توحيد الجهود .. في تحاليل الصفقات والعقود

[ايمن العقرباوي]

اخي الحبيب علاوي
سبق وان ذكرت لك ان توصيات هذه الشركة جيدة جدا
وقد حاولت مرارا ان انقل توصياتهم الى هذا المنتدى الطيب ساعة نزولها في حوالي الساعة الواحدة صباحا (توقيت الاردن) ولكن جميع محاولاتي باءت بالفشل
على كل حال هذا هو موقع الشركة
www.realtimeforex.com
تحياتي لك

[mrx911]

اخي الحبيب علاوي
سبق وان ذكرت لك ان توصيات هذه الشركة جيدة جدا
وقد حاولت مرارا ان انقل توصياتهم الى هذا المنتدى الطيب ساعة نزولها في حوالي الساعة الواحدة صباحا (توقيت الاردن) ولكن جميع محاولاتي باءت بالفشل
على كل حال هذا هو موقع الشركة
www.realtimeforex.com
تحياتي لك

مشكور اخ علواي على المجهود

ولدي سؤال هل اللنك بالاسفل هو لنفس صفحة التوصيات التي تقصدونها ام هل هناك صفحة اخرى لاني لم اجد سوى توصيات اليورو والفرنك بها !!!
http://www.realtimeforex.com/rtf/too...forex?lang=eng

[aalawee]

بارك الله فيك حبيب البي ياعلاوي عزيز وغالي والله ما قصرت كفيت ووفيت فرحم الله والديك وجزيت خيرا عنا يالحبيب تحياتي وتشكراتي لك يالغالي

واياك يابو علي
ورحم الله والدينا ووالديك جميعا

[aalawee]

اخي الحبيب علاوي
سبق وان ذكرت لك ان توصيات هذه الشركة جيدة جدا
وقد حاولت مرارا ان انقل توصياتهم الى هذا المنتدى الطيب ساعة نزولها في حوالي الساعة الواحدة صباحا (توقيت الاردن) ولكن جميع محاولاتي باءت بالفشل
على كل حال هذا هو موقع الشركة
www.realtimeforex.com
تحياتي لك

صدقت
وذكرت بان الفضل بعد الله لك وبان المصدر هو شخصك الكريم من منتدى الجيران

وهذا موضوعك حبيبي وكلنا نصب في مصلحة المنتدى الغالي

[aalawee]

مشكور اخ علواي على المجهود

ولدي سؤال هل اللنك بالاسفل هو لنفس صفحة التوصيات التي تقصدونها ام هل هناك صفحة اخرى لاني لم اجد سوى توصيات اليورو والفرنك بها !!!
http://www.realtimeforex.com/rtf/too...forex?lang=eng

http://www.realtimeforex.com/na/dail...forex?lang=eng

[aalawee]

Thursday December 22, 2005
EUR-USD
1.1836.
Current fall is near an end of wave around 1.1747 - 1.1796 zone, a rally should then procede to above 1.1874 or 1.1898. Fall below 1.1739 would cancel this scenario.
USD-CHF
1.3130.
While below 1.3188 it is more likely to fall further towards 1.3081 or 1.3052. Premature rise above 1.3188 could see it rising above 1.3246 zone.
USD-JPY
117.38.
Currently uptrend should end around 117.81 - 117.69 area. A correction down to below 116.91 is expected. A rise above 118.00 will abort the expected correction.
GBP-USD
1.7449.
It is likely to attempt nearer support at 1.7356 for extending further to below 1.7264 while below 1.7449 - 1.7521 area. Rise above 1.7567 would dampen this bearish expectation.
EUR-CHF
1.5541.
Difficult to predict next move. It should stay in a trading range between 1.5536 - 1.5568
EUR-JPY
138.95.
One more dip to 138.53 is likely followed by a grind higher to above 139.18. After which it can resume his downtrend.
EUR-GBP
0.6783.
It may attempt a test higher to 0.6789 after which weakness may set it to a drift down to below 0.6760 limit.
AUD-USD
0.7332.
It should register further gains to 0.7361 while 0.7312 caps downside attempts. Stop loss below 0.7291 zone.
USD-CAD
1.1653.
There is bearish potential for a fall to 1.1621 while 1.1683 - 1.1700 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 1.1700 or 1.1716 is expected.

[aalawee]

A look at current Events and Issues

Yesterdays News and Events:

The Dollar had another strong day, gaining across the board despite a lower final 3rd Quarter GDP report out of the US, with growth being revised down to a still strong 4.1%. Stop loss orders and low liquidity are to blame for the move and we would like to argue that only a small portion of the old Dollar long positions that had been closed in the previous 2 or 3 weeks have been re-opened on the current move. With the Dollar breaking important chart levels, we return to our previous Dollar bullish scenario and expect to break for new highs in the weeks to come as investors re-enter Dollar longs. Cable suffered the strongest losses with a low of 1.7385, the sell-off was fuelled by dovish MPC minutes, discussing whether slowing inflation should be countered with a quarter percent easing of interest rates.
Todays Key Issues:

Swiss Employment report for the 3rd quarter is expected at 8.15GMT, the workforce is expected to have expanded by 25k to 3.66m.

At 9.30amGMT UK 3rd Quarter results for GDP (+0.5%, +1.5%Yoy), Current Account (£-7Bln) and total Business Investments.

German CPI is due during the course of the day, no forecast nor exact time of release are available.

At 1.30pm US November Personal Income is expected at a slightly lower pace of 0.3% (0.4% previous), weekly Jobless Claim are expected at 325k, slightly better than last weeks disappointing 329k.

US November Leading Indicators are due at 3pm, it is forecast to grow 0.4% (0.9% previous).
The Risk Today: 1H EURUSD: Move down has reached the 62% retracement level of the 1.1660 to 1.2050 rise, but more significant is the 2nd daily closure underneath the 1.1885 key level. The short-term trend resistance at 1.1865 this morning should hold, sell rallies and expect a renewed try at 1.18, a break has potential for 1.1740 today.

4h USDCHF: It has pushed up to reach the last resistance ahead of the 1.3240 high at 1.3135, the 1-week bullish trend-line has reached 1.3030, key support stands at 1.3050. Minor support at 1.3100 is a buy level for a rise towards 1.32 in the short-term.

Resistance and Support:
EURUSDGBPUSDUSDJPYUSDCHF1.1910 S1.7600 S118.45 K1.3240 K1.1885 K1.7510 K117.80 T1.3200 S1.1860 T1.7460 T117.60 S1.3135 S1.18251.7440117.551.31351.1800 K1.7425 M117.25 M1.3100 M1.1740 M1.7380 M116.90 K1.3050 K1.1700 S1.7340 K116.35 S1.3030 TS: Strong, M: Minor, T:Trendline, K: Keylevel, P:pivot

[SARHAN]

رهيب ياعلاوي

شكرا شكرا لك، شغلك كله رائع وفي كل مواضيعك
(ماشاء الله ولا قوة الا بالله)

[aalawee]

رهيب ياعلاوي

شكرا شكرا لك، شغلك كله رائع وفي كل مواضيعك
(ماشاء الله ولا قوة الا بالله)

جزاك الله الف خير
والله اخجلتني مع اني مو مسوي اي شي

[aalawee]

Friday December 23, 2005

EUR-USD
1.1868.
It should trade lower to 1.1771. Resistances are at 1.1858 and 1.1883. A break of 1.1907 is bullish.confirmed by a close above 1.1897 limit.

USD-CHF
1.3123.
A drift down to 1.3029 from 1.3123 - 1.3100 area could be followed by a consolidation/corrective activity.

USD-JPY
116.65.
Market should meet resistance at 116.90. We expect then an extended move down to 116.52 -115.89 area.

GBP-USD
1.7373.
It may meet resistance in 1.7373 - 1.7389 zone for a drift down to 1.7325 zone, after which bounce to 1.7415 is anticipated.

EUR-CHF
1.5574.
Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.5594 or 1.5608 if support around 1.5562 hold. After which a pullback to 1.5562 - 1.5554 zone is possible.

EUR-JPY
138.43.
Overall structure is bearish. Decelerating momentum could attract it towards supports at 138.33 or 138.07. Major support is clustered around 137.78 limit.

EUR-GBP
0.6832.
Current rise seems to be over near 0.6836 or 0.6855 for a retracement towards 0.6817 - 0.6805 area.

AUD-USD
0.7315.
Market should pop up towards 0.7340 or 0.7366 this bullish scenario would be damaged if 0.7307 - 0.7298 zone is broken, a severe break down could then occur.

USD-CAD
1.1665.
Market should hold major support at 1.1447 before rising towards 1.1660 or even 1.1731 limit.

[aalawee]

As provided by Capital Management

Daily Outlooks


Euro-Dollar
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, Dec 23rd EUR-1.1860 Thursday
1.1900/ST/1.1800 Decline thus far appears to be corrective.
1.1970/MT/1.1720 However, we need to hold 1.1800 and regain
1.2060/LT/1.1635 the 1.1930 piot pt to confirm more consol /
---------------- recovery. Below 1.1800 agan finds 1.1720 sup
b-4 upside reaction but increases the risk for more new decline

Dollar -Yen
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, Dec 23rd YEN-116.70 Thursday
117.60/ST/116.40 Suspect the pullback from the initial 117.60
119.50/MT/115.50 target is only an interim downside corrction
121.40/LT/113.70 Thus reset longs against the 115.50 base for
---------------- a rally now through 117.70 to extend the nxt
leg of broaker range trade to 119.00-50 target zone b-4 lower.

Cable
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, Dec 23rd STG-1.7375 Thursday
1.7525/ST/1.7335 Speed and depth of Stg decline suggests mrkt
1.7610/MT/1.7240 is in the midst of complex 1.71-1.78 consol.
1.7810/LT/1.7045 As current s/t upsde reaction fails to clear
---------------- 1.7460-1.7520 area should see this reaction
work back to 1.7200 b-4 higher. Over 1.7525 would reverse now.

Dollar-Swiss
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, Dec 23rd SFR-1.3120 Thursday
1.3170/ST/1.3075 Having thus far failed the 1.3170-1.3240 res
1.3240/MT/1.3030 area, Dolr is at critical stage. We slightly
1.3285/LT/1.2850 favor more triangle type consol b-4 trnd but
---------------- need a loss of 1.3030 to confirm new swing
to 1.2850. Upside brk of 1.3170 shud fail 1.3280 but risks trend


Capital Management is solely responsible for the information contained in this
document. The opinions given are not intended and should not be relied upon as
fact or as giving any assurance of what will or is likely to happen.

[aalawee]

[font='Trebuchet Ms', sans-serif]Published:آ Dec. 23 2005, 06:30 GMT[/font]

GBP struggle may be set to continue. Next week is key for the JPY with big round of economic data from Japan.

Thin markets await traders today. CAD may be weak on natural gas decline - but Oct. GDP for Canada up later.






MAJOR HEADLINES – PREVIOUS SESSION

• Australia Leading Index declined -0.3% in October
• US Natural Gas prices dropped precipitously on a smaller than expected storage draw and forecasts of milder weather in the US
• Japan was closed for a national holiday.

Market Moves

GBP was very weak yesterday and NZD weak again overnight.






THEMES TO WATCH – UPCOMING SESSION



Today markets will be very thin as Japan was closed overnight and it's hard to imagine any serious players putting on big new positions in such thin markets ahead of the holiday weekend. Still, there mayآ some room for movement as the setup going into next week looks rather interesting for the JPY. This is because virtually every major data point is up early next week and the outcome of this storm of data could confirm or deny the latest strengthening move we have seen in the JPY across the board.

On Monday, we have Japan's Supermarket and Department Store Sales and the BSI Large Manufacturing and All Industry surveys. On Tuesday, we have the Jobless Rate, Household Spending, and the very key National and Tokyo CPI data, as well as Housing Starts. Wednesday will see the release of Retail Trade, Industrial Production, Earnings, and Small Business Confidence. Of all of these, we would focus most on Tuesday's Household Spending and CPI data.

CAD is also interesting at this point due to the nice test of 1.1630/50 area of support that has so far held and the massive sell-off yesterday in Natural Gas - which is a key export commodity to the US. If energy is key for CAD strength, then all of the recent weakness in energy prices could lead USD/CAD higher towards 1.2000. Watch out for the Canada October GDP release later today.

Elsewhere, the interest rate moves lower yesterday were a key development and make the prospects for a stronger USD somewhat dimmer, even if the technicals don't allow a change of plan just yet. Tough to call that situation with such thin markets here. As we move into next week - we'll let 1.1940 trigger the bullish view in EUR/USD and a move through 1.1800 support trigger further bearishness toward the low and beyond. At present, we are forced to stay marginally bearish on a technical basis.

Up today we have the US Durable Goods Orders number and University of MIchigan Confidence - we don't look for either of these numbers to be significant market triggers.

آ




Note: the support/resistance levels used in the matrix’s of this document are levels derived from yesterday high, low and close. Reference in the text to other support/resistance levels will occur.



Euro/US Dollarآ آ آ آ


EURUSDآ آ (1.1872آ @آ 06:14 GMT) EUR/USD remains marginally bearishآ as long as we stay below 1.1940, and the bearish potential notches higher with a move through 1.1800 support. EUR has seen a little support in the European crosses,آ and this makes the EUR/USDآ chart a bit tough here.

Trading stance: stand aside.آ



آ

آ [font='trebuchet ms', arial, sans-serif]Resist.1.20341.19461.19061.18721.18191.17701.1683SupportQuoted:
23 Dec 05
06:14 GMT
[/font]



British Pound/US Dollarآ آ آ آ


GBPUSDآ آ (1.7385آ @آ 06:15 GMT) GBP continues toآ stay on the weak side, and the EUR/GBP move higher may be set to continue after the false start this pair had recently. A move through 0.6890 could bring on a try toward 0.7000 and even more as this pair is our favorite way of playing GBP.GBP/CHF mayآ also be headed lower. GBP/USD looks like it has re-entered the range back toward the 1.7050 base with 1.7450 as current resistance.

Trading stance:آ buy EUR/GBP on dips looking for a try at 0.6890 resistance or sell GBP/CHF as an alternative.آ



آ

آ [font='trebuchet ms', arial, sans-serif]Resist.1.76291.75081.74391.73851.73191.72671.7147SupportQuoted:
23 Dec 05
06:15 GMT
[/font]



US Dollar/Japanese Yenآ آ آ آ


USDJPYآ آ (116.61آ @آ 06:19 GMT) USD/JPY ran out of steam as the market mulls the outcome of the storm of data next week from Japan. We're now back in the midrange of the retracement from the 115.60 recent lows. 116.80/117.00 is minor resistance and 115.60 is the support. The downside is preferred, but there may be little conviction in the market today.

Trading stance: stand aside for now.آ



آ

آ [font='trebuchet ms', arial, sans-serif]Resist.119.36118.13117.38116.61116.16115.68114.45SupportQuoted:
23 Dec 05
06:19 GMT
[/font]

[aalawee]

The latest fx market comments from our forex trading desk.


Wednesday December 28, 2005

EUR-USD
1.1827.
We prefer to see an attempt to below 1.1810 or below 1.1793 in extension. A clear break of 1.1853 is bullish.

USD-CHF
1.3177.
Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.3180 or 1.3225 if support around 1.3154 hold. After which a pullback to 1.3154 - 1.3142 zone is possible.

USD-JPY
117.42.
Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 117.93 or 118.18 if support around 117.06 hold. After which a pullback to 117.06 - 116.87 zone is possible.

GBP-USD
1.7272.
There is bearish potential for a fall to 1.7231 while 1.7307 - 1.7328 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 1.7328 or 1.7348 is expected.

EUR-CHF
1.5584.
Corrective dips should ideally halt near 1.5578 or 1.5572 for one more thrust upwards towards 1.5588 - 1.5597 area or 1.561 in extention. Fall below 1.5565 puts it back on a downward path.

EUR-JPY
138.87.
Current rise seems to be over near 138.98 or 139.36 for a retracement towards 138.59 - 138.34 area.

EUR-GBP
0.6846.
It looks set for gains to above 0.6858. Supports at 0.6836 and 0.6842. A break of 0.6830 will damage this bullish structure.

AUD-USD
0.7241.
There is bearish potential for a fall to 0.7212 while 0.7263 - 0.7278 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 0.7278 or 0.7292 is expected.

USD-CAD
1.1744.
Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 1.1768 or 1.1806 if support around 1.1716 hold. After which a pullback to 1.1716 - 1.1701 zone is possible.

[aalawee]

Thursday December 29, 2005

EUR-USD
1.1833.
While below 1.1823 or 1.1859 it could fall towards below 1.1740. Rise above 1.1883 could activate some bullish pattern.

USD-CHF
1.3171.
It should trade higher to 1.3225 or above 1.3279 in extention. Supports at 1.3111 and 1.3138. Stop loss below 1.3084 zone

USD-JPY
117.92.
Uptrend is still intact in a triangle configuration. It should continue to rally to 118.46 or 118.59 if support around 117.61 hold. After which a pullback to 117.61 - 117.45 zone is possible.

GBP-USD
1.7168.
There is bearish potential for a fall to 1.7063 or 1.6957 while 1.7288 - 1.7341 resist. After this fall a recovery up to 1.7288 or 1.7341 is expected.

EUR-CHF
1.5585.
It looks set for gains to above 1.5601. Supports at 1.5574 and 1.5582. A break of 1.5566 will damage this bullish structure.

EUR-JPY
139.53.
One move lower to 138.93 or 138.34 is anticipated while below 139.72 - 140.01 area. Stop loss above 140.50 zone.

EUR-GBP
0.6892.
Current upmove should be ended around 0.6917 - 0.6942. Any correction consolidation should find support in 0.6882 - 0.6870 zone.

AUD-USD
0.7289.
Current rise seems to be over near 0.7303 or 0.7324 for a retracement towards 0.7282 - 0.7264 area.

USD-CAD
1.1655.
Current fall seems to be over near 1.1636 or 1.1599 for a rebound towards 1.1672 - 1.1701 area.

[aalawee]

The latest fx market comments from our forex trading desk.




Tuesday January 3, 2006




EUR-USD
1.1828. It should see a sell off to below 1.1775 while 1.1831 area curtails its upside. A break beyond 1.1885 will abort the downside.
USD-CHF
1.3156. Corrective dips should ideally halt near 1.3149 or 1.3125 for one more thrust upwards towards 1.3177 - 1.3204 area or 1.3252 in extention. Fall below 1.3101 puts it back on a downward path.
USD-JPY
118.00. It should trade higher to 118.45 or above 118.89 in extention. Supports at 117.50 and 117.72. Stop loss below 117.28 zone
GBP-USD
1.7189. While below 1.7177 or 1.7217 it could fall towards below 1.7086. Rise above 1.7243 could activate some bullish pattern.
EUR-CHF
1.5562. It should test 1.5570 area after which a sell off down to 1.5539 or extended to 1.5515 area is expected.
EUR-JPY
139.59. It may attempt a test higher to 139.72 after which weakness may set it to a drift down to below 138.92 limit.
EUR-GBP
0.6882. It may attempt a test higher to 0.6887 after which weakness may set it to a drift down to below 0.6855 limit.
AUD-USD
0.7338. Currently uptrend should end around 0.7362 - 0.7353 area. A correction down to below 0.7315 is expected. A rise above 0.7368 will abort the expected correction.
USD-CAD
1.1633. While below 1.1620 - 1.1647 it might drop to 1.1593 or below 1.1554 zone.