال وليس الحصر.

ملاحظه : سأعيد هذه المشاركه بين فتره وأخرى لينتبه عليها الاخوان الذين لم يطلعوا عليها .

,,وفقكم الله جميعا ورزقكم,,


أرجوا من المراقب العام نقل هذه المشاركه الى الصفحه الاولى ( مشاركه 2 )

وشكرا مقدما .

[Abo Abdullah]

Morgan Stanley: Maintaining short EUR/USD position with 1.28 target, but stop lowered to 1.3080
BNY Mellon: JPY and CHF to rise as the euro is suffering from renewed tensions in peripheral Europe
Barclays: Volumes on downmoves in the AUD/USD have increased, indicating renewed selling interest
USD/JPY - Japanese bids at 99.40
EUR/USD - talk of an Asian central bank selling again
EUR/JPY - demand at the 129.00 level supported the pair a bit, but rallies likely to be short-lived; stops at 128.80 looking vulnerable
Real money accounts noted EUR/GBP sellers earlier; bears looking for a break of 0.8470 that would see large sell stops getting triggered
EUR/USD - offers building at 1.2970/80, larger at 1.3000/10 with buy stops above through 1.3020
USD/JPY - more selling from hedge funds seen as they cover long positions; stops sub-99.50 and larger beneath 99.00
GBP/USD failed again to breach the 1.5250 resistance level; if we don't break soon above, the post-PMI rally likely to be short-lived
GBP/USD trading back above 1.52 after UK PMI data; offers in good size seen at 1.5240/50 with buy stops resting above through 1.5260

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD – European bank and Real money demand noted
at 1.2810 - 1.2800 in good size.
From London

[Abo Abdullah]

Repetition

EUR/USD – European bank and Real money demand noted
at 1.2910 - 1.2900 in good size.
From London

[Abo Abdullah]

Talk of a barrier option at 0.9050 and 0.90 in AUD/USD; bids ahead

[Abo Abdullah]

UBS Daily FX Report

FX Technicals

EURUSD BEARISH

With the bear trend intact focus is on the key support at 1.2797. A break below this would suggest scope for further downside. Resistance is at 1.3103.

USDJPY BULLISH

Last night the pair closed above the resistance at 99.94.This was a strong bearish development opening 103.74. Support is at 99.51.

GBPUSD BEARISH

The pair closed below the key support at 1.5183. This was a strong bearish development, exposing 1.5009. Resistance is at 1.5279.

USDCHF BULLISH

Yesterday the pair again closed above critical resistance at 0.9484. Next resistance is at 0.9568. Support is at 0.9439.

AUDUSD BEARISH

With the bear trend intact focus is on the support at 0.8771 ahead of 0.8545. Resistance stand at 0.9253.

USDCAD BULLISH

Our resistance focus is at 1.0658 ahead of 1.0804. Support at 1.0488 should hold for now.

EURCHF BEARISH

Any upside should be limited with a strong resistance at 1.2384. Support is at 1.2301 ahead of 1.2196

EURGBP NEUTRAL

The cross is held by the Resistance at 0.8607; a closing break above this would be positive opening 0.8656. Support is at 0.8542 ahead of 0.8469.

EURJPY BULLISH

The cross closed above the resistance at 130.43. Next critical supply is at 133.80. Support is at 129.04.
Source: UBS FX Strategy

[Abo Abdullah]

EU Brief - London

[11:00 GMT July 3] EUR/USD was sold from the open once Europe enter the fray. Macros were particularly keen sellers, but it was ACB sales through 1.2950 that sparked a frenzy of bearish activity. That alongside a very apparent rise in risk aversion, stemming from political crisis in Portugal, or the chance that Greece could miss out on its next bailout tranche. U.S. real money buyers are said to have ridden to the euro’s rescue, buying in size into the dip, and so barring an even deeper, more disorderly unwind. That said, with macros looking to add to shorts on strength and ACB offers in place from 1.2970 to 1.300, the euro’s potential recovery looks very limited. The linked spike in euro zone yields is a key factor hampering the euro at this point. Portugal's 10 year blowing out to 8% at one stage, and both Italy and Spain spreads showing marked stress/widening. Coupled with higher U.S. bond yields, they are putting considerable pressure on EUR/USD's downside. [email protected] Copyright (c) 2013 Thomson Reuters - IFRMarkets

[Abo Abdullah]

EU Crisis never far away

Whiff of crisis - has it ever gone away? - does the euro some damage.
Portuguese yields blow out, tarnishing good work in Italy, Spain spreads
Leveraged community rush to short the euro. ACBs spark key break
Real money soaks up a lot of the EUR/USD supply
Rate markets look set to weigh on any euro recovery

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD

[Abo Abdullah]

Morgan Stanley: Maintaining short EUR/USD position with 1.28 target, but stop lowered to 1.3080

[Abo Abdullah]

ACB buying USD/JPY in good size
ACB (Asian Central Bank)

[Abo Abdullah]

Bids at 128.50 from European accounts in EUR/JPY, but stops beneath in good size

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD - Stops start growing larger beneath1.2880 , Probability not confirmed yet to hit based on Volume and contract size

[Abo Abdullah]

Propareos levels (areas where probabilities of price action reversal or saturation reach 90%; valid till 15:00 GMT):
•EURUSD: 1.3145-1.3160 on the upside, 1.2880-1.2895 on the downside.
•AUDUSD: 0.9240-0.9255 on the upside, 0.8975-0.8990 on the downside.
•USDJPY: 101.40-101.55 on the upside, 99.15-99.30 on the downside.
•GBPUSD: 1.5350-1.5365 on the upside, 1.5020-1.5035 on the downside.
•USDCAD: 1.0585-1.0600 on the upside, 1.0455-1.0470 on the downside.
•NZDUSD: 0.7865-0.7880 on the upside, 0.7665- 0.7680 on the downside.
•EURJPY: 131.80-131.95 on the upside, 127.70-127.85 on the downside.
•EURGBP: 0.8660-0.8675 on the upside, 0.8415-0.8430 on the downside.
•USDCHF: 0.9550-0.9565 on the upside, 0.9380-0.9395 on the downside.
•AUDJPY: 93.50-93.65 on the upside, 89.30-89.45 on the downside.
•EURAUD: 1.4375-1.4390 on the upside, 1.4110-1.4125 on the downside

[Abo Abdullah]

US Market Report

EUR/USD
•Macro funds and Asian central banks noted sellers
•Corporate and US real money accounts seen buying
•Sentiment turns negative given Portuguese political crisis
•Rising peripheral bond yields adding pressure
•Bids at 1.2920 and in good size at 1.29
•Sell stops below the big figure through 1.2880
•Offers from 1.2970 up to 1.30, heavy around 1.3050
•Buy stops above 1.30 through 1.3010

GBP/USD
•Sterling bid after better-than-expected Services PMI data
•Good amount of short-covering, but little fresh buying
•Small risk appetite ahead of key risk events (BoE, ECB, NFP)
•Bids building at 1.5240, 1.52 and larget at 1.5180
•Sell stops accumulating sub-1.52
•Offers eyed at 1.53, 1.5320 and in better size at 1.5350
•Buy stops above 1.53

USD/JPY
•Macro funds noted covering their long positions
•Plenty of stops triggered during European session
•Market caught long; liquidity poor
•Asian central banks seen as buyers on the dip, but selling interest larger
•Bids at 99.00 and larger at 98.50
•More stops noted sub-99 through 98.80
•Offers lining up at 99.80 and 100.00, more at 100.50 and ahead of the 101.00 barrier option
•Buy stops at 100.10/20

AUD/USD
•Bids ahead of 0.9050 barrier option
•Corporate bids at 0.9020
•More demand from option players ahead of 0.90 barrier option
•Sell stops sub-0.9050, in better size beneath 0.90
•Offers at 0.9100/10, large at 0.92
•Buy stops 0.9120/30

USD/CAD
•Bids at 1.0520 and 1.05
•Sell stops at 1.0490 down to 1.0480
•Offers at 1.0550, 1.0580 and ahead of 1.06 barrier option
•Buy stops above 1.06