تحليلات Fxcmtr التابعة لشركة Fxcm

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 13:11 (GMT +2)Ticker: EURLast: 1.5454Pivot: 1.5541st sup.1.53752nd sup.1.5333rd sup.1.52851st res.1.5542nd res.1.5613rd res.1.5648Title: EUR/USD intraday: drop towards 1.535Summary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 1.554

Our preference: Short positions below 1.554 with targets @ 1.5375 & 1.533 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.554 look for further upside with 1.561 & 1.5648 as targets.

Comments: the downside breakout of the lower boundary of an intraday declining channel calls for a continuation of the correction.

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 13:11 (GMT +2)Ticker: JPYLast: 99.53Pivot: 991st sup.992nd sup.98.553rd sup.98.121st res.100.222nd res.100.453rd res.101.25Title: USD/JPY intraday: bullish above 99Summary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 99

Our preference: Long @ 99.1 with targets @ 100.22 & 100.45 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 99 look for further downside with 98.55 & 98.12 as targets.

Comment: the pair has broken above a declining trend line.

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 13:12 (GMT +2)Ticker: GBPLast: 1.9835Pivot: 1.9841st sup.1.97392nd sup.1.973rd sup.1.9651st res.1.9842nd res.1.98743rd res.1.99Title: GBP/USD intraday: resistance at 1.984Summary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 1.984

Our preference: Short positions below 1.984 with targets @ 1.9739 & 1.97 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.984 look for further upside with 1.9874 & 1.99 as targets.

Comment: the 30-min RSI failed to confirm a bullish divergence.

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 13:14 (GMT +2)Ticker: CHFLast: 1.0139Pivot: 1.00551st sup.1.00552nd sup.0.99833rd sup.0.9951st res.1.01752nd res.1.02253rd res.1.025Title: USD/CHF intraday: rise towards 1.0225Summary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 1.0055

Our preference: Long @ 1.0065 with targets @ 1.0175 & 1.0225 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.0055 look for further downside with 0.9983 & 0.995 as targets.

Comment: the pair has broken above a declining trend line.

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 16:46 (GMT +2)Ticker: EURJPYLast: 152.22Pivot: 153.11st sup.151.82nd sup.151.253rd sup.150.751st res.153.12nd res.1543rd res.154.74Title: EUR/JPY intraday: challenging its supportSummary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 153.1

Our preference: Short positions below 153.1 with targets @ 151.8 & 151.25 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 153.1 look for further upside with 154 & 154.74 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is bearish, the pair is approaching its strong support level.

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 16:44 (GMT +2)Ticker: GBPJPYLast: 195.56Pivot: 1971st sup.194.52nd sup.193.53rd sup.192.61st res.1972nd res.1983rd res.198.84Title: GBP/JPY intraday: bearish biasSummary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 197

Our preference: Short positions below 197 with targets @ 194.5 & 193.5 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 197 look for further upside with 198 & 198.84 as targets.

Comment: the pair is challenging its support, the RSI is mixed.

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 16:42 (GMT +2)Ticker: EURCHFLast: 1.5607Pivot: 1.5651st sup.1.55752nd sup.1.5553rd sup.1.551st res.1.5652nd res.1.573rd res.1.5739Title: EUR/CHF intraday: on the downsideSummary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 1.565

Our preference: Short positions below 1.565 with targets @ 1.5575 & 1.555 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.565 look for further upside with 1.57 & 1.5739 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is on the downside, the pair should reach its next support level.

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 16:40 (GMT +2)Ticker: EURGBPLast: 0.7788Pivot: 0.7831st sup.0.7772nd sup.0.7743rd sup.0.7711st res.0.7832nd res.0.7853rd res.0.7881Title: EUR/GBP intraday: approaching its supportSummary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 0.783

Our preference: Short positions below 0.783 with targets @ 0.777 & 0.774 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.783 look for further upside with 0.785 & 0.7881 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is posting a slight rebound, the pair is challenging its support level.

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 16:13 (GMT +2)Ticker: NZDLast: 0.7908Pivot: 0.78751st sup.0.78752nd sup.0.78253rd sup.0.781st res.0.79592nd res.0.79853rd res.0.804Title: NZD/USD intraday: rebound in sightSummary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 0.7875

Our preference: Long @ 0.788 with targets @ 0.7959 & 0.7985 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.7875 look for further downside with 0.7825 & 0.78 as targets.

Comment: the lower boundary of a tentative declining channel should favour a rebound.

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 16:05 (GMT +2)Ticker: AUDLast: 0.9003Pivot: 0.89751st sup.0.89752nd sup.0.8953rd sup.0.89251st res.0.9062nd res.0.91153rd res.0.9169Title: AUD/USD intraday: reboundSummary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 0.8975

Our preference: Long @ 0.8985 with targets @ 0.906 & 0.9115 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.8975 look for further downside with 0.895 & 0.8925 as targets.

Comment: the 30-min RSI is supported by a rising trend line.

[elforexeenelarab]

Date: 2008/03/20Time: 15:56 (GMT +2)Ticker: CADLast: 1.0242Pivot: 1.02881st sup.1.01752nd sup.1.0143rd sup.1.01071st res.1.02882nd res.1.0323rd res.1.038Title: USD/CAD intraday: correction expectedSummary: Update on supports and resistances.Story: Pivot: 1.0288

Our preference: Short positions below 1.0288 with targets @ 1.0175 & 1.014 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.0288 look for further upside with 1.032 & 1.038 as targets.

Comment: the 30-min RSI is posting a bearish divergence.

[elforexeenelarab]

Signals (Position Summary) PagePositionPriceTargetStop PagePositionPriceTargetStopEUR/USD More SHORT 1.5515 1.5345 1.5545 USD/JPY More FLAT 99.11 GBP/USD More FLAT 1.9760 USD/CHF More LONG 1.0064 1.0350 0.9940 EUR/CHF More FLAT 1.5644 EUR/JPY More SHORT 152.96 1.49 155.25 EUR/GBP More FLAT 0.7770 AUD/USD More SHORT 0.9006 0.8890 0.9035 NZD/USD More FLAT 0.8125 AUD/NZD More LONG 1.1480 1.1740 1.1365 USD/CAD More LONG 1.0210 1.0380 1.0100 EUR/SEK More FLAT 9.4000

[elforexeenelarab]

USD/JPYUSD/JPY TRADING PAGE SPOTTECHNICAL SIGNIFICANCERECOMMENDATIONPOSITION100.65(M)38.2% Of 108.60 - 95.75 Sell Failure/Buy Break FLAT at 99.11
open20/03/08time10:51targetstop100.45(S)Hourly High Mar 19, 10-DMASell A Failure 100.20(M)Hourly High Mar 20 Sell A Failure 99.55(M)Hourly Rsst Mar 20 Sell A Failure 98.5517:00 GMT THU 20 MAR 97.70(M)Pullback Low Mar 19 Buy A Bounce 96.85(M)Daily Low Mar 18 Buy Bounce, Sell Break 96.30(M)Hourly Low Mar 17 Cover A Bounce 95.75(S)12-Year Lows Mar 17 Cover On A Bounce
Strategy:[email protected] We exited our long from overnight with a modest loss after seeing our stop nearly triggered below 99.00 first. The daily charts are improving but a reversal of the major daily downtrend was not confirmed with a daily close above the Mar 14 high at 101.15, so we are going to tread lightly for now. 98.55 support breached. Rally selling favored. (RD) 16:41 GMT
end

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[elforexeenelarab]

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