بدون مؤشرات ..لنراقب

[Marium]

اليورو
السعر 1.4733
سيذهب اولا الى 1.4744 اذا اخترقها سيذهب الى 1.4780
التوصية شراء اليورو بهدف 1.4775 والبيع عند 1.4780 بهدف 140 نقطة واستب 45 نقطة
بالتوفيق

تسلم ياستاذ مروان حقق اهداف الشراء والبيع في الطريق الى الهدف انشاء الله

[adel2007]

يا اهلا وسهلا بالباشا الكبير...الحاج مروان...
والله الشباب اشتاقوا كثير لتوصياتك وماشاء الله عليك ماقصرت معاهم...
والى الاهداف ان شاء الله...

[za3eem]

EUR/USD - TRADERS favour buy dip 1.4735-40 target 1.4820 stop below 1.4700
USD/CHF - TRADERS favour sell rally 1.03220 target 1.0240 stop above 1.0360
EUR/CHF - TRADERS favour buy dip within 1.5150-90 stop below 1.5110
GBP/USD – TRADERS favour buy dip 1.5940 target 1.6050 stop below 1.5900
USD/YEN - TRADERS favour sell rally 88.85-95 target 87.80-50 stop above 89.40
EUR/YEN – TRADERS favour sell rally within 131 to 129 range
XAU/USD - TRADERS favour sell rally 1063 target 1.044 stop above 1063
XAG/USD - TRADERS favour sell rally 17.92 target 17.40 stop above 18.03

[za3eem]

Oil- EIA weekly inventory stats: Crude stocks -978k bbl Gasoline stocks +2.94mn bbl Distillate stocks +679k bbl – NYMEX November crude future traded on oil fundamentals not the direction of the $ or stock mkt, it fell with gasoline/heating oil futures after larger than expected supply increase in EIA data from 71.76 to 68.88 before settling at 69.57 o/n, geopolitical concerns resurfaced with Nigeria militant group late lat night said it would resume attacks against oil co’s once ceasefire expires end next week & US pentagon announcing a giant bunker buster bomb would be ready within month adding powerful weapon to arsenal aid tensions over Iran’s nuclear programme, lifting future briefly from 69.72 to 70.40 in Asia, it needs to hold above 68.85 & recover past 70.60 to challenge 71.75-72.00 or 72.65-73.20 failure risking setback to 68.05-67.50 or 66.20, support 68.85,/68.05 & 67.50, res 70.60/71.75 & 72.00

[za3eem]

Gold – Comex yesterday closed at 1043/44, high 1044/45 (day’s high 1048/49) & low 1038/39. Gold had a relatively quiet day and never left its $5 range of 1039/44 during NY session, but still volumes were decent going through all day. (UBS Metal), continued $ weakness & expectations that Indian Diwali holiday next week could provide some physical support lifted it in Asia from 1044/45 to 1054/55, ignoring some speculation that China returning from Golden week holiday tomorrow could see some selling as prices rose ard $50 since they went on holiday, while above 1040-1035 mkt targets 1056-1060 or 1065-1070 failure risking setback to 11030-1024 or 1020-1015, support 1040/1035 & 1030, res 1056/1060 & 1065

[za3eem]

Canada –Finmin Flaherty last night said the volatility in the CAD was a major concern for business & Canada would keep stimulus spending for 2 years as planned & then remove it. He also hinted international concern about the weakness in the dollar - the vote on budget implementation bill might be this week & minority Conservative government could face a new confidence test with Liberals to vote against but government seen surviving, house leader Hill quoted saying -USD/CAD range bound within 1.0645-50 to 1.0525-30 with cross yen and oil price movements dominating o/n, it fell again from 1.0615-20 to 1.0530-35 in Asia, while below 1.0670 risk to 1.0520-1.0475 or 1.0440-00 only back above could challenge 1.0720-50 or 1.0785-1.0820, support 1.0520/1.0475 & 1.0440 res 1.0670/1.0720 & 1.0750

[za3eem]

New Zealand –-Finmin English was on Bloomberg earlier, repeating that he's 'uncomfortable' with the level of the NZD & it was boosted by external factors, adding due to its strength recovery would not be export led - NZD/USD also met profit taking from shy of 0.74 to 0.7320-25 & closed ard 0.7365-70 o/n, option & fund related demand lifted it to 0.7405 then slipped back to 0.7380 then took another leg up after much better Australia job data, trading to 0.7420-25 highs before stalling in Asia, while above 0.7360-20 mkt targets 0.7445-70 or 0.7500-30 failure risking setback to 0.7285-50 or 0.7215-00, support 0.7360/0.7320 & 0.7285, res 0.7445/0.7470 & 0.7500

[za3eem]

Australia –- employment +40.6k vs -10k consensus, -27.1k last; unemployment rate 5.7% vs 6.0% consensus, 5.8% last. this is a strong report, indicating that the labour market is clearly at a turning point. Reflecting this, we are cutting our peak unemployment rate forecast to 6% (Q2 2010) from an already sub-consensus 6.75%, though we wouldn't expect it to move much below its current level before 2011 We also tweak our RBA view to include a further 25bp hike in December, after 25bp in November (with a risk of 50bp). We maintain our core view that the RBA will move the cash rate to a more normal level, now 4.25% versus 4% before, by the end of the first quarter, before pausing for six months. Some slowing in near-term domestic growth, a higher AUD, 'on-hold' global central banks and moderating CPI should mean lifting the cash rate much higher than about 4.25% will be unnecessary in H1 2010. (UBS Research) - UBS equity desk noted good ongoing flows into Asian equities yesterday, and more is expected into Australia as equities and the Asia-Pacific region get up weighted in global asset allocations. This morning, the AFR reports that Australian fund managers' exposure to cash investments currently comprises about 18% of their holdings, equates to about $A160bn. - ANZ & NAB announced that they would hike therir mortgage home loan rates also by 25 bp -AUD/USD profit taking was the name of the game, pressuring it from 0.8945-50 to 0.8865-70 & closed ard 0.8900-05 o/n, it first tracked kiwi & gold to 0.8935 then strong job data saw it gap to 0.9030-35 highs in Asia, while above 0.8950 mkt targets 0.9050-75 or 0.9125-55 failure risking setback to 0.8900-0.8865 or 0.8800-0.8775, support 0.8950/0.8900 & 0.8865, res 0.9050/0.9075 & 0.9125

[za3eem]

FX-GBP/USD was the slave of £ and yen crosses for most of the session, trading within 1.5855-60 to 1.5970-75 & closed ard 1.5955-60 o/n, it briefly dipped to 1.5945-50 before early Asia started buying risk which increased after better Australia job data, taking it to 1.6010-15 highs, before stalling in Asia, while below 1.6050 risk to 1.5930-1.5860 or 1.5825-1.5770 only back above could challenge 1.6130-75 or 1.6230-1.6300, support 1.5930/1.5860 & 1.5825 res 1.6050/1.6130 & 1.6175 -EUR/GBP chopped within 0.9275-80 to 0.9190-95 with chatter of EM Central banks reserve diversification supply capping advances, it closed ard 0.9205-10 o/n, it traded to 0.9225-30 in Asia, it needs to hold above 0.9170 to challenge 0.9280-0.9300 or 0.9325-40 failure risking setback to 0.9140-00 or 0.9075, support 0.9170/0.9140 & 0.9100, res 0.9280/0.9325 & 0.9340 -GBP/CHF recovered from 1.6320-30 to 1.6500-10 o/n, it drifted back from 1.6480-90 to 1.6440-50 in Asia, a recovery past 1.6530 needed to challenge 1.6620-80 or 1.6735-60 failure risking setback to 1.6380-20 or 1.6285-20, support 1.6380/1.6320 & 1.6285 res 1.6530/1.66620 & 1.6680–GBP/JPY tumbled on US house report suggesting Japan margin trader being huge (7bln) long & decent stops sitting below 140, taking it to 139.70-75 but lacked follow through & reversed course with usdyen surging back up on decent demand by various names to 141.90-00 before finally stalling o/n, it chopped within 141.50-60 to 141.00-10 in Asia, while below 142.35 risk to 140.75-139.65 or 139.00-138.60 only back above could challenge 142.75-143.20 or 144.00-55, support 140.75/ 139.65 &139.00 res 142.35/142.75 & 143.20

[فارس سبيع]

جزاك الله خير وبارك الله فيك يا اخي za3ee
حاول تكتب بالعربي جزاك الله خير لانا نستفيد منك


واقول للاخ مرون حمدالله على سلامتك وبارك الله في علمك

[za3eem]

FX –-USD/CHF held early lows ard 1.0265-70 & tracked usdyen higher & helped by extremely oversold levels reached in $ index, taking it up to 1.0355-60 before running out of steam & settled ard 1.0330-35 o/n, it steadily lost ground to 1.0270-75 with surging commodity bloc pressuring greenback across the board in Asia , while below 1.0360 risk to 1.0235-00 or 1.0170-15 only back above could challenge 1.0390-1.0410 or 1.0455-90, support 1.0235/1.0200 & 1.0170 resistance 1.0360/1.0390 & 1.0410 -EUR/CHF recovered in tandem with usdchf and on growing risk tolerance & despite good offers on the way up from 1.5125-30 to 1.5175-80 o/n, it traded stable within 1.5170-80 in Asia, it needs to hold aboe 1.5115 & recover past 1.5195 to challenge 1.5245-70 or 1.5305-40 failure risking setback to 1.5075-40 or 1.5000, support 1.5115/1.5075 & 1.5040 res 1.5195/1.5245 & 1.5270

[za3eem]

FX –EUR/USD was a side show with all attention concentrated on the yen for most of session until the NY close, it briefly touched 1.4735-40 before dipping back to 1.4650-55 aided by chatter of think thank report suggesting EU unease over eur strength ( seems suggesting Trichet could use p/c to talk it down), that story got quickly brushed aside & bounced aided by strong Alcoa result, closing ard 1.4680-85 o/n, risk demand after strong Australia job data & continued chatter of ACB reserve diversifications supported throughout the session, taking it to highs ard 1.4770-75 were finally profit taking capped in Asia, it needs to hold above 1.4705 & recover past 1.4805 to test 1.4850-70 or 1.4910-50 failure risking setback to 1.4680-50 or -1.4580-15, support 1.4705/1.4680 & 1.4650, res 1.4805/1.4850 & 1.4870

[za3eem]

FX –-USD/JPY had a joy ride, virtually saw one way street down in early session with mix of exporter/UK clearer/real money & German bank selling as well as US house report suggesting huge longs by Japan margin accounts being ard ($11bln) to shy of 88.00, then purported option KO & importer bids supported followed by restless & sizeable Middle East associated banks & 11gmt fixing demand that squeezed out intraday shorts to 89.35-40 highs before finally stalling & falling back down, settling ard 88.70-75 o/n, broad AUD led $ weakness pressured back to 88.20-25 in thin volume as many failed to reach work due to transportation havoc caused by Typhoon in Asia, while below 88.80 risk to break below 88.00 to test 87.55-10 or 0.8650 only back above could challenge 89.40-70 or 90.10-40, support 88.00/ 87.55 & 87.10 res 88.80/89.40 & 89.70–EURYEN first tumbled on chatter of large (eur 18bln) EZ bond redemptions this Friday related supply as well as usdyen sell off to lows ard 129.55-60 then switched sides & snapped back up to 131.05-10 before falling back into mid 130’s o/n, players found it hard to decide on weather to follow usdyen down or eurusd up, trading within 130.45-50 to 129.95-00 in Asia, while below 131.10 risk to break below 129.70 for test of 129.00-128.55 or 127.80-00 only back above could challenge 131.65-132.05 or 132.70-133.00, support 129.70/ 129.00 & 128.55 res 131.10/131.65 & 132.05 -YEN/CHF chopped within 1.1550-60 to 1.1680-90 o/n, it traded within 1.1620-30 to 1.1660-70 in Asia, while above 1.1580 mkt targets break above 1.1710 to test 1.1850-1.1950 failure risking setback to 1.15-1.14, support 1.1580/1.1530 & 1.1470 res 1.1710/1.1750 & 1.1820

[za3eem]

تقرير منتصف اليوم

يواصل زوج اليورو مقابل الدولار ارتفاعه التدريجي ضمن القناة الصاعدة والتي تظهر بوضوح من خلال الرسم البياني أعلاه، وبالتالي فإننا نبقي على توقعاتنا الصباحية كما هي وننتظر اتجاهاً صاعداً على الأنظمة الزمنية اللحظية والهدف وصول 1.4845 ومن ثم 1.4970 مع ضرورة ثبات التداول فوق مستوى 1.4470 للحفاظ على الاتجاه الصاعد المتوقع لبقية تداولات هذا اليوم.

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين مستوى الدعم 1.4470 ومستوى المقاومة 1.4970

الاتجاه العام صاعد نحو الأعلى بثبات مستوى 1.4135 والأهداف عند 1.6000

[za3eem]

نجح زوج الجنيه الإسترليني مقابل الدولار باختراق مستوى خط الرقبة الموضح في تقريرنا الصباحي عند 1.6020 ويندفع نحو الأعلى بثبات بعد إعادة اختبار المستوى المخترق كما هو موضح بالصورة الفرعية، وبالتالي فإننا نحتفظ بتوقعاتنا الصباحية وننتظر مزيد من الارتفاع وصولاً إلى مستويات 1.6200 بعد اختراق مستوى المقاومة الفرعي 1.6120 والذي من المحتمل أن يعيق طريق الزوج في الارتفاع والانتباه أيضاً إلى أهمية ثبات مستوى 1.5800 للحفاظ على الاتجاه الصاعد المتوقع.

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين مستوى الدعم 1.5550 ومستوى المقاومة 1.6300

الاتجاه العام صاعد نحو الأعلى بثبات مستوى 1.4840 والأهداف عند 1.7100