بدون مؤشرات ..لنراقب

[solo90515]

الشكر الجزيل لك يا أخي الله يعطيك العافية

[marwan]

الشكر الجزيل لك يا أخي الله يعطيك العافية

بسبب ارتفاع سعر الذهب وكذلك الداوجونز..لا تستبعد ان ترى الاسترالي 0.8300

.........................وانت وشطارتك كيف تتصرف.....................

[marwan]

واللّة مالحين ان النوم غلبني وما عاد اشوف الا طشاش ...........
كان اللّة بعونكم ......نديها نومة وبعدين فب الليل سهر للصبح ...
ملاحظة اوردر الذهب تفعل

[za3eem]

الدعم1.10151.09701.09351.08801.0825المقاومة1.11101.11601.12551.13351.1365التوصياتبحسب ما ظهر على الرسم البياني أعلاه نحن نعتقد بأن بيع الزوج عند 1.1010 و الهدف 1.0935 و إيقاف الخسارة فوق 1.1110 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم

يواصل زوج الدولار الأمريكي مقابل الدولار الكندي هبوطه التدريجي منذ الصباح مقترباً من مستوى الدعم الفرعي 1.1015 والمنتظر كسره وبالتالي تبقى توقعاتنا الصباحية قائمةً حيث نشير من خلالها إلى تحقيق كسر لمستوى الدعم المشار إليه ومن ثم استهداف مستوى 1.0935 مبدئياً والذي بدوره يحدد مصير استمرار الموجة قصيرة الأمد الهابطة الحالية. يبقى الاتجاه اللحظي الهابط قائماً لهذا اليوم ما لم يتم اختراق مستوى المقاومة 1.1225
مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين مستوى الدعم 1.0785 و مستوى المقاومة 1.1560

الاتجاه العام للسعر هابط نحو الأسفل بثبات مستوى 1.1870 و الهدف عند مستوى 1.0300

[za3eem]

الدعم1.06701.05901.05701.05001.0470المقاومة1.07451.08151.08801.09351.0980التوصيات بحسب ما ظهر على الرسم البياني أعلاه نحن نعتقد بأن بيع الزوج عند 1.0745 و الهدف 1.0590 و إيقاف الخسارة فوق 1.0815 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم

بعد إعادة اختبار مستوى الدعم المكسور (1.0805) حقق زوج الدولار مقابل الفرنك السويسري هبوطاً تدريجياً يحاول من خلاله أن يكسر مستوى الدعم الرئيسي 1.0745 حيث ننتظر إغلاق لأربع ساعات دون هذا المستوى لتأكيد الكسر ومن ثم مواصلة الهبوط الذي نتوقع أن يصل إلى مستويات 1.0670 كهدف أول والذي يمثل مستوى الدعم الرئيسي للقناة الصاعدة الحالية. نتوقع مواصلة الهبوط والضغط على مستوى الدعم المذكور في محاولة للكسر وتحقيق الأهداف التي تتمثل أولاً في مستوى 1.0590 ومن ثم بعيداً إلى 1.0365 مع الانتباه إلى اقتراب ظهور إشارة إيجابية على مؤشر ستوكاستيك قد تدفع بالزوج قليلاً إلى الأعلى. تبقى توقعاتنا بهبوط الزوج قائمة ما لم يتم اختراق مستوى 1.0880

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين مستوى الدعم 1.0570 ومستوى المقاومة 1.1160

الاتجاه العام صاعد نحو الأعلى بثبات مستوى 1.0570 والأهداف عند 1.2245

[za3eem]

تمكن سعر النفط من اختراق مستوى تصحيح فيبوناتشي 38.2% من خلال تداولات هادئة ميزت حركة النفط حتى الآن. لا زلنا نحتفظ بتوقعاتنا الصباحية والتي نتوقع من خلالها استمرار رحلة الارتفاع والتي تستهدف مبدئياً مستويات 66.40 ومن ثم 67.55 حيث يعد المستوى الأخير مفتاح استمرار الارتفاع قصير الأمد نحو الهدف الرئيسي حول المستوى 74.00 دولار للبرميل. تبقى فرص الارتفاع المتوقع قائمةً ما لم يتم كسر مستوى 61.30

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين مستوى الدعم 58.20 و مستوى المقاومة 67.55

الاتجاه العام للسعر صاعد نحو الأعلى بثبات مستوى 47.20 و الهدف يتمثل في مستوى 76.25








الدعم63.1562.5061.7561.3060.75المقاومة64.0065.0065.7566.4067.55التوصيات بحسب ما ظهر على الرسم البياني أعلاه نحن نعتقد بأن شراء النفط عند 64.20 و الهدف 65.75 و إيقاف الخسارة تحت 63.15 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم

[za3eem]

الدعم13.6013.5613.5013.4513.34المقاومة13.7713.8213.8814.1014.30التوصيات بحسب ما ظهر على الرسم البياني أعلاه نحن نعتقد بأن شراء الفضة عند 13.60 و جني الربح عند 13.88 و إيقاف الخسارة تحت 13.50 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم

ثبات التداول فوق مستويات 13.34 سبب اتجاها ً صاعدا ً قويا ًَ استطاع من خلاله السعر الاستقرار فوق مستوى 13.60 . ذلك سوف يفتح المجال لمزيد من الارتفاع هذا اليوم رغم التشبع الكبير في الشراء الظاهر على مؤشرات العزم إذ أنه على ما يبدو فأن أحجام التداول الشرائية العالية سوف تجعل السعر يصحح 38.2% من الاتجاه الهابط الموضح في الصورة أعلاه على أقل تقدير .

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين مستوى الدعم 12.98 و مستوى المقاومة 14.30

الاتجاه العام صاعد نحو الأعلى بثبات مستوى 10.95 و الأهداف عند 16.85

[za3eem]

الدعم950.00947.00937.00932.00927.00المقاومة955.00957.00961.00963.00969.00التوصيات بحسب ما ظهر على الرسم البياني أعلاه نحن نعتقد بأن شراء الذهب عند 950.00 و جني الربح عند 957.00 و إيقاف الخسارة تحت 945.00 قد يكون مناسبا ً هذا اليوم





ارتفاع كبير متوقع في السعر لكن دون إجراء أي تصحيح هابط و نحن ما زلنا نرى بأن الاتجاه الصاعد سوف يبقى قائما ً وصولا ً إلى مستويات تصحيح 61.8% عند 957.00 و هذا ما تم توضيحه في الصورة أعلاه .

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين مستوى الدعم 916.00 و مستوى المقاومة 963.00

الاتجاه العام صاعد نحو الأعلى بثبات مستوى 820.00 والأهداف عند 1035.00 و 1060.00

[za3eem]

The sterling has risen around 40 pips in the last hour to climb further against the Greenback from 1.6500 to break 1.6520 resistance and test July highs at 1.6545. Currently GBP/USD is trading around 1.6530/40, 1.17% above today's opening price.

The Pound is continuing, thus, with its recovery against Dollar from 1.6265, July 17 low.

George Clement, analyst at Swiss e Trade, comments that dollar is under pressure on the rallying stock markets: "The pound started strongly into the new week, now trading at 1.6505 and trying to attack the 1.6550 resistance line. We do not see this line being broken today, and rather expect downmoves from that line to the 1.6350 support zone."

[za3eem]

Forex: USD/CAD falls 1.10% on the day to post 1.1019 as fresh 5-week low



The greenback is falling further today's session against its Canadian rival to post the lowest level since June 12. After trading in a narrow range between 1.1060 and 1.1090 during the Asian session, USD/CAD has fallen around 70 pips in the European morning to break down the range and post 1.1019 as fresh 5-week low.

Currently the pair is trading around 1.1040/50, 1.10% below today's opening price.

USD/CAD has extended, thus, its decline from 1.1724, July 8 high and current 2-month maximum. Last week, pair collapsed 4.16% after opening at 1.1671 last Monday to close at 1.1160 on Friday.

Rajoo C, analyst at Precise Trader, comments: "The Hourly Oscillators are bearish but weak and price is moving away from the MA, so the bulls have to be Sidelined. As Suggested and expected the price is moving lower . The patterns on the 5min chart are in a range trading. Being the beginning of the week Cautious approach is needed . Conservative traders should look to be Sidelined and Aggressive traders should locking your profits and wait for re-entry."

[za3eem]

Daily

We are still in an ascending channel which is now getting squeezed towards the edge and the previous high (1.6756 – 1.6125). The Moving averages are mixed which means we have no trend. We are still making higher lows with the last being at 1.5983. We did break the ascending trend line on the MACD but are still holding in the buy area. The long term view is mixed

4HR

We had the break out lower from the wedge on the 2nd July. We reach the low at 1.5983. This was an impulsive move with the 20 SMA holding well. We are now in another ascending wedge formation. The top being at 1.6535, the bottom at 1.6343. We are still making higher highs and higher lows.

1HR

We had class A divergence on the 16th July with the chart making higher highs and the oscillators making lower highs. This was also around 61.8% retracement of the move down (1.6455) and the top of the channel. We did pull lower but have since rallied higher as we were unable to hold onto the trend. The Moving Averages are in order to buy. We are looking a bit overbought on the RSI.

Conclusion

If we get a clear beak of the wedge to the upside then I would look to 1.6626 as the next target. I do, however still favour a downward move with as this whole move up still looks corrective and being in a ascending wedge which is normally a reversal pattern. I would look for a break of the 20 SMA (1hr) and then a break of the wedge to the downside to trigger the next move lower.

[za3eem]

USD-CHF @ 1.0684/87...At a major Support zone
R: 1.0794-1.0809 / 1.0831 / 1.0872
S: 1.0670-54 / 1.0634 / 1.0590
Once the short-term channel support was broken at 1.0682, USD-CHF kissed the 61.8% retracement level of the rise from March 2008 low (0.9623) to November 2008 high (1.2282). The pair took support of 1.0655 and bounced back into the channel. Being close to the bottom of a ranged market, there seems to be an opportunity to buy around the Projected Max Low for the day at 1.0634. Below this we may look at the previous low of 1.0590 as an important Support.
On a bounce back, levels of 1.0726 may be seen which can lead to a rally towards 1.0794.


GBP-USD @ 1.6533/36...Targeting the upper end of the range (1.6200-1.6600)
R: 1.6566 / 1.6200 / 1.6758
S: 1.6480-6470 / 1.6394-6371 / 1.6350
Cable continued its upmove during the day and is now trading higher above 1.6500. If it continues to trade above 1.6500, we may see it rising towards 1.6600, the upper end of the range (1.6200-1.6600) in which it has been trading for some time. If the pair is to continue the range, we may see a pull back from 1.6600. However a break and further move above 1.6600 might see 1.6650-6675 on the upside.
On the downside a break below 1.6500 may pull the pair down towards 1.6400-1.6370 in the coming sessions. Support is seen at 1.6394 (21-MA on the 4-hr chart) and 1.6371 (21-DMA). A strong break below the Supports mentioned above and 1.6350 might increase the chances of a dip towards 1.6200, the lower end of the range (1.6200-1.6600).


AUD-USD @ 0.8120/25...At the end of major Resistance zone
R: 0.8134 / 0.8148-0.8157 / 0.8207
S: 0.8039-26 / 0.7962
The Aussie is still standing at the top of the Resistance zone of 0.8106-0.8116 after reversing from 0.8141 earlier today. It can be taken as a sign of weakness as the candles are formed with long upper shadows indicating selling pressure. If the Aussie gives into this pressure 0.8075 level may be seen in the US session.
If however the Aussie breaks above the zone 0.8106-0.8132, the previous highs of 0.8266 might be seen.

Happy Trading!

[za3eem]

Bullish Trend in Euro Extends

EUR
The pre-planned long positions from key supports have been implemented with overlap of minimal anticipated target. OsMA trend indicator, having marked close parity of both party activity, gives grounds to assume probable rate range movement with no clear choice of planning priorities for today. Hence and considering current bullish cycle of indicator trend, we can assume probability of rate return to close 1,4100/20 supports, where it is recommended to evaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of a shorter time interval. As for short-term buying positions on condition of the formation of topping signals the targets will be 1,4160/80, 1,4220/40 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1,4280/1,4300, 1,4340/60, 1,4400/20. The alternative for sales will be below 1,4000 with the targets of 1,3940/60, 1,3860/80, 1,3760/1,3800.

CHF
The pre-planned short positions from key resistance range levels have been implemented with overlap of minimal anticipated target. OsMA trend indicator, having marked falling of both party activity does not clarify the choice of planning priorities for today. Hence and considering probable rate range movement we can assume probability of rate return to close 1,0780/1,0800 resistance levels, where it is recommended to evaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of a shorter time interval. As for short-term sales on condition of the formation of topping signals the targets will be 1,0720/40, 1,0680/1,0700 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1,0620/40, 1,0560/80. The alternative for buyers will be above 1,0840 with the targets of 1,0900/20, 1,0960/80, 1,1020/40.

GBP
The pre-planned long positions from key supports have been implemented with achievement of minimal anticipated target. OsMA trend indicator, having marked relative activity rise of both parties does not clarify the choice of planning priorities for today. Therefore, considering rate movement above Ichimoku cloud favoring stronger potential of bullish party, we can assume probability of rate return to cloud border contained in 1,6300/20 levels, where it is recommended to evaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of a shorter time interval. As for short-term buying positions on condition of the formation of topping signals the targets will be 1,6360/80, 1,6440/60, 1,6500/20 and (or) further break-out variant up to 1,6560/80, 1,6620/40, 1,67,00/40. The alternative for sales will be below 1,6240 with the targets of 1,6180/1,6200, 1,6120/40, 1,6040/60.

JPY
The pre-planned break-out variant for buyers has been implemented, but a sign of rate overbought marked by OsMA trend indicator cannot be treated as a positive signal regarding further preservation of open long positions. Therefore, considering the given situation as not clarifying the choice of planning priorities for today we can assume probability of another rate return to Ichimoku cloud borders contained in 93,80/94,00 levels, where it is recommended to evaluate the development of the activity of both parties in accordance with the charts of a shorter time interval. As for short-term buying positions on condition of the formation of topping signals the targets will be 94,40/60, 95,00/20 and (or) further break-out variant up to 95,60/80, 96,20/40. The alternative for sales will be below 93,00 with the targets of 92,40/60, 91,80/92,00, 91,20/40.

[marwan]

السلام عليكم....................
الصورة المرفقة للصفقات التي تمت منذالافتتاح ...والتي تم اغلاقها

[za3eem]

• EUR/USD

July 20, 2009
Current level-1.4182

EUR/USD is in a broad consolidation, after bottoming at 1.2331 (Oct.28,2008). Technical indicators are neutral, and trading is situated above the 50- and 200-Day SMA, currently projected at 1.3064 and 1.3524.

The bias here remained positive and the pair is in a clear uptrend, well supported at 1.4145 and 1.4055 on the 4h chart. A break below 1.4092 is needed to confirm, that a top is in place and while the pair holds above 1.4145, the outlook remains bullish.



Key Market Levels MinorIntradayMajorIntraweekResistance1.42011.43371 .43381.4720Support1.41451.40921.38301.3425

• USD/JPY

Current level - 94.65

A short-term bottom has been set at 87.12 and a large consolidation is unfolding since. Trading is situated below the 50- and 200-day SMA, currently projected at 98.13 and 97.75.

The pair was unable to hold below 94.09 resistance and currently the focus is set on 94.88 again. If that level remains intact, we will expect a slide towards 93.20, en route to 91.72.



Key Market Levels MinorIntradayMajorIntraweek Resistance94.8895.5299.74101.42Support93.2191.6789 .6087.12

• GBP/USD

Current level- 1.6466

The pair is in an downtrend, after peaking at 1.6746. Trading is situated above the 50- and 200-day SMA, currently projected at 1.4778 and 1.5510.

Today's break above 1.6415 neutralized the bearish outlook and the pair is in a clear uptrend for 1.6547, well supported above 1.6460. We still expect a reversal around current levels, but in fact there are no signs of changing the direction yet and a break below 1.6375 will be the first sign, that a top is in place. Meanwhile, the bias remains positive with current support around 1.6460 and with critical level below 1.6374.



Key Market Levels MinorIntradayMajorIntraweekResistance1.65471.66631 .67461.70+Support1.64601.63751.57781.5352