تحليل و توصيات

[za3eem]

EUR

The pre-planned short positions from key resistance range levels were implemented with achievement of basic anticipated targets. OsMA trend indicator, having marked preservation of close parity of both party activity with mere bullish party prevailing, gives grounds to continuing of rate range movement but in favor of planning sales. Hence, we can assume probability of another test of 1,4000/20 resistance range levels, where it is recommended to evaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of a shorter time interval. As for short-term sales on condition of the formation of topping signals the targets will be 1,3940/60, 1,3880/1,3900 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1,3820/40, 1,3740/60. The alternative for buyers will be above 1,4080 with the targets of 1,4120/40, 1,4180/1,4200.

[الجامعه]

EURUSD has formed resistance at 1.3993 and support line at 1.3892. In previous analysis was stated that bears can control the situation, and current situation confirms that action even though bulls were trying to fight back. However trend is neutral for now with a chance to break support line and enter the negative zone.



EURUSDTrendSupportResistanceLong TermNeutral1.38921.3993

مشكور عالمجهود يللي تبذله ...
ان شاء الله لك مستقبل زاهر في هذا المجال عسى يستفيد الجميع من توصياتك
فالى الامام

[za3eem]

GBP

The pre-planned break-out variant for sales has been implemented with overlap of minimal anticipated target. OsMA trend indicator, having marked relative rise of both party activity as a result of the last session, considering the chosen strategy does not clarify the choice of planning priorities for today. Therefore, considering probable rate range movement and priorities for planning sales, we assume probability of reaching close border of Ichimoku cloud contained in 1,6340/60 levels where it is recommended to evaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of a shorter time interval. As for short-term sales on condition of the formation of topping signals the targets will be 1,6280/1,6300, 1,6180/1,6220 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1,6120/40, 1,6060/80, 1,5980/1,6020. The alternative for buyers will be above 1,6500 with the targets of 1,6560/80, 1,6640/60, 1,6700/20.

[za3eem]

شكراا يا غالي

[za3eem]

شكراا يا غالي

[za3eem]

EUR/USD

Today’s support: - 1.3947(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.3938, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.3910. Break of the latter would result in 1.3897. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.3860. Continuation will give 1.3843.
Today’s resistance: - 1.4047, 1.4096, 1.4136 and 1.4153(main). Break would give 1.4176, where a correction is possible. Then goes 1.4220. Break of the latter would result in 1.4243. If a strong impulse, we’d see 1.4264. Continuation will give 1.4310.

USD/JPY

Today’s support: - 94.94(main). Break would bring 94.61, where correction is possible. Then 94.39, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 94.13. If a strong impulse, we would see 93.80. Continuation would give 93.40.
Today’s resistance: - 95.78 and 96.43(main), where a correction may happen. Break would bring 96.77, where also a correction may be. Then 97.22. If a strong impulse, we would see 97.43. Continuation will give 97.76.

DOW JONES INDEX

Today’s support: - 8280.23 and 8247.22(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break of the latter will give 8224.00, where correction also can be. Then follows 8185.78. Be there a strong impulse, we would see 8148.62. Continuation will bring 8118.50 and 8100.00.
Today’s resistance: - 8376.18, 8417.22 and 8462.80(main), where a delay and correction may happen. Break would bring 8503.10, where a correction may happen. Then follows 8538.70, where a delay and correction could also be. Be there a strong impulse, we’d see 8551.50. Continuation would bring 8562.26.

[za3eem]

وداعا يا يورو وداعا يا باوند

[za3eem]

توصيات اليوم 8\7\2009
اليورو
بيع الزوج عند 1.3880 و الهدف 1.3750 و إيقاف الخسارة فوق 1.3965 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم
الباوند
بيع الزوج عند 1.6160 و الهدف 1.6005 و إيقاف الخسارة فوق 1.6245 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم
الين
بيع الزوج عند 94.75 و الهدف 93.80 ثم 93.00 و إيقاف الخسارة فوق 95.80 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم
الفرانك
شراء الزوج عند 1.0810 و الهدف 1.0940 و إيقاف الخسارة تحت 1.0745 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم
الكندي
شراء الزوج عند 1.1560 و الهدف 1.1680 و إيقاف الخسارة تحت 1.1475 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم

[za3eem]

الباوند\ين
بيع الزوج عند 152.50 و الهدف 149.80 و إيقاف الخسارة فوق 154.65 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم
اليورو\ين
بيع الزوج عند 131.50 والهدف 129.35 و إيقاف الخسارة فوق 133.20 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم
اليورو\باوند
نعتقد بأن شراء الزوج عند 0.8615 و الهدف 0.8720 و إيقاف الخسارة تحت 0.8525 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم

[za3eem]

الذهب
بيع الذهب عند 925.00 و الهدف910.00 و إيقاف الخسارة فوق 937.00 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم
الفضة
بيع الفضة عند 13.12 و 12.55 و إيقاف الخسارة فوق 13.60 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم

[za3eem]

النفط
بيع النفط عند 63.20 و الهدف 61.50 و إيقاف الخسارة فوق 64.20 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم

[za3eem]

EUR/USD

Resistance: 1,3930/ 1,3965/ 1,3990-00/ 1,4040/ 1,4100-10/ 1,4150-70
Support : 1,3860-65/ 1,3820-30/ 1,3780/ 1,3740-50/ 1,3720/ 1,3690/ 1,3640.


Comment: Euro declined yesterday reaching 1,3830 and confirming the sideways formation.
Euro didn’t break the formation despite the decline in stock markets and this leaves us cautious regarding the decline resumption, and price is likely to remain between 1,3800 and 1,4200. We will wait for the break for more signs regarding a trend formation, with downward target at 1,3600-50 and then 1,3450, while on the upside, our target will be at 1,4350-4400 or higher.
First resistance today emerges at 1,3940, followed by 1,3970 and 1,4000.. The area of 1,4050 is the most important resistance, and it is the higher range for today’s move.
Support emerges at 1,3960-70 and 1,3810-30.. A move below these levels, could lead to 1,3740-50 or even 1,3600-30.
For now there is no clear trend and we will move within the sideways formation…


STRATEGY:
We will move between the Bollinger Bands in the 4 hour chart. We will try sell orders at 1,4000-30 and buy orders at 1,3830-40. Stops will be set at 50 Pips.

[za3eem]

EUR/USD - Euro Dollar

1,3979. EUR USD broke 1,3920 resistance. The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are deviated. 1H ForexSto (Modified Stochastic) indicate a bullish pressure on EUR USD. The price should find a resistance below 1,3985 (6 pips). If the resistance breaks then the target will be 1,4020 (41 pips).
Resistances
1,3980 - 1,4020
Supports
1,3915 - 1,3830


GBP/USD - British Pound Dollar

1,6209. GBP USD broke 1,6140 resistance. The volatility rises. Bollinger bands are deviated. ForexTrend 4H (Mataf Trend Indicator) is in a bearish configuration. 1H ForexSto (Modified Stochastic) indicate a bullish pressure on GBP USD. daily ForexSto (Modified Stochastic) indicate a bearish pressure on GBP USD. The price should find a resistance below 1,6260 (51 pips).
Resistances
1,6215 - 1,6240
Supports
1,6125 - 1,6050


USD/CHF - Dollar Swiss Franc

1,0825. USD CHF is in a range between 1,0820 and 1,0945. USD CHF moves without trend and swings around exponential moving averages (EMA 50 and 100). The volatility is high. Bollinger bands are deviated. 1H ForexSto (Modified Stochastic) indicate a bearish pressure on USD CHF. The price should find a support above 1,0820 (5 pips). If the support breaks then the target will be 1,0750 (75 pips).
Resistances
1,0875 - 1,0945
Supports
1,0820 - 1,0750


USD/CAD - US Dollar Canadian Dollar

1,1582. USD CAD is in a range between 1,1540 and 1,1725. USD CAD moves without trend and swings around exponential moving averages (EMA 50 and 100). The volatility is high. Bollinger bands are deviated. Oscillators are neutral. The price should find a support above 1,1540 (42 pips). If the support breaks then the target will be 1,1500 (82 pips).
Resistances
1,1680 - 1,1725
Supports
1,1580 - 1,1540


USD/JPY - Dollar Yen

93,15. USD JPY is in an downtrend directed by 1H exponential moving averages. USD JPY is in a consolidation after the last bearish movement. The volatility decreases. Bollinger bands are tightened. ForexTrend 1H, 4H (Mataf Trend Indicator) is in a bearish configuration. The price should find a resistance below 93,70 (55 pips). The downtrend should continue to gather momentum.
Resistances
93,70 - 94,70
Supports
93,00 - 91,80

[za3eem]

EUR/USD Current Price: 1.3929



Slightly Bullish Hourly Sentiment is Seen in the Immediate-Term as Price bounces on The Retracement from 1.3843 Daily Static Support to move through the Daily Static Resistance Area of 1.3924. Further Appreciation sees 1.3949, 1.3970, and 1.3994 Static and Dynamic Resistance Areas, where a Full 20SMA/200SMA Hourly Bullish Crosses will be Seen, despite Oversold RSI Readings and Slope conditions. Failure to Hold Price through the 20SMA/1.3884 Dynamic Support sees Depreciation through this Confluence Area of The Daily Pivot onto Re-Test the 1.3843 Area for a potential Hourly Double-Bottom Formation. Continued Depreciation sees 1.3818 and 1.3778 as The Double-Bottom will be Negated in The Near-Term.
Support levels: 1.3884 1.3864 1.3843 1.3818 1.3778
Resistance levels: 1.1.3924 1.3949 1.3970 1.3989


GBP/USD Current Price: 1.6122



Neutral to Bullish Hourly Sentiment is Seen in the Immediate-Term as Price clears The 1.6004 Initial Daily Static Support through a Tight Range to 1.6123 Daily Static Resistance, where a Breach through the Daily Pivot/20SMA Dynamic Support Confluence will see an Immediate potential Re-Test of Support. Further Appreciation sees 1.6159 Static and 1.6185 Dynamic Resistance Areas, as Price looks to Negate the previous Downleg In Favor of a potential Hourly Double-Top Formation through Resistance @ 1.6280’s Area. Otherwise, Failure to maintain Initial Resistance sees a Breach of Support to 1.5968 and 1.5938 Support Levels in The Near-Term.
Support levels: 1.6063 1.6030 1.6004 1.5968 1.5938
Resistance levels: 1.6123 1.6159 1.6185 1.6238 1.6283


USD/JPY Current Price: 93.24



Neutral to Bearish Sentiment is seen with Price dependent on The Hold and Completion of The Hourly Bear Flag Pattern in current Formation. The 20SMA/200SMA Bearish Hourly Cross is holding Price at The Daily Pivot Level of 93.18 as further Depreciation sees 92.46 Dynamic and 92.00 Static Support in The Immediate-Term. Full Completion of The Flag calls for 89.80’s Area in the Near to Mid-Term, although this will be Negated if Price Appreciation Clips Initial Daily Static and Dynamic Resistance Areas through to 94.36 and 95.08, respectively. RSI Readings and Slope@ “45” confirm the Neutrality of The Pattern at this point, as The 20SMA provides Dynamic Immediate-Term Support.
Support levels: 93.18 92.45 92.00 91.78 91.46 91.27
Resistance levels: 93.77 94.36 94.77 95.08 95.68


USD/CHF: Current Price: 1.0867



Neutral to Bullish Hourly Sentiment is Seen as Price works through a Subtle 20SMA/200SMA Bullish Cross, and sees Accumulation at the 1.0865 Daily Static Support Area, with the 200 Hourly SMA providing Clear Dynamic Support. RSI Readings and Slope of “39” indicate follow-through of the current Bullish Retracement of the 1.0931 Daily Static Resistance Highs, as the 20SMA provides Dynamic Resistance in the Area as well. Continuation through sees a potential Re-Test and Hourly Double-Top with the July 6th High as Price will then see an Hourly Bull Flag Formation from the 1.0800 Lows, otherwise Price Negates this Retracement and Depreciates back through to 1.0840 Daily Static Support.
Support levels: 1.0865 1.0840 1.0817 1.0801 1.0784
Resistance levels: 1.0880 1.0905 1.0931 1.0946 1.0989

[za3eem]

EUR

The pre-planned break-out variant for sales has been implemented with achievement of minimal anticipated target. OsMA trend indicator, having marked this week`s Low by formation of bullish topping signal with further relative rise of buying activity without signs of choice for planning priorities, gives grounds favoring further rate correction period within the case of downside channel with continuing trend for further rate decline. Hence, we can assume probability of rate return to close 1,3930/50 resistance range levels, where it is recommended to evaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of a shorter time interval. As for short-term sales on condition of the formation of topping signals the targets will be 1,3860/80, 1,3820/30 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1,3760/80, 1,3700/20, 1,3640/60. The alternative for buyers will be above 1,4000 with the targets of 1,4040/60, 1,4100/20.




CHF

The estimated test of key supports for implementation of pre-planned long positions has not been confirmed, but assumed rate rise has not shown essential signs favoring bullish development. At this point, considering topping bearish moment that is formed according to OsMA trend indicator, and considering relative sales activity rise, we can assume probability of rate fall within the borders of Ichimoku to Senkou Span B line contained in 1,0830/40 levels, where it is recommended to evaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of a shorter time interval. As for short-term buying positions on condition of the formation of topping signals the targets will be 1,0880/90, 1,0940/60 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1,1000/20, 1,1060/80, 1,1140/60. The alternative for sales will be below 1,0780 with the targets of 1,0720/40, 1,0660/80, 1,0580/1,0620.




GBP

The pre-planned break-out variant for sales has been implemented but with damage to several points in achievement of minimal anticipated target. OsMA trend indicator, having marked this week`s Low by formation of bullish topping signal, gives grounds to assume further rate correction period with attainment of close Ichimoku cloud borders contained in 1,6180/1,6220 levels, where it is recommended to evaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of a shorter time interval. As for short-term sales on condition of the formation of topping signals the targets will be 1,6100/20, 1,6020/40, 1,5960/80 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1,5880/1,5900, 1,5800/20, 1,5700/20. The alternative for buyers will be above 1,6300 with the targets of 1,6360/80, 1,6440/60, 1,6500/20.




JPY

The pre-planned break-out variant for sales has been implemented with achievement of anticipated targets. OsMA trend indicator, having marked essential bearish activity rise at the break of key supports, gives grounds in favor of bearish priority for planning of trading operations for today. Nevertheless, we can assume probability of test of Kijun line in Ichimoku indicator contained in 93,60/80 levels, where it is recommended to evaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of a shorter time interval. As for short-term sales, on condition of the formation of topping signals the targets will be 93,00/20, 92,20/40, 91,60/80 and (or) further break-out variant up to 91,00/20, 90,40/60, 89,80/90,00. The alternative for buyers will be above 95,20 with the targets of 95,60/80, 96,20/40.