توصيات ويندسور

[ابو حســام]

مبروك يا ابو حميد .. والله فرحتلك .. بالتوفيق يا غالي

والشكر بالطبع موصول لصالح .. بارك الله فيه

[saleh]

Daily Market Report 23/09/04 (Morning update)













EUR/USD – 09:00 (GMT+3) pullback off 1.2351, Tuesday’s low, reached 1.2223, though seen corrective of runup from 1.2120/25 double bottom. Immediate bounce followed extending gains to 1.2280 so far, with succession of new highs and higher lows keep further upside extension towards 1.2310/45 favored. Strategy: Buy at 1.2240. Target: 1.2310. Stop: 1.2210.



Res: 1.2280, 1.2310, 1.2338, 1.2345



Sup: 1.2223, 1.2210, 1.2185, 1.2165







USD/JPY – 09:00 (GMT+3) shy of 111.00/10 resistance following yesterday’s break out of 3 week range trade. Further gains are seen towards 111.20/50 area where a swing lower can be anticipated. Break below 110.20/00 warns of renewed short-term weakness. Strategy: Await signal, possibly look to sell.





Res: 111.00, 111.25, 111.50, 111.80



Sup: 110.40, 110.20, 110.00, 109.85







GBP/USD – 09:00 (GMT+3) yesterday’s rejection at 1.8015 triggered immediate pullback to 1.7875 ahead of recovery to 1.7940/55 area. Positive technicals favor further gains above 1.8000, though 1.8035/50 is expected to cap the upside. Strategy: Buy at 1.7890. Target: 1.7980. Stop: 1.7870.



Res: 1.7955, 1.7975, 1.8015, 1.8035



Sup: 1.7915, 1.7890, 1.7870, 1.7840





USD/CHF – 09:00 (GMT+3) reversal from 1.2775, 20 Sep peak reached 1.2521, previous 10 Sep low, ahead of sharp bounce to 1.2655. Fresh weakness reached 1.2585, setting scope for renewed bear test of 1.2565/40, possibly 1.2521 on break. Strategy: Sell at 1.2635. Target: 1.2540. Stop: 1.2660.





Res: 1.2625, 1.2660, 1.2685, 1.2702



Sup: 1.2565, 1.2540, 1.2521, 1.2510







EUR/JPY – 09:30 (GMT+3) probes 136.00 area following strong rally off 135.10/00. Scope is seen fur upside extension towards 136.40 ahead of 136.60/70, falling trendline drown from 139.08, 8 Mar high. Overbought conditions, however, warn of potential stalling ahead, while loss of 135.10/00 weakens. Strategy: Await signal.





Res: 136.10, 136.40, 136.65, 137.05



Sup: 135.70, 135.45, 135.10, 134.75







EUR/GBP – 09:30 (GMT+3) rally off 0.6780, 16 Sep higher low, stalled at 0.6870, followed by reversal to 0.6830. Potential is for deeper setback towards 0.6820 and then 0.6810/0.6799 where bulls should reassert. Strategy: Buy at 0.6810. Target: 0.6880. Stop: 0.6785.





Res: 0.6855, 0.6865, 0.6875, 0.6885



Sup: 0.6820, 0.6810, 0.6799, 0.6785







EUR/CHF – 09:30 (GMT+3) rallied from 1.5310, 3 Sep higher low to reach1.5515 last Tuesday, ahead of pullback to 1.5435. Potential is for further downside extension towards 1.5420/05 area while bounces into 1.5480/85 area seen corrective. Only lift above the latter may suggest base. Position: Short at 1.5480. Target: 1.5420. Stop: 1.5485.





Res: 1.5485, 1.5505, 1.5515, 1.5524



Sup: 1.5435, 1.5422, 1.5405, 1.5385







GBP/JPY – 09:30 (GMT+3) recovery from 193.60, 7 Sep low and lift above 195.00/197.90 keeps positive tone for further gains towards 199.00/35 area. However, gains above 199.35 are needed to negate bears and reclaim 200.00/201.00 zone. Downside loss of 196.75/50 would open way for retest of 193.60. Strategy: Stand aside, await signal.





Res: 199.35, 200.00, 200.70, 201.00



Sup: 197.75, 197.20, 196.90, 196.20







CRUDE OIL – 09:50(GMT+3) yesterday’s breakout of a 2 week ascending triangle breached 47.93, former contract high, extending gains to 48.65, new high. Immediate scope is set for upside extension to test 49.40 ahead of 50.00, psychological level, while 4 month rising channel defines bull trend. Corrective dips are seen into 47.20/00 and 46.45/40. Strategy: Await signal, look to buy.





Res: 48.65, 49.00, 49.40, 49.98



Sup: 47.50, 47.15, 46.95, 46.25





GOLD – 10:00 (GMT+3) recovery off 394.65, 8 Sep reaction low, extended above 406.75/407.50 former highs, to reach 410.20. Pullbacks are seen corrective while 403.40 remains intact, although regain of 407.60 is needed for renewed upside attempt towards 410.85. Position: Long at 402.20 closed at 406.00. Strategy: Await signal.





Res: 409.60, 410.85, 414.05, 415.50



Sup: 403.40, 402.00, 400.75, 398.65

[saleh]

Daily Market Report 24/09/04 (Morning update)











EUR/USD – 09:00 (GMT+3) eased off yesterday’s lower top at 1.2337 with subsequent lower highs threatening downside retest of 1.2225/10 support area. Needs to hold above the latter to maintain bulls for potential retest of 1.2337/51 tops. Loss of 1.2210 would trigger deeper setback. Position: Long at 1.2280. Target: 1.2340. Stop: 1.2250.





Res: 1.2295, 1.2310, 1.2340, 1.2351



Sup: 1.2250, 1.2242, 1.2225, 1.2210







USD/JPY – 09:00 (GMT+3) remains under 111.00/10 62% of 112.50/108.75 downleg following earlier 3 week triangle breakout and attempt at 111.00 failure. However, upside is seen limited by 111.25/50 zone as daily studies approach overbought. Further losses are seen towards 110.20/00 and eventual loss of the latter would trigger further weakness. Strategy: Sell at 110.90. Target: 110.20. Stop: 111.25.



Res: 110.95, 111.05, 111.25, 111.50



Sup: 110.40, 110.20, 110.00, 109.85







GBP/USD – 09:00 (GMT+3) extended gains above 1.8015 following earlier rejection and pullback into 1.7870/80 area. Clearance of 1.7990/1.8015 area sets scope for return towards 1.8035/65 initially, with possible extension towards 1.8090/1.8135 on break. Position: Long at 1.7980. Target: 1.8090. Stop: 1.7940.



Res: 1.8025, 1.8050, 1.8065, 1.8090



Sup: 1.7940, 1.7925, 1.7915, 1.7890







USD/CHF – 09:00 (GMT+3) decline from 1.2775, 20 Sep peak reached 1.1.2521 ahead of sharp rebound to 1.2655, to retrace over 50% of the previous fall. Holding below the latter keeps the downside in focus for retest of 1.2535/21 area. Only sustained break above 1.2655 improves. Target: sell at 1.2620. Target: 1.2521. Stop: 1.2660.



Res: 1.2620, 1.2660, 1.2685, 1.2700



Sup: 1.2580, 1.2540, 1.2521, 1.2510







EUR/JPY – 09:20 (GMT+3) upside attempt failure on approach to 136.50 falling trendline resistance, indicating potential bull exhaustion. Meantime, spike at 136.20 may pivot to further decline towards key 135.10/00 area with potential break below the latter opening way towards 134.50/40. Only lift above 136.50 delays for test of 137.00/10. Strategy: Sell at 136.20. Target: 135.45. Stop: 136.55.



Res: 136.00, 136.20, 136.40, 136.65



Sup: 135.55, 135.45, 135.10, 134.75







EUR/GBP – 09:20 (GMT+3) rally off 0.6780, 16 Sep higher low, stalled at 0.6870, followed by reversal to 0.6830. Potential is for deeper setback towards 0.6820 and then 0.6810/0.6799 where bulls should reassert. Strategy: Look to buy dips.



Res: 0.6855, 0.6865, 0.6875, 0.6885



Sup: 0.6810, 0.6799, 0.6785, 0.6778







EUR/CHF – 09:20 (GMT+3) pullback off 1.5515 retraced over 38% of the 1.5310/1.5515 rally at 1.5430. Potential is seen for deeper setback towards 1.5415/05 while 1.1.5483/1.5515 caps the upside. Break above the latter would trigger extension of upleg from 1.5310. Position: Short at 1.5480. Target: 1.5420. Stop: 1.5485.



Res: 1.5485, 1.5505, 1.5515, 1.5524



Sup: 1.5450, 1.5435, 1.5422, 1.5405







GBP/JPY – 09:20 (GMT+3) exetended gains to 199.75 following recovery from 193.60 and break above 195.00 and 197.90. Positive daily technical are supportive for fresh attempt higher to test 200.00 and then 201.45. Only loss of 197.00 sours the picture. Strategy: Buy at 197.50. Target: 200.00. Stop: 196.90.





Res: 197.75, 200.00, 200.70, 201.00



Sup: 198.30, 197.90, 197.20, 196.90







CRUDE OIL – 09:40 (GMT+3) pushed above 48.65, former high to reach 49.00, new contract high, ahead of sharp pullback to 48.10. This indicates immediate bull hesitation for further gains, while hurly pullback risk is seen towards 47.50/46.45 area before bulls reassert for fresh upside attempt towards psychological 50.00 level. Strategy: Look to buy.



Res: 48.65, 49.00, 49.40, 50.00



Sup: 48.00, 47.75, 47.50, 47.15





GOLD – 09:40 (GMT+3) bounce off 403.90 extended strength over 410.00, former high to reach 412.25. Scope is seen for further gains towards 414.00, 20 Aug reaction high and eventual break higher would open way towards 416.10. Downside remains protected by 403.40 and only break below there would concern. Strategy: Look to buy.





Res: 414.05, 415.50, 416.10, 417.75



Sup: 406.10, 403.40, 402.00, 400.75