== $ == Banks Orders Book == $ ==

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD - Stops under 1.2980 growing larger - hi Probability to hit

[mohamed emam]

عفوا يا عزيزي , هذه التقارير فقط لنأخذها بالحسبان والانتباه لكي نعرف كيف نتعامل معها وليس

بالضروره ان يكون هذا السيناريو صحيح فنحن نعلم انه لايوجد شئ في السوق 100% , ووفقك الله

ورزقك خير الدارين ان شاء الله .

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته ... أكرر شكرى لك على هذا المجهود المتميز وأتفق معك أن هذه التوقعات استرشادية وأزيدك من الشعر بيت أنى قرأت (البنك النيوزلندى يتوقع وصول هذا الزوج عند 105 بحلول سبتمر القادم) ولا أخفى عليك سرا أنى لا أشعر بالثقة الا اذا وافق هذه التوقعات تحليل أحد عمالقة المنتدى خاصة أبو ادم لكن بينى وبينك لاأحب أن أضايقه لعلمى ببعده عن متابعة أزواج الين عامة وربنا يعينه على الأسترالى .. تحياتى يا عزيزى وبالتوفيق.

[Abo Abdullah]

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته ... أكرر شكرى لك على هذا المجهود المتميز وأتفق معك أن هذه التوقعات استرشادية وأزيدك من الشعر بيت أنى قرأت (البنك النيوزلندى يتوقع وصول هذا الزوج عند 105 بحلول سبتمر القادم) ولا أخفى عليك سرا أنى لا أشعر بالثقة الا اذا وافق هذه التوقعات تحليل أحد عمالقة المنتدى خاصة أبو ادم لكن بينى وبينك لاأحب أن أضايقه لعلمى ببعده عن متابعة أزواج الين عامة وربنا يعينه على الأسترالى .. تحياتى يا عزيزى وبالتوفيق.

وعليكم السلام ورحمة الله وبركاته, وبارك الله فيك , نعم كما تفضلت اخي محمد جميع هذه التوقعات

والتقارير استرشاديه ويجب علينا ان نعرف كيف نتصرف معها والهدف منها ان نعلم ما يدور بالسوق

اول بأول وليس دائما تكون السيناريوهات طبق الواقع حيث اننا نعلم ان واقع السوق متغير دائما

حسب الاخبار سواء السياسيه او الاقتصاديه وحسب توجه كبار المستثمرين بالسوق , وهنا اوجه

كلامي بالاخص الى الاخوه المبتدئين ان ينتبهوا الى هذه التقارير وان لا يتعاملون معها على انها واقع

100% ولتكون لهم بمثابه الاسترشاد والتوقع وعليهم ان يقارنوها مع باقي التحليلات ومن جميع

النواحي قبل اتخاذ القرار بالمتاجره , اما الاخوه اصحاب الخبره و المحترفون فأعتقد انهم سيعرفون

كيف التعامل معها وفي الاوقات المناسبه لكي يستفيدوا منها ويعلموا ما يحدث بالاسواق , اشكرك

اخي الحبيب محمد على مشاركتك في الموضوع ونورت الصفحه , وفقك الله ورزقك .

[Abo Abdullah]

EU Commerzbank says...
Stay bearish below 1.3103 which was Friday's high, with analyst Karen Jones looking for slippage toward the 1.2932-1.2885 band of support, which includes the 55WMA. Now at 1.3044
(gary.stride@ dowjones.com)

[Abo Abdullah]

NZD/USD has seen some short-covering this morning; offers at 0.78 and 0.7820; heavy ahead of 0.7850; buy stops above the mid figure growing large

AUD/JPY has large offers from 91.70 up to 92.00 with stops building above the big figure; bids at 91.20, 91.00 and in good size around 90.60

EUR/JPY - large buy stops seen from 130.10 up to 130.25
(including CTA stops); offers next at 130.50

[Abo Abdullah]

EUR/USD - strong offers at 1.3075 and 1.31 with buy stops around 1.3080 and above 1.31

[Abo Abdullah]

US Market Report
EUR/USD
•Macro funds were noted buyers this morning on short-covering
•Asian central bank sold around 1.3050, slowing upside momentum
•Sentiment remains mixed
•Reports indicate leveraged names and dealers keen to sell rallies toward 1.31
•Meanwhile, the downside is supported by sovereign and corporate demand
•Bids at 1.3020, 1.30, 1.2970/80 (sovereign) and 1.2950/60 (corporate)
•Sell stops building below 1.2980 and larger sub-1.2950
•Offers in good size at 1.3075 and 1.31 from leveraged names
•Buy stops around 1.3080 and in decent size above 1.31 through 1.3120

GBP/USD
•Saw some selling in the early London session, triggering stops below 1.52
•Macro funds covered later as the UK PMI data beat expectations
•This drove price almost up to 1.5250, but offers in good size kept upside limited
•Model funds looking to sell on a break of the 1.5165 level
•Watch for the 1.5150 level as key support and 1.53 as key resistance
•Bids at 1.5180, 1.5150/60 and larger from 1.5120 down to 1.51
•Sell stops sub-1.5150 in good size
•Offers at 1.5250, 1.5280 and larger around 1.53
•Buy stops building around 1.5310/20

USD/JPY
•Sentiment positive and price action indicates further upside likely
•Decent selling interest ahead of 100.00 barrier ahead
•The battle for the 100.00 level is back, though not so fierce as the previous ones
•Bids at 99.50, 99.20 and larger at 99.00
•Sell stops around 99.30/40, in good size beneath 99.00
•Offers at 99.75 from Japanese accounts and heavy ahead of the 100.00 level
•Buy stops around 99.80-90, large above 100.00 through 100.30

AUD/USD
•Overall sentiment remains negative
•Most traders looking to sell rallies towards 0.9220-50
•However, risk of short squeeze is there + little reaction to weak Chinese data
•Barclays note declining volumes as the pair trades lower
•A large short squeeze unlikely, but chance of some consolidation ahead
•Bids at 0.9150 and in good size at 0.9100/10
•Sell stops accumulating beneath 0.9150 and larger sub-0.91
•Offers at 0.9220 in decent size, more at 0.9250 and 0.9280
•Buy stops above 0.9220 and sizeable above 0.93

USD/CAD
•1.0430 level seen as short-term base, while 1.04 acts as key technical support level
•Heavy resistance seen at 1.0550; a break above would pave the way for 1.06 test
•Bids 1.05, 1.0470 and 1.0430
•Sell stops below 1.0450 and large below 1.0430
•Offers at 1.0530 and large ahead of 1.0550
•Buy stops in good size above 1.0550 through 1.0560

[Abo Abdullah]

JP Morgan FX Report
The whole price action in June basically centred on the deleveraging theme which was accompanied by high volatility and massive price swings in specific asset classes and currency pairs. The USD turned out to be one of, if not the main beneficiary, whereas Scandies and Commodity FX took fairly rough beatings. In terms of the USD we are now focusing on key-resistance barriers in form of internal 76.4 % retracements as these could at least trigger a temporary setback in what we believe is a broader USD up-trend. The key-barriers to watch are still cutting in at 83.554 in the USD Index and in form of support at 1.2943 in EUR/USD whereas Cable has already penetrated its key-support at 1.5184. Only decisive breaks of these barriers on hourly close (using a 30 pips filter) would dissolve the risk of running into a stronger, but temporary USD setback though.

The risk of the latter materialising would however only increase significantly once minor 38.2 % retracements at 1.3088 in EUR/USD and at 1.5361 in Cable would be broken on hourly close. Below, the USD bulls remain in full control and ready to push through the mentioned barriers for a straight extension to 1.2846 (daily trend) and 1.2792 (weekly neckline) in EUR/USD. Cable looks to be the weakest in this context and once 1.5184 would be broken decisively on hourly close (i.e. below 1.5150) we’d see only daily trend line support at 1.5080 and 1.5008 (last low) left to potentially trigger a temporary bounce.

In terms of risk markets we keep watching daily trend line resistance between 1629 and 1638 and 1654/57 (pivot/int. 76.4 %) in the S & P 500 very carefully as these are the decisive resistances to distinguish a countertrend rally from the resumption of the broader up-trend. As for the JPY we remain sceptical whether the latest setback is already the resumption of the broader downtrend. Particularly the 5-wave pattern down from 103.74 to 93.79 in USD/JPY inherits a fairly high risk that the latest recovery is nothing but a countertrend rally to 101.39 (int. 76.4 %) at best. The same applies for EUR/JPY where it would take a decisive hourly close above 131.75 (int. 76.4 %) to eliminate the risk of missing another corrective leg down to 121.04 (int. 38.2 %).
Long 1 unit USD/CAD from 1.0481, add 1 unit at 1.0340, target 1.0850, stop at 1.0235
Short 2 units EUR/USD from 1.32315 avg., target 1.2480, stop at 1.3385
Long 2 units USD/NOK from 5.6000 avg., target 7.500, stop at 5.8500 (2013 outlook trade)
Long 1 unit CAD/JPY from 82.22, target 103.50, stop at 91.20 (2013 outlook trade)
Long 1 unit TRY/JPY from 45.6420, target 57.00, stop at 49.41 (2013 outlook trade)

[Abo Abdullah]

Barclays: Bank notes declining selling interest for AUD/USD, with decreasing volumes on its trading platforms as the pair trades lower. This would indicate traders are showing a lack of commitment to the downside and likely means that consolidation risks

[Dr_hodhod]

رائع ياأخي ياابو عبد الله . . . بارك الله فيك وجعله في ميزان حسناتك . . .

[Abo Abdullah]

EU Brief - London
[LONDON 11.22 Jul 1) EUR/USD opened close to 1.3000 and rose steadily as the session got underway. The sell-off last Friday was deemed the result of a month-end, so perhaps today?s recovery is none too surprising given the one-off nature of Friday?s move. Buyers were largely macro and leveraged types while selling seen out of Asia was mainly on the back of ACB rebalancing. By midday in Europe, EUR/USD reached the midway point of Friday?s 1.2991-1.3103 extremes. Neutral territory after the neutral balance of euro zone PMI?s. U.S. ISM ahead, key data, but as is so often seen on the first week of the month, risk taking is likely to be curtailed as the market lurches from one major risk event to the next. With minor U.S. jobs data on Wednesday, plus non-manufacturing ISM, and the ECB and NFPs to follow, this week looks no different. [email protected] Copyright (c) 2013 Thomson Reuters - IFRMarkets

[Abo Abdullah]

رائع ياأخي ياابو عبد الله . . . بارك الله فيك وجعله في ميزان حسناتك . . .

نورت الصفحه يا حبيبي والله يبارك فيك , طمني على الاسترالي ؟ 9025 سيكون جيد للشراء والتعزيز

8890 للمدى المتوسط , وفقك الله ورزقك

[Abo Abdullah]

Bank Report from KBC

[Abo Abdullah]

USD/JPY - US leveraged names helping pushing this pair through offers at 99.70

[Abo Abdullah]

Options Expiries for the NY Cut (10:00AM ET)

EUR/USD - 1.3000 (large), 1.3050

GBP/USD - 1.5200, 1.5240

USD/JPY - 99.50, 99.75, 100.00 (large)

EUR/GBP - .8500

EUR/CHF - 1.2350

AUD/USD - .9200

USD/CAD - 1.0525