بدون مؤشرات ..لنراقب

[za3eem]

Silver

[za3eem]

Pétrole

[za3eem]

XAU/USD (or)

[za3eem]

[za3eem]

XAU/USD – TRADERS favour buy dip 1097 target 1125 stop below 1092

[za3eem]

Oil- NYMEX May crude future rose for 1st time in 4 sessions from 80.18 to 82.78 amid weakening $/rising stock mkts & geopolitical worries arising from suicide bombing in Moscow, another factor helping was buy stop triggering above 81.50 & month end/quarter end book squaring activity with long Easter weekend looming, it settled at 82.17 in NY, it continued to get support from optimism on the economy & a weaker $, trading from 82.06 to 82.50 in Asia, it needs to hold above 81.75 & recover past 83.00-20 to test 83.50-95 or 84.00-85 failure risking setback to 81.00-80.50 or 79.50-78.85, support 81.75/81.00 & 80.50, res 83.20/83.50 & 83.95

[za3eem]

Gold – Comex closed yesterday at 1110/11, high 1114/15 & low 1107/08 (day’s low 1103/04). Sideway trading in all the precious metals was seen o/n, gold started around 1111 lvl and quickly dropped below 1110 when the gold pm fix went through, small physical demand, weaker $ and strong crude oil supported the yellow metal and it was able to recover slowly but running into some selling interest around 1114 from all various type of accounts (UBS Metal), it remained stuck in familiar ranges within 1108/09 to 1111/12 in Asia, while above 1103 mkt targets break above 1118-20 to test 1125-30 or 1132-35 failure risking setback to 1097-91 or 1087-84, support 1103/1097 & 1091, res 1118/1125 & 1130

[za3eem]

Canada USD/CAD topped out ard 1.0225-30 & fell on improved risk appetite/higher commodity bloc to 0.7175-80 o/n, it traded within 1.0205-10 to 1.0220-25 in Asia, while below 1.0230-75 risk to 1.0150-1.0100 or 1.0060-00, only back above could challenge 1.0305-25 or 1.0370-1.0410, support 1.0150/1.0100 & 1.0060 res 1.0230/1.0275 &1.0305

[za3eem]

New Zealand –-Feb Dwelling Consents Excluding Apartments +10.1% Vs Jan -Feb total household claims (lending to households secured on residential mortgage) +0.1% m/m (+2.7% y/y), after +0.2% m/m; i.e. soft, in line with other housing indicators showing a retracement. (UBS Research) -NZD/USD chopped within 0.7075-80 to 0.7115-20 & closed ard 0.7090 o/n, not much of interest seen in Asia, it traded from 0.7085-90 to 0.7105-10 range, while above 0.7035 mkt targets break of 0.7125 to tst 0.7160-80 or 0.7235 failure risking setback to 0.6909-60 or 0.6900, support 0.7035/0.6990 & 0.6960 res 0.7125/0.7160 & 0.7180

[za3eem]

Australia –AUD rates: Aussie bill futures continue to grind lower, pricing a tad more tightening for April. Noted RBA watchers were in the press overnight indicating an April hike is a done deal. The market's currently pricing 18bp for next Tuesday's meeting and we reckon it could add another 1-2bp, but that should be it as the market really prices a move fully. Further out, about 43bp are priced for the next 3 meetings, which seems fair as we expect hikes at 2 of the next 3 meetings. A total of 110bp is priced by the end of the year, slowly grinding to a level where one should think about adding shorts. Overall, we think there's still some misguided positioning in the market with investors thinking the RBA will slow down or has done enough. These receiving positions in AUD against the rest of the world clearly haven't worked over the last few weeks and if the RBA decides to lift rates, it could trigger some nasty stop-loss selling. (UBS Sydney rates desk) – positive AUD news: BHP moves most of its iron ore sales to shorter contracts & rumour of Nippon Steel/ Sumitomo and Vale had reached provisional agreement for a 90% iron ore price hike- AUD/USD was best performing ccy amid fresh rate hike expectations/much higher commodities (copper up 4%), it rose from 0.9110-15,tripping light model stops to highs ard 0.9175-80 o/n, it dipped on cross yen selling to 0.9160-65 but bids from Asian accts discouraged further downside test & it snapped back to 0.9190-95 before option gamma related supply capped in Asia, while above 0.9150-20 mkt targets 0.9225-50 or 0.9280-0.9320 failure risking setback to 0.9070-35 or 0.9000, support 0.9150/0.9120 & 0.9070, res 0.9225/0.9250 & 0.9280

[za3eem]

GBP/USD went stop tripping from 1.4935-40 to 1.5015-20 but failed to maintain higher levels in courtesy of UK data which largely met expectations & S&P comments (affirmed AAA credit rating but also negative outlook) & settled ard 1.4985 o/n, it barely moved in Asia, trading from1.4975-80 to 1.5030-35 with demand seen from speculative/retail type & French name, it must hold above 1.4960 & recover past 1.5050 to test 1.5110-60 or 1.5195-1.5220, failure risking setback to 1.4890-25 or 1.4780-30, support 1.4960/1.4890 & 1.4825 res 1.503571.5050 & 1.5110 -EUR/GBP traded within 0.9010-15 to 0.8970-75 o/n, it traded from 0.8995-00 to 0.8975-80 in Asia, while below 0.9025 risk to break below 0.8960 for test of 0.8915-0.8875 or 0.8835 only back above could challenge 0.9045-70 or 0.9100-25, support 0.8960/0.8915 & 0.8875 res 0.9025/0.9045 & 0.9070 -GBP/CHF traded within 1.5870-80 to 1.5950-60 o/n, it traded within 1.5910-20 to 1.5950-60 in Asia, it must hold above 1.5790 & recover past 1.6045 to test 1.6090-1.6160 or 1.6220-1.6315 failure risking setback to 1.5730-1.5650 or 1.5525, support 1.5790/1.5730 & 1.5650 res 1.6045 /1.6090 & 1.6160 -GBP/JPY bounced from 138.30-40 to 139.00-10 before stalling & settling ard 138.50 o/n, it consolidated within 138.00-10 138.80-90 in Asia, it needs to hold above 137.60-00 & recover past 139.35 to test 139.85-140.40 or 141.00 failure risking setback to 136.50-135.50 or 134.50, support 137.60/137.00 & 136.50 res 139.35/ 139.85 & 140.40

[za3eem]

USD/CHF broad $ selling picked up pressuring it from 1.0655-60 to 1.0590-95 before bouncing o/n, it traded within 1.0610-15 to 1.0630-35 in Asia, while below 1.0650-75 risk to 1.0590-50 or 1.0505-1.0480 only back above could challenge 1.0700-50 or 1.0795-1.0810, support 1.0590/1.0550 & 1.0505 res 1.0650/1.0675 & 1.0700- EURCHF struggled to hold on to comeback gains & traded within 1.4325-30 to 1.4300-05 o/n, it traded from 1.4320-25 to 1.4330-35 in Asia, a break above 1.4355 need to challenge 1.4375-1.4405 or 1.4465 failure risking break back below 1.4300 to test 1.4265-50 or 1.4230-00, support 1.4300/1.4265 & 1.4250 res 1.4355/1.4375 & 1.4405

[za3eem]

EUR/USD rose on talk of AC buying/much better EU data from 1.3435-40 to 1.3505-10 then talk of East European/US prime name supply as well as chatter about weak demand for forthcoming Greek bond capped & for reminder of the session remained glued within tight ranges &settled ard 1.3470 o/n, there was not much going on with all of the action in the yen in Asia, talk of decent offers ard 1.35 (bigger suggested ahead of 1.3550) & bids ard 1.3450 hemmed within 1.3470-75 to 1.3495-00 range, it needs to hold above 1.3420 & recover past 1.3530 to challenge 1.3550-70 or 1.3640-1.3700, failure risking setback to 1.3385-45 or 1.3325-1.3265, support 1.3420/1.3385 & 1.3345 res 1.3530/1.3550 & 1.3570

[za3eem]

FX –USD/JPY rose from 92.40-45 to 92.75-80 o/n, rumours that the selling for the fixing is related to an IPO, some sovereign/exporter supply & statement by an adviser to the PBOC calling for yuan rise that triggered reval rumours pressured it briefly from 92.50-55 to 92.10-15 in Asia, it needs to hold above 92.05 & recover past 92.80-00 to test 93.20-80 or 84.00-80 failure risking setback to 91.75-50 or 91.05, support 92.05/91.75 & 91.50 res 92.80/93.20 & 93.80– EURYEN traded from 124.30-35 to 125.05-10 before exporter offers capped o/n, it met profit taking/exporter selling & rumoured IPO led usdyen selling only briefly weighted within 124.70-75 to 124.15-20 in Asia, it must hold above 124.10 & recover past 125.35 to test 125.80-126.45 or 127.00-50 failure risking setback to 123.70-10 or 122.90-25, support 124.10/123.70 & 123.10 res 125.35/125.80 & 126.45– JPY/CHF traded within 1.1430-40 to 1.1510-20 o/n, it traded within 1.1480-90 to 1.1530-40 in Asia, it needs to recover pat 1.1550 to challenge 1.1580-1.1610 or 1.1700 failure risking setback to 1.1440-1.1390 or 1.1360-00, support 1.1440/1.1390 & 1.1360, res 1.1550/1.1580 & 1.1610

[الثائر]

اما آن موعد عودة مروان لموضوعه