مراجعة ونقاش لتوصيات أحد محللي أسواق المال

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته
سأبدأ من اليوم إن شاء الله تعالى.. ولمدة شهر.. بوضع توصيات (روبرت بالان).. وهو كبير المحللين في ساكسوبانك.. بالإضافة لموقعه الإستشاري للكثير من البنوك والشركات..

التوصيات تحدث مرتين يوميا.. مرة قبل افتتاح أوروبا.. والأخرى قبل افتتاح أمريكا..
وهي كما أسلفت في موضوع سابق.. أنها تصلح لأصحاب الحسابات الكبيرة والمحافظ الخ.. وذلك لأن وقف الخسارة دائما ما يكون كبيرا جدا.. يتجاوز 150 نقطة.!

ومن ناحية ثانية أيضا (ومهمة) في نظري..
أن هذا الرجل ينزل توصيات لعدد 12 زوج فقط.. ومن هذه التوصيات تكون عادة 8 رابحة و 4 خاسرة (على سبيل المثال)..

فمن البديهي .. أن من أراد أن يتبع طريقته وتوصياته.. فعليه إذا أن يدخل فيها جميعا.. أو أغلبها.. لأنه وببساطة لا أحد يعرف أو حتى يتوقع أي من التوصيات ستكون ناجحة .. والعكس صحيح..!!

وبما أن وقف الخسارة كبير .. فإذا لابد من وجود حساب ضخم.. يتحمل خسارة كبيرة بهذا الحجم.! لو قدر الله وحدثت.!
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أما سبب إنزالها هنا لمدة شهر..
فلنطلع عليها.. وندرسها.. ونناقشها.. فهي في نظري توصيات محكمة جدا.. من خبير له ثقله ووزنه بسوق المال..
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والجدير بالذكر..
أن لهذا الرجل طريقتين في وضعه لتوصيات..
بداية يذكر الأمور السياسية والإقتصادية الخ (التحليل الأساسي)..
ثم يذكر الأمور الفنية بعد ذلك.. ويضع وجهة نظره حولها .. ولكل زوج على حده..
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بالنسبة للتحليل الأساسي..
فسأقوم إن شاء الله تعالى.. بإنزاله (كنموذج) فقط اليوم.. ومن بعدها سنهتم في التحليل الفني لأنه بيت القصيد هنا..

من أراد متابعة التوصيات أون لاين.. أو أن يحصل عليها عن طريق البريد.. فعليه التسجيل بموقع البنك .. ومن ثم اختيار إرسالها عن طريق البريد.. وهي مجانية..
www.saxobank.com


وأذكر فقط..
أنهم لا يملكون حسابات شرعية.. فلذلك لا يجوز فتح حساب معهم..

تقبلوا خالص تحياتي،.،

**التحليل الأساسي**
سأضعه لمرة واحدة فقط .. لمعرفة كيف يربط بينه وبين التحليل الفني
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DEVELOPMENTS TO WATCH TODAY: Sept 13 - Europe

- U.K. wage growth probably eased in the three months through July, while inflation remained below the central bank's target in August, indicating that five interest rate increases since November are crimping consumer demand, surveys of economists showed. Consumer prices rose an annual 1.4 percent in August, the same pace as the previous month, according to the median estimate of 36 economists. Average wages including bonuses climbed 4.3 percent in the quarter through July, down from 4.4 percent in the previous period, another survey showed. The Bank of England, which is mandated to target 2 percent consumer price growth, left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.75 percent on Thursday amid signs a housing boom that underpinned 14 months of retail sales growth is beginning to slow. The yield on the interest-rate futures contract maturing December fell to 5.04 percent on Friday from a peak of 5.5 percent in June.
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- China's inflation rate held at a seven- year high of 5.3 percent last month as food costs surged, suggesting the government needs to strengthen lending controls to cool growth in the world's seventh-largest economy. The gain in the consumer price index matched July's increase, which was the biggest since February 1997. Producer prices rose 6.8 percent from a year earlier, their largest increase in at least eight years, the Beijing-based statistics bureau said on its Web site. Prices are rising as economic activity picks up, indicating that lending curbs introduced in April and May aren't enough to slow the economy. China will step up lending curbs and investment restrictions because industrial expansion by state companies has yet to be reined in sufficiently, Vice Premier Zeng Peiyan said yesterday.
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- Crude oil futures rose as much as 1.9 percent in New York on concern Hurricane Ivan may disrupt output in the Gulf of Mexico, source of one fourth of U.S. oil. Royal Dutch/Shell Group, BP Plc, Exxon Mobil Corp. and Kerr- McGee Corp. yesterday began removing non-essential staff from platforms in the eastern Gulf. Ivan, with 150 mile-per-hour winds, moved toward western Cuba on a course that may take it to northwest Florida by early Wednesday. Crude oil for October delivery rose as much as 79 cents to $43.60 a barrel in after-hours electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil, which was at $43.47 at 3:43 a.m. Sydney time, has gained 34 percent this year.
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- OPEC, pumping oil at the fastest pace in 25 years, has little ammunition left to reduce near- record prices at a meeting in Vienna this week, and some analysts are forecasting crude above $40 a barrel for the rest of the year. Ministers of the OPEC, producer of about 40 percent of the world's oil, gather Sept. 15 in Vienna to consider raising the group's official output limits and price targets. OPEC is ignoring a current quota of 26 million barrels a day, producing 8.1 percent above that in August. The problem now is not one that OPEC can solve; New York oil will probably sell for $41 or $42 a barrel by year-end. Demand is the key variable; OPEC's got no more capacity to speak of.
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FX Market Summary -

The dollar traded near a three-week low against the euro in Asia after Federal Reserve Governor Susan Bies said the central bank faces ``no urgency'' to lift the benchmark U.S. interest rate. The Fed's Open Market Committee, which meets next week and in November and December, lifted its target rate to 1.50 percent in August and said it could continue to do so at a ``measured'' pace. Bies, a voting member of the Fed, declined to say if she would support a delay in raising rates at its next meeting. The European Central Bank's benchmark rate is 2 percent. Bies comments argue the Fed will perhaps take a pause from raising rates; it puts further pressure on the dollar. Against the euro, the dollar traded at $1.2268 at 1:15 p.m. in Tokyo, from $1.2262 late Friday in New York, where it fell as low as $1.2311, the weakest since Aug. 23. It also traded at 109.60 yen from 109.65.
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The Australian dollar rose on speculation the yield premium over the U.S. won't shrink as quickly as expected after Federal Reserve Governor Susan Bies said there was ``no urgency'' to increase U.S. interest rates. Australia's 3.75 percentage point rate advantage over the U.S. boosts the appeal of investing in the nation's assets such as government bonds. Bies' comments followed a report Friday showing an unexpected drop in U.S. wholesale producer prices. The Australian dollar rose to 69.75 U.S. cents at 12:33 p.m. in Sydney from 69.54 cents in late New York trading Friday. The Reserve Bank of Australia has kept its overnight cash rate target at 5.25 percent since December. Economists forecast that the central bank will raise its key rate a quarter point by year-end.
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New Zealand's dollar may gain as the nation's higher interest rates boosts its appeal amid speculation a report this week will signal a respite in U.S. economic growth. Figures tomorrow may show the U.S. current account deficit widened to a record in the second quarter. That may boost demand for the New Zealand dollar after the central bank last week raised its official cash rate to 6.25 percent, widening the gap against the U.S. target rate to 4.75 percentage points. New Zealand's dollar, known as the Kiwi, on Friday posted its first winning week in three, and the gap between the nation's 10- year benchmark government bond yield and the U.S. comparable note widened 0.15 percentage point.
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Friday's summary: the dollar sold off in the wake of the economic data and finished the regular session modestly lower against the majors. The reaction here stems from the benign PPI figures; stable inflation, and potentially lower inflation expectations, may limit how high interest rates climb, which, in turn, affects demand for dollars. The greenback gave back 0.1% against the yen and lost 0.4% versus the euro.

Euro/US Dollar

(1.2260) - 06:59 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

EUR/USD - the single currency has been to 1.2306 but pulled back, and rests above the 1.2250 support. There is a good chance that the single currency will fall below 1.2250, and in so doing, the currency pair may correct back all the way to 1.2160/40. This is not a given, mind you, only a cautionary effort. But if the single currency falls below 1.2250, then watch the single currency gravitate lower. In the near-term, we turn more bullish once the single currency goes above 1.2310 -- which is shaping up to be a well-touted technical resistance. We reiterate however, that there is no real reason for bulls to celebrate until 1.2500 hypothetical resistance is taken out.

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Protect your long positions by raising the trailing stoploss to just below crucical support -- which in this case is 1.2250.

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Recommendations:

Bought EUR at 1.2027 and 1.2078. Move stop-loss from 1.2220 to 1.2240. Keep profit target at 1.2500.

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British Pound/US Dollar

(1.7940) - 07:02 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

GBP/USD - the currency pair met resistance at 1.8022 and has been to 1.7960 since then. Watch 1.7925 level, which should provide it support. If unable to hold, the currency pair may slide all the way back to 1.7820. The uptrend will remain suspect until it takes out 1.8100.

Raise your trailing stoploss to 1.7910. just below crucial support.

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Recommendations:

Bought GBP at 1.7833. Move stop-loss from 1.7900 to 1.7910. Keep profit target at 1.8250.

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US Dollar/Japanese Yen

(109.54) - 07:03 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

USD/JPY - the currency pair found support at 109.30 and may again bounce back to 110.30 area. However, the pair should resume the downtrend from there -- it is still at 109.60. The next targeted level may be 108.75 base, but any breach of support should bring about 107.00 quickly.

The currency trades in a range, and may rise back towards the top of the range. Tactics: cover short positions and wait for opportunity to enter at higher levels.

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Recommendations:

Close short USD position (from 109.59) at current level (109.54).

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.US Dollar/Swiss Franc

(1.2577) - 07:05 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

USD/CHF - the currency pair found support at 1.2520 and may rise back to 1.2680 - 1.2700 later in the week. But it should reinstate the downtrend thereafter, and may be bound for 1.2380. The downtrend reassert soon -- expect further declines to 1.2200 further out.

A rally is high-probability here; lower the trailing stop to protect the short-position.

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Recommendations:

Sold USD at 1.2751. Move stop-loss from 1.2620 to 1.2610. Keep profit target at 1.2200.

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US Dollar/Canadian Dollar

(1.2912) - 07:06 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

USD/CAD -- the currency pair may yet make a final uptick to 1.2950/60 -- but the downtrend resumes thereafter, and may lead to the 1.2680 base further out.

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Recommendations:

Sold USD at 1.2906. Keep stop-loss at 1.2985. Keep profit target at 1.2690.

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Australian Dollar/US Dollar

(0.6957) - 07:07 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

AUD/USD - the currency saw resistance at .7000 and may fall back to the .6900 - .6885 support area. But a rally toward .7080 resumes thereafter.

Protect your longs: raise your trailing stop to .6930.

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Recommendations:

Bought AUD at 0.6909. Move stop-loss from 0.6880 to 0.6930. Keep profit target at 0.7225.

NZ Dollar/US Dollar

(0.6562) - 07:09 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

NZD/USD - the currency pair has been to as high as .6605, but looks vulnerable to a pullback to .6480. The uptrend resumes thereafter and the Kiwi make a move towards the .6750 top.

Protect your long position -- raise your trailing stop to .6530.

Recommendations:

Bought NZD at 0.6464 and 0.6508. Move stop-loss from 0.6370 to 0.6530. Keep profit target at 0.7000.

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Euro/Japanese Yen

(134.26) - 07:11 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

EUR/JPY - the cross has been to 134.90 and may pullback further to 133.50 area. But the cross has made known its intentions to extend to 136.00; it may retrace thereafter possibly to 135.00 then make a new uptick to 137.50.

Raise your trailing stop to 133.90 to protect your long position.

Recommendations:

Bought EUR at 133.03. Move stop-loss from 132.30 to 133.90. Keep profit target at 139.00.

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Euro/Swiss Franc

(1.5413) - 07:12 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

EUR/CHF - the cross has been to 1.5435 again -- which keeps the configuration positive and should trigger an advance further beyond the 1.5450 top at some point. The cross should then push through to1.5500 and higher -- perhaps to 1.5600.

Recommendations:

Bought EUR at 1.5340. Move stop-loss from 1.5350 to 1.5370. Keep profit target at 1.5600.

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Euro/British Pound

(0.6827) - 07:14 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

EUR/GBP - the cross may find new support at .6800 -- the uptrend resumes from those lower levels, and should take out the .6850 top. We expect it to eventually push through the range, which may trigger a rally to .7000.

Watch your trailing stoploss carefully.

Recommendations:

Bought EUR at 0.6715, 0.6719 and 0.6734. Keep stop-loss at 0.6790. Keep profit target at 0.7000.

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British Pound/Japanese Yen

(196.52) - 07:15 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

GBP/JPY - the rally continues to do well, as support at 196.40 is seen holding up. The cross should rise further to 197.80 next. It should make a downside correction thereafter after which a new uptrend focuses at 198.00 area.

Protect your long position: set your trailing stoploss at 195.90

Recommendations:

Bought GBP at 195.40. Move stop-loss from 195.60 to 195.90. Keep profit target at 205.00.

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British Pound/Swiss Franc

(2.2571) - 07:17 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

GBP/CHF - any rally above 2.2700 suggests that the sell-off is over, and the cross looks up to 2.3000 focus once again. But break below 2.2450 trough looks dangerous and may eventually yield 2.2100. The cross still looks weak.

Recommendations:

Stand aside.

أترككم مع التوصيات.. وسأعود إن شاء الله لاحقا للتعليق عليها.. وأعتقد أنها واضحة جدا.. ولكن دعونا نتناقش في أسباب وضعها .. وخصوصا حدود الخسارة والربح..


مع ملاحظة.. أنه اليوم طلب بحماية الربح الموجود أصلا في جميع العقود.. ووضع أول نقاط الدعم والمقاومة كوقف للخسارة.!! <<< طريقة جميلة.. ولكن لماذا؟!

أنصح كذلك.. بقراءة التحليل تحت كل عملة.. فهو مفيد في فهم التوصية..

تقبلوا تحياتي،.،

هلا بالوافي ماشاء الله بكل مكان لك لمسات وصولات وجولات ....بس انا سجلت بموقعهم وجتني التحليلات على الايميل لكني ما لقيت التوصيات اللي انت كاتبها باللون الاخضر هي تجي بنفس الصفحة والا بصفحة ثانية ؟؟؟ :71_71: معليش اخوك بليد بالانقليش :sad_smile

اقتباس:

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المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة asd_028

هلا بالوافي ماشاء الله بكل مكان لك لمسات وصولات وجولات ....بس انا سجلت بموقعهم وجتني التحليلات على الايميل لكني ما لقيت التوصيات اللي انت كاتبها باللون الاخضر هي تجي بنفس الصفحة والا بصفحة ثانية ؟؟؟ :71_71: معليش اخوك بليد بالانقليش :sad_smile

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هلا بالغالي..
حياك الله وبياك..

هل عنوان الرسالة هو: Forex Trading Strategies
فإذا كانت كذلك فهي مطابقة تماما لما نقلته هنا.. وتجد التوصيات في آخر الرسالة..

دعني أسمع منك..

تحياتي،.،

أخوى الوافى حياك الله على هذا المجهود

أنا حصل معاى هذا برضه

لم تصلنى الا هذه التوصيات على الأيميل




British Pound/US Dollar

GBPUSD (1.7940 @ 07:02 GMT)


GBP/USD - the currency pair met resistance at 1.8022 and has been to 1.7960 since then. Watch 1.7925 level, which should provide it support. If unable to hold, the currency pair may slide all the way back to 1.7820. The uptrend will remain suspect until it takes out 1.8100.

Raise your trailing stoploss to 1.7910. just below crucial support.


Bought GBP at 1.7833. Move stop-loss from 1.7900 to 1.7910. Keep profit target at 1.8250.






US Dollar/Japanese Yen

USDJPY (109.54 @ 07:03 GMT)




USD/JPY - the currency pair found support at 109.30 and may again bounce back to 110.30 area. However, the pair should resume the downtrend from there -- it is still at 109.60. The next targeted level may be 108.75 base, but any breach of support should bring about 107.00 quickly.

The currency trades in a range, and may rise back towards the top of the range. Tactics: cover short positions and wait for opportunity to enter at higher levels.




Close short USD position (from 109.59) at current level (109.54).

مع وصول كل من التحليل الفنى والأساسى

نعم صحيح نفس عنوان الرسالة اللي ذكرته لكن التوصيات في آخر الرسالة لعملتي اليورو والباوند فقط فيه صفحة ثانية ؟؟

اخي الوافي حفظك الله
سجلت معهم الى انهم لم يرسلوا لي على الايميل ما هو السبب برأيك
وعمال اتابع في موقعهم كيف هو الحل

انا سجلت في الموقع وبعد أقل من ساعه وصلتني رسالة منهم فيها التحليلات اللي وضعها الأخ وافي

فقط ( جرى التنبــــــــــــــــــــــــيه)

تحياتي

حياكم الله جميعا..

بخصوص البريد..
فقد راسلهتم وأخبروني أن (ملقم) البريد يختلف في (الإستقبال) من بريد إلى آخر.. وأنهم يرسلونها كما هي.. ولكن قد يحصل عدم وصول الصفحة كما أرسلت وخصوصا بالنسبة للهوت ميل والياهو..

يعني شغلات برمجية خاصة ببريد المشترك..

أرجو أنني قد أجبتكم،.،

GBP/USD rose on short-covering -- falls back to 1.7920; EUR/USD extends losses to at least 1.2200, even 1.2160

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Euro/US Dollar

(1.2241) - 13:42 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

EUR/USD - the single currency fell below the 1.2255 support as feared, initiating a short-term downward correction. There is a good chance that the single currency will correct back all the way to 1.2160/40. This is not yet a given, but we do see minimum decline to 1.2200, and if the level isd taken out, then watch the single currency gravitate lower towards the mid-1.2100s. In the near-term, we turn more bullish once the single currency goes above 1.2310 -- which has indeed shaped up to be a firm trendline technical resistance. We reiterate further, that there is no real reason for bulls to celebrate until 1.2500 hypothetical resistance is taken out.

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Recommendations:

Long EUR position from 1.2027 and 1.2078 was closed at 1.2237 stop-loss.

Stand aside.

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British Pound/US Dollar

(1.7986) - 13:43 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

GBP/USD - the currency pair retests the 1.8022 resistance after PPI for August showed that input prices climbed 1.6%(m/m) in August, pushing the annual rate of inflation to 4.8%. With inflation pressures mounting, this may lead the Bank of England to hike interest rates by a further 25 basis points this year. The currency rose on short-covering; but watch 1.7925 support still --- if unable to hold, the currency pair may slide all the way back to 1.7820. The uptrend remains suspect until it takes out 1.8100.

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Raise your trailing stoploss to 1.7910. just below crucial support.

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Recommendations:

Bought GBP at 1.7833. Move stop-loss from 1.7900 to 1.7910. Keep profit target at 1.8250.

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US Dollar/Japanese Yen

(110.04) - 13:43 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

USD/JPY - the currency pair did again bounce back to 110.30 area and may extend gains to 110.60.65. However, the pair should resume the downtrend from there. The next targeted level may be 108.75 base, but any breach of support should bring about 107.00 quickly.

The currency trades in a range, and may rise back towards the top of the range. Tactics: cover short positions and wait for opportunity to enter at higher levels.

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Recommendations:

Short USD position from 109.59 was bought at 109.54.

Stand aside.

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US Dollar/Swiss Franc

(1.2600) - 13:44 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

USD/CHF - no change in the short-term oultlook -- the currency pair found support at 1.2520 and may rise back to 1.2680 - 1.2700 later in the week. But it should reinstate the downtrend thereafter, and may be bound for 1.2380. The downtrend reassert soon -- expect further declines to 1.2200 further out.

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Recommendations:

Short USD position from 1.2751 was closed at 1.2612 stop-loss.

Stand aside.

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US Dollar/Canadian Dollar

(1.2964) - 13:44 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

USD/CAD -- the currency pair is indeed rising -- we scale up the target to 1.3000 - 1.3020. Nonetheless, this rally is countertrend -- the downtrend resumes thereafter, and may lead to the 1.2680 base further out.

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Recommendations:

Sold USD at 1.2906. Keep stop-loss at 1.2985. Keep profit target at 1.2690.

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Australian Dollar/US Dollar

(0.6971) - 13:45 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

AUD/USD - the currency saw resistance at .7000 and may indeed fall back, but probably just to .6940, and not to the .6900 - .6885 support area. A rally toward .7080 is still expected to resume thereafter.

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Protect your longs: raise your trailing stop to .6930.

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Recommendations:

Bought AUD at 0.6909. Move stop-loss from 0.6880 to 0.6930. Keep profit target at 0.7225.

NZ Dollar/US Dollar

(0.6570) - 13:45 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

NZD/USD - the currency pair has been to as high as .6605, but looks vulnerable to a pullback to .6520/10, perhaps not to .6480. The uptrend resumes thereafter and the Kiwi make a move towards the .6750 top.

Protect your long position -- raise your trailing stop to .6530.

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Recommendations:

Bought NZD at 0.6464 and 0.6508. Move stop-loss from 0.6370 to 0.6530. Keep profit target at 0.7000.

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Euro/Japanese Yen

(134.70) - 13:46 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

EUR/JPY - the cross has been to 134.90 and may pullback more modestly to 134.00 area. But the cross has made known its intentions to extend to 136.00; it may retrace thereafter possibly to 135.00 then make a new uptick to 137.50.

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Raise your trailing stop to 133.90 to protect your long position.

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Recommendations:

Bought EUR at 133.03. Move stop-loss from 132.30 to 133.90. Keep profit target at 139.00.

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Euro/Swiss Franc

(1.5425) - 13:46 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

EUR/CHF - the cross may yet fall back towards 1.5400 - 1.5390 -- but the rally should resume from there and will keep the configuration positive. It should trigger an advance further beyond the 1.5450 top at some point. The cross should then push through to1.5500 and higher -- perhaps to 1.5600.

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Recommendations:

Bought EUR at 1.5340. Move stop-loss from 1.5350 to 1.5370. Keep profit target at 1.5600.

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Euro/British Pound

(0.6804) - 13:48 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

EUR/GBP - the cross may find new support at .6760 -- lower than expected -- but the uptrend resumes from those lower levels, and should take out the .6850 top thereafter. We expect it to eventually push through the range, which may trigger a rally to .7000.

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Adjust your trailing stoploss lower for the next day or so.

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Recommendations:

Bought EUR at 0.6715, 0.6719 and 0.6734. Move stop-loss from 0.6790 to 0.6750. Keep profit target at 0.7000.

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British Pound/Japanese Yen

(197.95) - 13:49 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

GBP/JPY - the rally indeed found support at 196.40 and has been to 198.65. The cross should rise further to 199.70 next. It should make a downside correction thereafter after which a new uptrend focuses at 205.00 resisatnce area.

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Protect your long position's profits: set your trailing stoploss at 197.10

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Recommendations:

Bought GBP at 195.40. Move stop-loss from 195.60 to 197.10. Keep profit target at 205.00.

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British Pound/Swiss Franc

(2.2663) - 13:50 GMT, Sep 13, 2004

GBP/CHF - any rally above 2.2700 suggests that the sell-off is over, and the cross looks up to 2.3000 focus once again. But break below 2.2450 trough looks dangerous and may eventually yield 2.2100. The cross still looks weak.

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Recommendations:

Stand aside.

السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته

يورو-دولار
كان متخوفا من كسر اليورو للدعم عند 1.2255 وبالفعل كسرها.. ثم ركز في تحليله اليوم على نقطتين مهمتين..
الأولى:
عند كسر اليورو لمستويات 1.2200 فسيواصل إلى 1.2140-1.2160 سريعا.!

الثانية:
لابد لليورو من كسر مستويات 1.2500صعودا لتكون النظرة صحيحة بخصوص الصعود.. ولكي نطمئن بعد ذلك على نظريتنا.. وأنه لن يحدث نزول لتلك المستويات.!

ذكر أيضا..
أن هناك نقطة مقاومة عصيبة قد تشكلت أمام اليورو عند 1.2310 ربما هي التي تعود به لمنتصف 1.2100
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تحياتي،.،