تحليلات يومية منقولة

[أبو قمر]

أخي عبد المهيمن
شكر الله لك هذا التعب
أشكرك مرة اخرى...
أينما تحل تنفع

[عبد المهيمن]

saxo bank wake up

08-10-2007

[عبد المهيمن]

أخي عبد المهيمن

شكر الله لك هذا التعب
أشكرك مرة اخرى...

أينما تحل تنفع

العفو اخي الكريم اتمنى ان تعم الفائدة على جميع الاخوة ويستفيدو من الموضوع

[phoenix]

مجهود رائع أخي عبد المهيمن بارك الله فيك

[عبد المهيمن]

السلام عليكم

RCPL_FOREX_-_Daily_Update_as_on_08-10-2007

تجدون التحديث في المرفقات

[عبد المهيمن]

مجهود رائع أخي عبد المهيمن بارك الله فيك

الله يبارك فيك اخي

[عبد المهيمن]

Euro Crosses Continue Higher, but Rally Looks Tired


تحليل عن كروسات اليورو مصدره FXCM
http://www.dailyfx.com/story/currenc...cle#mainwindow

يمكن لكم متابعة التحليل عن طريق الرابط حيث ان ارفاق الصور في بعض الصعوبة

[عبد المهيمن]

السلام عليكم أخواني اعتذر عن متابعة الموضوع هذا من فترة وسوف اعود إلى متابعته والله يقدرني على المتابعة بشكل دائم


توصيات السيانث بنك وهو اصبح فرع من ساكسو بنك الان

توصيات 15/02/2008

EURUSD

• <LI class="first taxonomy_term_130">Daily
• Forex

Trading range: price action should remain range bound between 1.4690 and 1.4560.
Analysis name : Euro-Dol
Last close :

• <LI id=prices_last_close>1.45710
• 1.46420

Last status id : stopped
Last status text : Invalidated. Trade o
Current date : 2008-02-15 06:51:32
Current title : Trading range.
Current directionnal id : range
Current directionnal text : Range
Current reward id : none
Current reward text : Neutral
Current abstract text : Trading range: price action should remain range bound between 1.4690 and 1.4560.
Current strategy text : We play the range, taking long/short positions near the upper/lower limits.
Current scenario preference : Buy close to 1.4560 or sell on 1.4690.

• Signal :0
• Conf. :1.4560;1.4690;
• Target :0
• Stop :0

USDJPY

• <LI class="first taxonomy_term_130">Daily
• Forex

The picture is bullish.
Analysis name : Dol-Yen
Last close :

• <LI id=prices_last_close>108.16000
• 107.84000

Last status id : in_progress
Last status text : In progress.
Current date : 2008-02-15 07:14:00
Current title : Direct rise.
Current directionnal id : up
Current directionnal text : Bullish
Current reward id : good
Current reward text : Good
Current abstract text : The picture is bullish.
Current strategy text : We buy.
Current scenario preference : Buy at 108.00 to play 109.30. Close the trade whenever 107.50 is penetrated.

• Signal :108.00
• Conf. :0
• Target :109.30
• Stop :107.50

EURJPY

• <LI class="first taxonomy_term_130">Daily
• Forex

Bullish signals triggered.
Analysis name : Euro-Yen
Last close :

• <LI id=prices_last_close>157.62000
• 157.89000

Last status id : none
Last status text : Trading range.
Current date : 2008-02-15 07:12:34
Current title : Direct rise.
Current directionnal id : up
Current directionnal text : Bullish
Current reward id : excellent
Current reward text : Excellent
Current abstract text : Bullish signals triggered.
Current strategy text : We go long.
Current scenario preference : Buy at 157.90 to play 159.50. Close the trade whenever 157.40 is penetrated.

• Signal :157.90
• Conf. :0
• Target :159.50
• Stop :157.40

USDCAD

• <LI class="first taxonomy_term_130">Daily
• Forex

Trading range: price action should remain range bound between 1.0010 and 0.9950.
Analysis name : Canadian
Last close :

• <LI id=prices_last_close>0.99730
• 1.00000

Last status id : none
Last status text : Trading range.
Current date : 2008-02-15 07:10:46
Current title : Trading range.
Current directionnal id : range
Current directionnal text : Range
Current reward id : none
Current reward text : Neutral
Current abstract text : Trading range: price action should remain range bound between 1.0010 and 0.9950.
Current strategy text : We play the range, taking long/short positions near the upper/lower limits.
Current scenario preference : Buy close to 0.9950 or sell on 1.0010.

• Signal :0
• Conf. :0.9950;1.0010;
• Target :0
• Stop :0

EURCHF

• <LI class="first taxonomy_term_130">Daily
• Forex

Drop after bouncing against a resistance.
Analysis name : Euro-Sf
Last close :

• <LI id=prices_last_close>1.61390
• 1.60540

Last status id : stopped
Last status text : Invalidated. Trade o
Current date : 2008-02-15 07:09:42
Current title : Small bounce before drop.
Current directionnal id : up_down
Current directionnal text : Bearish
Current reward id : excellent
Current reward text : Excellent
Current abstract text : Drop after bouncing against a resistance.
Current strategy text : We will wait for the bounce to go short.
Current scenario preference : Sell at 1.6110 to play 1.6000. Close the trade whenever 1.6130 is bypassed.

• Signal :1.6110
• Conf. :0
• Target :1.6000
• Stop :1.6130

EURGBP

• <LI class="first taxonomy_term_130">Daily
• Forex

The analysis suggests a direct drop.
Analysis name : Euro-Sterling
Last close :

• <LI id=prices_last_close>0.74240
• 0.74370

Last status id : in_progress
Last status text : In progress.
Current date : 2008-02-15 07:08:30
Current title : Direct drop.
Current directionnal id : down
Current directionnal text : Bearish
Current reward id : good
Current reward text : Good
Current abstract text : The analysis suggests a direct drop.
Current strategy text : We sell.
Current scenario preference : Sell at 0.7435 to play 0.7395. Close the trade whenever 0.7450 is bypassed.

• Signal :0.7435
• Conf. :0
• Target :0.7395
• Stop :0.7450

GBPUSD

• <LI class="first taxonomy_term_130">Daily
• Forex

Trading range: price action should remain range bound between 1.9775 and 1.9660.
Analysis name : Cable
Last close :

• <LI id=prices_last_close>1.96300
• 1.96880

Last status id : none
Last status text : Trading range.
Current date : 2008-02-15 07:02:33
Current title : Trading range.
Current directionnal id : range
Current directionnal text : Range
Current reward id : none
Current reward text : Neutral
Current abstract text : Trading range: price action should remain range bound between 1.9775 and 1.9660.
Current strategy text : We play the range, taking long/short positions near the upper/lower limits.
Current scenario preference : Buy close to 1.9660 or sell on 1.9775.

• Signal :0
• Conf. :1.9660;1.9775;
• Target :0
• Stop :0

AUDUSD

• <LI class="first taxonomy_term_130">Daily
• Forex

Bearish anticipation.
Analysis name : Aussie
Last close :

• <LI id=prices_last_close>0.89660
• 0.90180

Last status id : in_progress
Last status text : In progress.
Current date : 2008-02-15 06:47:26
Current title : Direct drop.
Current directionnal id : down
Current directionnal text : Bearish
Current reward id : excellent
Current reward text : Excellent
Current abstract text : Bearish anticipation.
Current strategy text : We sell.
Current scenario preference : Sell at 0.9070 to play 0.8920. Close the trade whenever 0.9090 is bypassed.

• Signal :0.9070
• Conf. :0
• Target :0.8920
• Stop :0.9090

USDCHF

• <LI class="first taxonomy_term_130">Daily
• Forex

Bullish signals triggered.
Analysis name : Dol-Sf
Last close :

• <LI id=prices_last_close>1.10760
• 1.09630

Last status id : stopped
Last status text : Invalidated. Trade o
Current date : 2008-02-15 06:46:21
Current title : Direct rise.
Current directionnal id : up
Current directionnal text : Bullish
Current reward id : excellent
Current reward text : Excellent
Current abstract text : Bullish signals triggered.
Current strategy text : We buy.
Current scenario preference : Buy at 1.0945 to play 1.1070. Close the trade whenever 1.0920 is penetrated.

• Signal :1.0945
• Conf. :0
• Target :1.1070
• Stop :1.0920

[عبد المهيمن]

15/02/2008
تحليلات منقولة عن موقع
FX News from 4Cast

مرفقة لكم

[MUHANNAD123]

تشكر على هذه المعلومات القيمة بس شو رأيك الشخصي بمدى الوثوق بهذه المعلومات

[عبد المهيمن]

Saxo wake-Up Call
15/02/2008

Published daily.
By the Saxo Bank Strategy Team Wakeup CallFriday, February 15, 2008 7:50:00 AM GMT By Christian Svendsen
Market Strategist
Greenspan At It Again!

Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan has been added to those who see the American economy teetering on the verge of a recession, giving this outcome a 50% or better probability of happening.



Overnight News Bullets

• GE GDP QoQ/YoY (4Q) out at 0.3%/1.8% vs. 0.3%/1.8% expected vs. 0.7%/2.5% prior read.
• SW Unemployment Rate (JAN) out at 6.4% vs. 6.3% expected vs. 5.6% prior read.
• SW Average House Prices (JAN) out at 1.952M vs. 1.984M prior read (revised lower to 1.904M)
• SZ ZEW Survey Expectations (FEB) out at -55.6 vs. -35.0 expected vs. -32.7 prior read.
• E-Z GDP QoQ/YoY (4Q) out at 0.4%/2.3% vs. 0.3%/2.2% expected vs. 0.8%/2.7% prior read.
• US Trade Balance (DEC) out at -$58.8B vs. -$61.5B expected vs. -$63.1B prior read.
• CA International Merchandise Trade (DEC) out at C$2.4 vs. C$3.4 expected vs. C$3.7 prior read (revised higher to C$3.8)
• US Continuing Jobless Claims (FEB) out at 2671K vs. 2759K expected vs. 2785K prior read (revised lower to 2770K)
• US Jobless Claims (FEB) out at 348K vs. 347K expected vs. 356K prior read (revised lower to 357K)
• US EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (FEB) out at -120 vs. -117 expected vs. -200 prior read.
• NZ Retail Sales MoM (DEC) out at 0.1%% vs. 0.1% expected vs. 2.0% prior read.
• NZ Retail Sales Less Autos MoM (DEC) out at 0.3% vs. 0.9% prior read.
• NZ Retail Sales Ex. Inflation QoQ (4Q) out at 0.3% vs. 0.6% expected vs. 0.2% prior read.
• JN BoJ Target Rate (FEB) out at 0.50% vs. 0.50% expected vs. 0.50% prior read.

Markets

• FX: Yen lower against 15 of 12 most-active currencies, with stocks in Asia paring losses. Dollar weaker yet major dollar support lines holding, with advances in EURUSD capped by 1.4665
• Stocks: Europe Flat, US and Asian Equities fall on credit market concerns.
• Fixed Income: 10-yr Treasuries advance on Greenspan's recession comments. Bunds and JGBs little changed on Thursday's trading.
• Commodities: Crude oil higher after a rally on Wednesday with March contract now at $95.16. Gold little-changed with spot prices at now $909.20.

O/N Data Heat map:

EUUSJPUKSZAUCANZNOSEFR+----


Calendar


Today's Highlights:

Time (GMT)RegionReleaseConsensus09:00NOTrade Balance (JAN)37.0B10:00ECE-Z Trade Balance (DEC)0.5B13:30CANew Motor Vehicle Sales MoM (DEC)3.0%13:30CAManufacturing Shipments MoM (DEC)-0.2%13:30USImport Price Index MoM/YoY (JAN)0.5%/12.7%13:30USEmpire Manufacturing (FEB)6.514:00USNet Long-Term TIC Flows (DEC)$73.5B14:00USTotal Net TIC Flows (DEC)$65.0B14:00ECTrichet speaks on structural reforms
14:15USIndustrial Production (JAN)0.1%14:15USCapacity Utilization (JAN)81.3%15:00USUniversity of Michigan Confidence (FEB)76.018:00USBaker Hughes U.S. Rig Count (FEB)Prior 175518:15USFED’s Mishkin speaks on Tools for Financial Disruptions

This and Next Week’s Highlights:

DateRegionReleaseFeb 17JNTertiary Industry IndexFeb 18UKRightmove House PricesFeb 18JNLeading Economic Index, Coincident IndexFeb 18SZAdjusted Retail SalesFeb 19AUPreliminary BoP Imports, Westpac Leading IndexFeb 19SWA string of CPI’sFeb 19ECConstruction OutputFeb 19CAA string of CPI’s, Wholesale SalesFeb 19USNAHB Housing Market Index, ABC Consumer ConfidenceFeb 19JNBoJ minutes for Monetary Policy Meeting


What's going on?

• New York Insurance Department has indicated that a rescue plan for largest bond insurers, MBIA and Ambac, may already be in place, as both companies are struggling to retain their AAA ratings. The plans to aid the monoliners involve regulators to raise $15B of capital and the news come as Moody’s cuts FGIC’s insurance units 6 levels to A3 from Aaa.
• Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan has been added to those who see the American economy teetering on the verge of a recession, giving this outcome a 50% or better probability of happening.
• Crude oil is trading higher on sustained growth in Asia and geopolitical situtation, despite news from the credit front that point to further global slowdown. While $96 a barrel marks a critical resistance level on the upside, a break of $95 will take the prices substantially lower.

FX



EURUSDJPYGBPCHFAUDCADNZDNOKSEKPLN+-+-

FX Trading Strategies

PairSupp.Resis.CommentsUSDJPY107.64108.15Market seems to have a hard time following through on moves lately we might look to sell the break of 107.65 offered in USDJPY as this would represent a rejection of the recent rally.

Equities


Daimler (DAI:xetr) Might Have Posted A Profit For ’07 But The Sector Is Still Under Pressure And For The Short-term We Sell




Equities: Yesterdays U.S. session was firstly affected by the gloomy outlook on the U.S. economy presented by Ben Bernanke at his testimonial in front of Congress. Banks were generally hit in yesterdays U.S. session on a note made by Lehman Brothers saying that investment banks may have to make further write downs on credit losses. The downgrading of FGIC, the fourth largest in the world, made the markets nervous. However it was stressed that MBIA and AMBAC is in better financial shape and they edged higher in the trading session. The trend from the U.S. session continued in the Asian session where markets are trading nearly flat, however banks were hit as the fear of further write downs on assets spurred and technology stocks went lower on the fear of economic slowdown.
DAXUKXCACOMXKFXOBXSMINDXDJISPXNKY(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)

Equity Trading Strategies


We are having a weak outlook for the Auto industry especially for the luxury high-end of the sector. Even if Daimler managed to post a profit for ’07 after selling off their Chrysler unit we like the downtrend in Daimler, and with our negative outlook for the automotive sector. We want to sell around 54-55, with a stop at 56. Targeting 50.

Equity Index Levels Equity Index Levels




Futures

Oil: Surprisingly strong after IEA projections downgrade



BundsUS 10-YrCrude OilSilverGoldGiltsJGBsEuribor---++

Futures Trading Strategies

Sell clh8 at 95.80 area; Stop above 96.40; Targets 94.30 & 92.60.


Risk warning

Saxo Bank A/S shall not be responsible for any loss arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained. The contents of this publication should not be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by Saxo Bank that clients will profit from the strategies herein or that losses in connection therewith can or will be limited. Trades in accordance with the recommendations in an analysis, especially leveraged investments such as foreign exchange trading and investment in derivatives, can be very speculative and may result in losses as well as profits, in particular if the conditions mentioned in the analysis do not occur as anticipated.

Please read our full Analysis Disclosure & Disclaimer at www.saxobank.com/analysis/disclaimer.

[عبد المهيمن]

Daily Market Report from Jysje Bank15/02/2008

http://www.jyskebank.dk/_jb/commonin...c=uk051007.pdf

[عبد المهيمن]

Real Time Forex
15/02/2008

[عبد المهيمن]

تحليلات يومية من موقع
Forex Forecast - Forex Trade Signal Alerts - Forex Trading Advice // IntelliForex

Currency pair: EUR/USD - no active forecastCurrent rate: 1.4650 / 1.4653 at 08:30 AM GMT </IMG>

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Currency pair: GBP/USD - no active forecastCurrent rate: 1.9671 / 1.9674 at 08:30 AM GMT </IMG>

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Currency pair: USD/CHF - no active forecastCurrent rate: 1.0964 / 1.0967 at 08:30 AM GMT </IMG>

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Currency pair: USD/CAD - no active forecastCurrent rate: 0.9979 / 0.9982 at 08:29 AM GMT </IMG>

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Currency pair: AUD/USDStart rate: 0.8979 at 2008-02-11 12:30 AM GMT Forecast rate: 0.9104 at 2008-02-15 08:00 PM GMT Stop-Loss rate: 0.8864 Current rate: 0.9045 / 0.9048 at 08:30 AM GMT </IMG>

[عبد المهيمن]

السلام عليكم أخواني
فقط للتذكير هنا أن جميع ما يرد في هذا الموضوع هو منقول و أحرص على ذكر المصدر وليست باي حال من الاحوال توصية من قبلي او تحليل من قبلي أتمنى الأفادة للجميع
ولا للتوصيات