بدون مؤشرات ..لنراقب

[za3eem]

After climbing around 85 pips in the European session from 1,0740 to post 2-week high at 1.0832, USD/CHF has fallen back to trade below 1,0800 in a consolidation mode after the previous bullish movement. Currently the pair is trading around 1.0800/10, 0,45% above today's opening price.

The Kshitij Consultancy Service Team comments: “Now the pair has entered the Resistance level of 1.0810-23. This is an important Resistance zone (55-DMA) which can push the prices down towards 1.0726, while a break above this can lead to 1.0878. n the downside, the floor at 1.0726 (which did not give in and propelled the pair upward) may continue to act as Support. Break of this floor at 1.0726 can lead to 1.0660-53 levels”

[za3eem]

Australian dollar rally from Jul 13 low at 0.7700 was capped yesterday at 0.8335, and the pair fell during Asian and U.S. sessions to 0.8165 low, before attempting a recovery, reaching levels right above 0.8200 at the time of writing.

According to the E-Forex Team, the pair remain bullish on the short-term and extended losses are a good buying opportunities: "Downside is likely to remain under pressure until reaching a decent support level and that could be .8150 or .8070, lower. Short term sentiment remains bullish while intraday studies are bearish and extended losses to lower levels will be good buying opportunities."

Resistance levels, according to the E-Forex team lie at 0.8250/60,and above there, 0.8335/50 and 0.8380. On the downside, support levels lie at 0.8180/85, and in case of further decline, 0.8150 and 0.8070

[za3eem]

Strong recovery after failing to break the 20 SMA in the daily, pair is again above key 1.6415 turning pretty bullish in the hourly for next hours. Stocks will be key on sentiment across the board, and Gbp strength could dilute in a strong stocks retrace. Technically, 1.6480 area is first strong resistance level for the pair, and above it 1.6550 is the maximum upside target pair could accomplish in the next hours.
Support levels: 1.6415 1.6380 1.6320
Resistance levels: 1.6480 1.6520 1.6550

[za3eem]

After failure attempt to break above 95.00, pair still remains above strong support zone around 94.60 zone. As long as support holds, chances of another run up seem likely thus 95.40/60 area should limit the upside today. Under mentioned level, pair could retest again the lows 94.00. Falls would remain limited as bigger time frames suggest some upward continuation for next hours.
Support levels: 94.60 94.35 94.10
Resistance levels: 95.10 95.50 96.00

[za3eem]

USDJPY: Reverses Upside Gains.
USDJPY: Having given back its Monday gains on Tuesday, risk remains for further corrective declines targeting its swing low at its July 23’09 low at 93.08. A turn below that level if seen will bring further declines towards the 92.70 level, its July 14’09 low and then the 91.73 level with a clearance of the latter creating scope for more weakness towards its psycho support at 90.00 level. Its daily RSI has turned lower supporting its current weakness. On the other hand, a break and hold above the 95.38 level will have to occur to trigger the resumption of its rise from the 91.73 level. Further out, resistance is located at the 96.97 level, its July’09 high. Above there if seen will expose the 98.88 level, its Jun 05’09 high.On the whole, USDJPY retains its overall bearishness while maintaining within its declining channel.

[za3eem]

GBPUSD: Follow Through Failure
GBPUSD: GBP gave back its intra day gains Tuesday to close lower after testing a high of 1.6555. Although it is still maintaining its upside bias above its MT rising trendline, it now requires a clean break and hold above its minor resistance 1.6584 to clear the way for a run at its 2009 high at 1.6742. Invalidating that level will resume its medium term uptrend and open further upside towards the 1.7000 level, its psycho level. On the downside, its July 22’09 low at 1.6308 comes in as the initial support followed by the 1.6034 level, its July 13’09 low and then its July 08’09 low at 1.5984. While the last two levels are expected to reverse roles and provide support, a turn below there will set the stage for a move lower towards the 1.5802 level, its Jun 08’09 low. All in all, GBP looks to retarget the 1.6742 level as it still maintains its overall medium term upside bias.

[za3eem]

Intraday Market Outlook for Day Traders

EUR / USD
This market has lost its upward steam in early European trading and is currently priced at 1.4150. Some recovery moves may set in soon, but we do not expect much, i.e. not surpassing the 1.4200 level significantly. Further setbacks to the 1.4100 mark are more likely.

GBP / USD
Trading back from highs around 1.6550 to now 1.6390, the pound currently is testing its support zones at 1.6350 against the dollar. We expect these support zones to be broken today, leading the market toward the 1.6300 level.

USD / CHF
An uptrend in late Asian and early European trading brought the dollar to the current 1.0770 mark. We see more of this bid tone emerging today, bringing the market to levels around 1.0850.

USD / JPY
The dollar acted more strongly in this European morning against the yen, recovering from lows around 94.10 to the current 94.90. The market will experience further setbacks today, back again even below 94.10.

[za3eem]

Long signalShort signalBuy a break of resistance level at 1.6550Sell a break of support level at 1.6390GBP/USDBuy a break of resistance level at 1.6480Sell a break of support level at 1.6320Buy a bounce at 1.6390 Sell a failure of breaking the resistance 1.6550



Fundamental


The Pound is rallying at a strong pace on early European session times and, after bouncing at 1.6375. The pair has soared more than 100 pips in two hours to reach an some pips short of 1.6550.


Technical


The U.K. currency gives us a strong buying signal after confirmation of many indicators like RSI, which is in an uptrend; MACD crosses the signal line and breaks equilibrium level. Bollinger gives us a buying signal by closing the candle above the middle band.
GBP/USD (Daily Chart)

The primary tendency is still in an uptrend.

GBP/USD (4 Hour Chart)
The pair breaks a strong resistance.


GBP/USD (Hourly Chart)

The Minor trend shows us a resistance became a support.

Resistance
1.6550
1.6480
Support
1.6390
1.6320

[za3eem]

DAILY AUD/USD OUTLOOK - +0.8200+

Despite aud's resumption of MT upmove to 0.8339
y'day, subsequent selloff to 0.8224 signals a temp.
top has been formed n a minor correction to 0.8190/
00 is seen, however, near term o/sold condition wud
limit weakness to 0.8146 n sup at 0.8108 wud hold.

Trade fm short side with stop now at break-even,
break there n may risk possible re-test of 0.8339.

Rate: +0.8200+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Short at 0.8290
Objective: 0.8200
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 0.8287/0.8339/0.8383
Support: 0.8180/0.8108/0.8073

[za3eem]

INTRA-DAY USD/JPY:
Last Update At 29 Jul 2009 08:42 GMT
Range Forecast
94.40 / 94.71
Resistance/Support
R: 94.71/94.93/95.39
S: 94.01/93.88/93.45
-------------------------------------------------
INTRA-DAY EUR/USD:
Last Update At 29 Jul 2009 09:02 GMT
Range Forecast
1.4145 / 1.4180
Resistance/Support
R: 1.4195/1.4248/1.4305
S: 1.4109/1.4062/1.4015
-------------------------------------------------
INTRA-DAY USD/CHF:
Last Update At 29 Jul 2009 09:03 GMT
Range Forecast
1.0745 / 1.0789
Resistance/Support
R: 1.0799/1.0818/1.0872
S: 1.0732/1.0690/1.0653

-------------------------------------------------

INTRA-DAY GBP/USD:
Last Update At 29 Jul 2009 09:04 GMT
Range Forecast
1.6330 / 1.6370
Resistance/Support
R: 1.6386/1.6426/1.6470
S: 1.6353/1.6311/1.6266

[Abu Muhammad]

النفط
السعر65.85
بيع الهدف 64.40
الاستب 66.65........بالتوفيق

مبرووووووووووووووووووك

معلم يا مروان

[za3eem]

EURJPY

EURJPY is trading marginally BELOW the daily open. The price has been in a range trading on the Hourly Chart. The Price has breached the Support Zone 1 and trading at the Zone with the High being 10 pips away from our Resistance Zone 1. The Hourly Oscillators are MIXED and price is below the MA, so Cautious approach is needed. The patterns on the 5min chart are choppy and we have no suggestions. EURUSD and USDJPY are trading in the opposite direction. Conservative traders should look to be Sidelined. Aggressive traders should be do the same as there is lot of mixed signals.

GBPJPY

GBPJPY is trading marginally ABOVE the daily open. The price has been in a range trading on the Hourly Chart but starting to creep higher. The Price has just breached the Resistance Zone 1 and trading at the Zone with the Low being PRECISELY at our U Turn Zone. The Hourly Oscillators are MIXED and price has just crossed the MA, so Cautious approach is needed. The patterns on the 5min chart are suggesting it may have bottomed on the hourly chart but there are lot of mixed signals. GBPUSD is within the No man Zone and USDJPY are trading in the opposite direction. Conservative traders should look to be Sidelined. Aggressive traders should look to do the same the signals are not that convincing.

AUDJPY

AUDJPY is trading BELOW the daily open. The price has been in a range trading on the Hourly Chart. The Price has breached the Support Zone 1 and trading below the Zone with the High being 10 pips shy of Resistance Zone 1. The Hourly Oscillators are MIXED and price within the MA, so Cautious approach is needed. The patterns on the 5min chart are choppy and we have no suggestions until the breakout. AUDUSD and USDJPY are trading in the opposite direction. Conservative traders should look to be Sidelined. Aggressive traders should look to do the same as the signals are not that convincing.

[za3eem]

(Chart courtesy of FX Solutions' FX AccuCharts. Price on 1st pane, Slow Stochastics on 2nd pane; horizontal support/resistance levels in yellow; uptrend lines in green; downtrend lines in red; 50-period simple moving average in light blue.)
7/29/2009 – EUR/USD – Price action on EUR/USD, a 4-hour chart of which is shown, has descended down to a key point of support confluence. This confluence is made up of a crossing of two trendlines – one is a downtrend line extending from the major 1.4335 high hit on 6/3/2009 (which was broken to the upside less than two weeks ago), and the other is an uptrend support line extending from the lows in late April. In the event that this confluence is respected with a pronounced bounce, the clear upside resistance target resides around the noted 1.4335 uptrend high. On any breakdown below this support confluence, immediate further support resides in the 1.4050 price region. And any subsequent breakdown below that level could target yet further strong support in the 1.3830 support/resistance price region.

[za3eem]

EUR
The pre-planned break-out variant for short positions has been implemented with overlap of minimal targets. OsMA trend indicator, having marked activity fall of both parties does not clarify the choice of planning priorities for today. Therefore, considering probability of rate range movement, we can assume rate return to close 1,4230/50 resistance levels where it is recommended to reevaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of shorter time interval. In case of formation of confirming signals the targets will be 1,4270/90 and (or) further variant up to 1,4320/40, 1,4420.
In case of formation of buying signals the shrt-term targets will be 1,4170 and (or) frther variant up to 1,4080/1,4100, 1,3960/80.

[za3eem]

CHF
The estimated bearish trend continuation has not been confirmed because of pair return to channel line «1» support. OsMA indicator having marked close activity parity of both parties does not clarify the choice of planning priorities for today. Therefore, we can suppose further rate movement within channel «1» borders and we can admit rate return to 1,0700/10 supports, where it is recommended to reevaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of shorter time interval. As for buying positions, the targets will be 1,0800/20 and (or) further variant up to1,0880/90. The break-out variant will be lower than 1,0690 with the short-term targets of 1,0620/40 and (or) further break-out variant to 1,0610.