كيف نعرف مواعيد سقوط عقود الاوبشن

[الجاويش]

اوبشن موعد سقوطها اليوم على السترليني واليورو
اوبشن موعد سقوطها اليوم
السترليني يشهد سقوطا لتركيبتين على ال 1.9900 وال 1.9950 في ال 15.00 جمت والثانية اكبر حجما من الاولى
اليورو دولار يشهد سقوطا لاوبشن على ال 1.4800 حيث ان السوق يتحرر منها بنفس الوقت

Posted on - 01:54:38 - Jan30

منقول من بورصة أنفو

السلام عليكم و رحمة الله وبركاته

أخوتي في الله أفيدون كيف يمكن أن نعرف بوقت كافي أن في زوج ما عليه عقود أوبشن عند سعر معين و معاد
سقوطها لما له من تأثير علي متاجرتنا اليوميه في الفوركس

و تقبلو مني وافر التحيه

[braveheart]

مشكور على المعلومات المهمة و ان شاء الله دايماً تفيدنا فيها

الاوبشين مهمة اخي العزيز اذ تحرك سعر السوق و خصوصاً اذا مؤلفة من محفظة كبيرة
على حسب فهمي اذا الاوبشن كان ان يصيب سعر معين فقد يدفعونه للاعلى او الاسفل اذا انقضت المهلة و لم يصيبوا الهدف فسةف يخسرون مراهناتهم
واذا كان الاوبشن ان لا يصيب سعر معين فسوف يضعون طلبات كبرى قبل هذا السعر لمنع وصوله لسعر المستهدف

هذا ما اعرفه و هو مسمى بال put and bet
وهذا الله و اعلم

[الجاويش]

مشكور على المعلومات المهمة و ان شاء الله دايماً تفيدنا فيها

الاوبشين مهمة اخي العزيز اذ تحرك سعر السوق و خصوصاً اذا مؤلفة من محفظة كبيرة
على حسب فهمي اذا الاوبشن كان ان يصيب سعر معين فقد يدفعونه للاعلى او الاسفل اذا انقضت المهلة و لم يصيبوا الهدف فسةف يخسرون مراهناتهم
واذا كان الاوبشن ان لا يصيب سعر معين فسوف يضعون طلبات كبرى قبل هذا السعر لمنع وصوله لسعر المستهدف

هذا ما اعرفه و هو مسمى بال put and bet
وهذا الله و اعلم

بارك الله فيك أخي الفاض

و كلامك ده تقريبا هو الي أنا فاهمه

لكن سؤالي أهم من فهم الأبوشن

كيف نعرف أن زوج معين عليه عقود أوبشن علي سعر معين ومتي تسقط بوقت مبكر..؟

فمثلا عند دخولنا علي أي زوج نقوم بالتحليل الفني حسب علم كل واحد و يحدد اتجاه الزوج
و يراجع جدول الأخبار ثم يراقب و في الوقت المناسب ينفذ قراره هنا قبل تنفيذ القرار
لو في وسيله تعرفنا عقود الأبوشن المعلقه علي هذا الزوج و متي تسقط سوف تكون تدعيم للقرار

الدعوه لكل الأخوه في المنتدي فالموضوع مهم للجميع و لمصلحت الجميع

[ابو لاما]

بصراحة انا مشترك في saxobank.com وهم بيزودوني باخبار الاوشنس يوميا مع الاسهم مع الفوركس شركة رهيبة بس لا انصح بفتح حساب معهم بس الاخبار بايييييي بالتوفيق

[ابو لاما]

اوبس قصدي اوبشن

[الجاويش]

بصراحة انا مشترك في saxobank.com وهم بيزودوني باخبار الاوشنس يوميا مع الاسهم مع الفوركس شركة رهيبة بس لا انصح بفتح حساب معهم بس الاخبار بايييييي بالتوفيق

بارك الله فيك أخي علي مشاركتك

بس احنا عايزين حد من الأخوه الأفاضل يرد علي سؤالي بالتحديد

[عبد المهيمن]

اوبشن موعد سقوطها اليوم على السترليني واليورو

اوبشن موعد سقوطها اليوم
السترليني يشهد سقوطا لتركيبتين على ال 1.9900 وال 1.9950 في ال 15.00 جمت والثانية اكبر حجما من الاولى
اليورو دولار يشهد سقوطا لاوبشن على ال 1.4800 حيث ان السوق يتحرر منها بنفس الوقت

Posted on - 01:54:38 - Jan30

منقول من بورصة أنفو

السلام عليكم و رحمة الله وبركاته

أخوتي في الله أفيدون كيف يمكن أن نعرف بوقت كافي أن في زوج ما عليه عقود أوبشن عند سعر معين و معاد
سقوطها لما له من تأثير علي متاجرتنا اليوميه في الفوركس

و تقبلو مني وافر التحيه

السلام عليكم

اخي الجاويش
انا يصلني كل يوم تقارير عن الاوبشن اعتقد هي ما طلبت
هي تصلني عن طريق وكالة رويترز

واليك ما وصلني اليوم حتى الساعة

انا لا التفت اليها لاني لا استطيع فك شفراتها

ولكن لو رغبت ممكن انزلها كل يوم اول باول حسب ما يصلني
إليك نموذج

17:13 GMT USD/JPY 1m 25 delta r/rev hit lower with spot still looking to press higher, though 107.50 continues to repel for now. The contract is now showing 2.5/2.9 JPY calls - we heard 2.8 trading earlier on today.

16:48 GMT Cable Expiries for today @ 1.99 and @ 1.9950 governed the pair for most of the day before a late move lower. FOMC and US nfp's buoyed all short dates and 1wk was paid @ 9.35 and @ 9.5 to close @ 9.5 mid. 1m was given @ 8.9 in the morning session as spot traded higher but closes the day @ 8.8/9.1 -just .05 softer from open. 2m is unchanged @ 8.8/9.0, with 8.9 heard to have traded in the morning. 3m is a touch firmer @ 8.7/8.95. 6m is 8.55/8.8 and the 1yr a touch below this. 1m r/rev's showing @ .35/.65 in favour of Gbp puts.

16:25 GMT EUR/USD vols are net unchanged on the day, with the 1m holding inside 9.0/9.3 limits. However, we did hear the atmf contract lifted @ 9.25 in the afternoon, with spot making a sharp u-turn to the downside after the ADP stats. Action on the rest of the curve was limited otherwise, with the big trade(s) of the day being the Fri and 1wk 1.50 strikes traded in the morning, from 16.0 upwards, with the total volume going through now said to be well past the 3 yeard mark.

16:00 GMT European FXO market close: In the morning, we saw some large buying of 1.50 strikes - predominatly for Fri, but also in the 1wk. However, the US data drew the focus later on, with ADP strong, but GDP weak. Vols have perked up as a result, as tonight's result draws further uncertainty.

15:53 GMT EUR/CHF Ends in middle of day's trading range. Swiss KoF leading indicators were weaker than expected but this had limited impact on a day when the market was fixated by the FOMC decision. 1wk opened a touch higher @ 6.5 mid and was paid @ 6.5 and @ 6.6.SNB's Jordan is due to speak tomorrow and Swiss pmi due on Friday. 1m, having been given y/day @ 5.6, was paid today @ 5.55 and closes @ 5.45/5.65. 3m is unchanged 4.7/5.0 with 6m fractionally better bid @ 4.4/4.65.1yr is steady from the softer opening @ 4.1/4.4.

15:30 GMT USD/CAD 1m vol has been given @ 12.0 today, with the spot recovery back into the middle of the .9900-1.00 range adding further weight to the front-end near term.

15:23 GMT USD?JPY 1m atmf vol higher again as the contract was earlier paid 13.2 to come back 13.0/13.4.

14:47 GMT USD/JPY O/N atmfs traded 18.5 recently - last 18.0/20.0.

14:31 GMT EUR/JPY spreads vs the USD have narrowed considerably in the last week or so - the surprise Fed rate cut last week, eventually having a positive effect on the stock markets. This saw the 1m spread narrow from circa 2.0 vols to 1.25 at present, though we expect the 1.0 vol mark to provide support in the near term. Outright levels (in the cross) show 16.0/16.6. In the mid to long dates, the 3m - 1yr spreads are currently around the 1.5 mark (flat).

13:59 GMT EUR/CHF vols have been coming lower over the past week as the cross traded higher. Last Wednesday the 1m was quoted @ 6.5/6.7 as the Chf showed signs of making further gains but as this threat receded so the vols were given and they opened today @ 5.3/5.6. This morning,offers at 5.55 and at 5.6 have been heard to trade and the market is currently quoted @ 5.5/5.6.

13:41 GMT EUR/GBP 3m has been trading again today. The activity began last Friday at the 8.2 and 8.3 levels and has seen ongoing action with the same levels trading again on Monday. Yesterday the tenor was given @ 8.2 and @ 8.1 and this morning 8.05 has been heard to trade. The market is currently quoted around that price.

13:12 GMT USD/JPY Spot has drifted to the upper end of the 106.00's, and this has leant on the implieds slightly. 1m atmfs have been given @ 13.1, with 12.9/13.2 last quoted here. 2m was said to have gone through @ 12.15 and 12.1, but holds 12.0/12.3 for now. 3m trades 11.45, also down from Euro am levels. Interest to buy 3m-ish 104.50's also noted, but not in any great amounts. 6m is now in to 10.3/10.55, while the 1yr is now 9.55/9.75 - 9.9 and 9.75 heard going through.

12:55 GMT EUR/USD 1wk has been bolstered slightly by the topside buying (1.50's) reported earlier on, but beyond here, there has been very little action/movement to report. 1wk atmfs are still up in the mid 10's at present - 10.5 heard trading a couple of times. 1m was marked in slightly to 9.0/9.3 very early on, and the market is still here at present. 2m is said to have gone through @ 8.95 - still 8.85/9.05. 3m is 8.6/8.9 - unchanged. 1yr 8.55 offered - a touch softer.

12:30 GMT N.American FXO market open: with the market not keen to take on any unwarranted risk ahead of the FOMC decision later today the FX markets have been reluctant to move too far as large option expiries in Eur/Usd @ 1.4780 and 1.4800 and in Cable @ 1.9900 and @ 1.9950 for today act as pivots. Very large buying interest seen in Eur/Usd options for a 1.50 strike for this Friday and in the 1wk. Short date vols open firmer across the board.

12:16 GMT Expiry issues 1wk falls just ahead of the BoE and ECB interest rate announcements out next week. 2wk now takes in the Riksbank rate call. 1m is now a Thurs, 28 Feb, while the 2m switches to a Fri, 28 Mar. 3m is now a Tues, 29 Apr. Data schedule In N.America, we have US Jan MBA mortgage apps at 12.00. Jan ADP hiring is the precursor to US payrolls (Fri), and is out at 13.15. US Q4 advance GDP is at 13.30. EIA weekly crude stocks 15.30. After this, the market looks to the much awaited FOMC rate decision, as usual, at 19.15.

12:00 GMT European FXO morning round-up: Large size buying of 1.50 strikes (Fri & 1wk) has dominated the morning session - said to be exotic related - but stil signals the near term risk. Large 1.9950 expiry in Cable doing a good job of capping spot for now.

11:51 GMT USD/CAD Vols were bid up y/day at the start of the N.American session, but front-end prices were soon hit, as downside spot momentum slowed, with the market briefly reclaiming 1.0000. 1m was bid and given @ 12.45, later trading down to 12.25. 3m traded 11.65. In the long dates, a 2yr vs 3yr atmf spread traded .1 over for the 2yr. Specific interest saw an 08 Feb .9750 traded 13.7, 13 Feb 1.0000's 13.0 and a 20 Mar .9800 @ 12.25 (100mln or so).

11:39 GMT EUR/NOK has edged higher again, on the back of the soft Norwegian retail sales figs. However, there has been little reaction to the vol curve as yet, with the 1m still showing an 8.2 offer. 1wk was market up to 8.0/8.75, but the bid is now sub 8.0 again. Most players now sitting the near term on the sidelines, waiting for the FOMC result, as the NOK has suffered on the back of stock market woes in the flight from the high yielders.

11:23 GMT EUR/USD Players reporting a large 1.4800 expiry for the NY cut today - this would explain the lack of any follow through from the large 1.5000 EUR call buying (Fri expiry).

11:09 GMT EUR/USD More on the Fri 1.5000's going through. Some players now reporting the overall amount as 2.5 yards in total. No more talk of the 1wk (1.5000) strike however.

[عبد المهيمن]

SuperDerivatives: The Benchmark for Options

ممكن تشوف هالموقع يمكن يفيدك اعتقد هو مختص بالاوبشن ايضا

[الجاويش]

السلام عليكم

اخي الجاويش
انا يصلني كل يوم تقارير عن الاوبشن اعتقد هي ما طلبت
هي تصلني عن طريق وكالة رويترز

واليك ما وصلني اليوم حتى الساعة

انا لا التفت اليها لاني لا استطيع فك شفراتها

ولكن لو رغبت ممكن انزلها كل يوم اول باول حسب ما يصلني
إليك نموذج

17:13 GMT USD/JPY 1m 25 delta r/rev hit lower with spot still looking to press higher, though 107.50 continues to repel for now. The contract is now showing 2.5/2.9 JPY calls - we heard 2.8 trading earlier on today.

16:48 GMT Cable Expiries for today @ 1.99 and @ 1.9950 governed the pair for most of the day before a late move lower. FOMC and US nfp's buoyed all short dates and 1wk was paid @ 9.35 and @ 9.5 to close @ 9.5 mid. 1m was given @ 8.9 in the morning session as spot traded higher but closes the day @ 8.8/9.1 -just .05 softer from open. 2m is unchanged @ 8.8/9.0, with 8.9 heard to have traded in the morning. 3m is a touch firmer @ 8.7/8.95. 6m is 8.55/8.8 and the 1yr a touch below this. 1m r/rev's showing @ .35/.65 in favour of Gbp puts.

16:25 GMT EUR/USD vols are net unchanged on the day, with the 1m holding inside 9.0/9.3 limits. However, we did hear the atmf contract lifted @ 9.25 in the afternoon, with spot making a sharp u-turn to the downside after the ADP stats. Action on the rest of the curve was limited otherwise, with the big trade(s) of the day being the Fri and 1wk 1.50 strikes traded in the morning, from 16.0 upwards, with the total volume going through now said to be well past the 3 yeard mark.

16:00 GMT European FXO market close: In the morning, we saw some large buying of 1.50 strikes - predominatly for Fri, but also in the 1wk. However, the US data drew the focus later on, with ADP strong, but GDP weak. Vols have perked up as a result, as tonight's result draws further uncertainty.

15:53 GMT EUR/CHF Ends in middle of day's trading range. Swiss KoF leading indicators were weaker than expected but this had limited impact on a day when the market was fixated by the FOMC decision. 1wk opened a touch higher @ 6.5 mid and was paid @ 6.5 and @ 6.6.SNB's Jordan is due to speak tomorrow and Swiss pmi due on Friday. 1m, having been given y/day @ 5.6, was paid today @ 5.55 and closes @ 5.45/5.65. 3m is unchanged 4.7/5.0 with 6m fractionally better bid @ 4.4/4.65.1yr is steady from the softer opening @ 4.1/4.4.

15:30 GMT USD/CAD 1m vol has been given @ 12.0 today, with the spot recovery back into the middle of the .9900-1.00 range adding further weight to the front-end near term.

15:23 GMT USD?JPY 1m atmf vol higher again as the contract was earlier paid 13.2 to come back 13.0/13.4.

14:47 GMT USD/JPY O/N atmfs traded 18.5 recently - last 18.0/20.0.

14:31 GMT EUR/JPY spreads vs the USD have narrowed considerably in the last week or so - the surprise Fed rate cut last week, eventually having a positive effect on the stock markets. This saw the 1m spread narrow from circa 2.0 vols to 1.25 at present, though we expect the 1.0 vol mark to provide support in the near term. Outright levels (in the cross) show 16.0/16.6. In the mid to long dates, the 3m - 1yr spreads are currently around the 1.5 mark (flat).

13:59 GMT EUR/CHF vols have been coming lower over the past week as the cross traded higher. Last Wednesday the 1m was quoted @ 6.5/6.7 as the Chf showed signs of making further gains but as this threat receded so the vols were given and they opened today @ 5.3/5.6. This morning,offers at 5.55 and at 5.6 have been heard to trade and the market is currently quoted @ 5.5/5.6.

13:41 GMT EUR/GBP 3m has been trading again today. The activity began last Friday at the 8.2 and 8.3 levels and has seen ongoing action with the same levels trading again on Monday. Yesterday the tenor was given @ 8.2 and @ 8.1 and this morning 8.05 has been heard to trade. The market is currently quoted around that price.

13:12 GMT USD/JPY Spot has drifted to the upper end of the 106.00's, and this has leant on the implieds slightly. 1m atmfs have been given @ 13.1, with 12.9/13.2 last quoted here. 2m was said to have gone through @ 12.15 and 12.1, but holds 12.0/12.3 for now. 3m trades 11.45, also down from Euro am levels. Interest to buy 3m-ish 104.50's also noted, but not in any great amounts. 6m is now in to 10.3/10.55, while the 1yr is now 9.55/9.75 - 9.9 and 9.75 heard going through.

12:55 GMT EUR/USD 1wk has been bolstered slightly by the topside buying (1.50's) reported earlier on, but beyond here, there has been very little action/movement to report. 1wk atmfs are still up in the mid 10's at present - 10.5 heard trading a couple of times. 1m was marked in slightly to 9.0/9.3 very early on, and the market is still here at present. 2m is said to have gone through @ 8.95 - still 8.85/9.05. 3m is 8.6/8.9 - unchanged. 1yr 8.55 offered - a touch softer.

12:30 GMT N.American FXO market open: with the market not keen to take on any unwarranted risk ahead of the FOMC decision later today the FX markets have been reluctant to move too far as large option expiries in Eur/Usd @ 1.4780 and 1.4800 and in Cable @ 1.9900 and @ 1.9950 for today act as pivots. Very large buying interest seen in Eur/Usd options for a 1.50 strike for this Friday and in the 1wk. Short date vols open firmer across the board.

12:16 GMT Expiry issues 1wk falls just ahead of the BoE and ECB interest rate announcements out next week. 2wk now takes in the Riksbank rate call. 1m is now a Thurs, 28 Feb, while the 2m switches to a Fri, 28 Mar. 3m is now a Tues, 29 Apr. Data schedule In N.America, we have US Jan MBA mortgage apps at 12.00. Jan ADP hiring is the precursor to US payrolls (Fri), and is out at 13.15. US Q4 advance GDP is at 13.30. EIA weekly crude stocks 15.30. After this, the market looks to the much awaited FOMC rate decision, as usual, at 19.15.

12:00 GMT European FXO morning round-up: Large size buying of 1.50 strikes (Fri & 1wk) has dominated the morning session - said to be exotic related - but stil signals the near term risk. Large 1.9950 expiry in Cable doing a good job of capping spot for now.

11:51 GMT USD/CAD Vols were bid up y/day at the start of the N.American session, but front-end prices were soon hit, as downside spot momentum slowed, with the market briefly reclaiming 1.0000. 1m was bid and given @ 12.45, later trading down to 12.25. 3m traded 11.65. In the long dates, a 2yr vs 3yr atmf spread traded .1 over for the 2yr. Specific interest saw an 08 Feb .9750 traded 13.7, 13 Feb 1.0000's 13.0 and a 20 Mar .9800 @ 12.25 (100mln or so).

11:39 GMT EUR/NOK has edged higher again, on the back of the soft Norwegian retail sales figs. However, there has been little reaction to the vol curve as yet, with the 1m still showing an 8.2 offer. 1wk was market up to 8.0/8.75, but the bid is now sub 8.0 again. Most players now sitting the near term on the sidelines, waiting for the FOMC result, as the NOK has suffered on the back of stock market woes in the flight from the high yielders.

11:23 GMT EUR/USD Players reporting a large 1.4800 expiry for the NY cut today - this would explain the lack of any follow through from the large 1.5000 EUR call buying (Fri expiry).

11:09 GMT EUR/USD More on the Fri 1.5000's going through. Some players now reporting the overall amount as 2.5 yards in total. No more talk of the 1wk (1.5000) strike however.

أخي عبد المهيمن بارك الله فيك و حفظك و رعاك

و أشكرك علي حسن التواصل و علي مجهودك الطيب

فعلا كمي تفضلت فتقرير رويترز شفره يفهمها متاجري الاوبشن و بالنسبه للموقع الاخر سوف أبحث فيه

بس الموضوع هو اني عايز أعرف في عقد أوبشن أوكي تمام عند كام و متي يسقط هنا الفائده لنا

تقبل مني فائق الأحترام و التقدير

[عبد المهيمن]

أخي عبد المهيمن بارك الله فيك و حفظك و رعاك

و أشكرك علي حسن التواصل و علي مجهودك الطيب

فعلا كمي تفضلت فتقرير رويترز شفره يفهمها متاجري الاوبشن و بالنسبه للموقع الاخر سوف أبحث فيه

بس الموضوع هو اني عايز أعرف في عقد أوبشن أوكي تمام عند كام و متي يسقط هنا الفائده لنا

تقبل مني فائق الأحترام و التقدير

عزيزي
سوف ارفق لك تقرير من ساكسو بنك اليوم او غدا
فيه اوبشنات العملات
اعتقد فيه الاسعار المستهدفة
ولو قارنتها بالشارت تلاحظ انها مقاومات ودعوم قوية جدا

سوف ارفقه لاحقا ان شاء الله

[الجاويش]

عزيزي
سوف ارفق لك تقرير من ساكسو بنك اليوم او غدا
فيه اوبشنات العملات
اعتقد فيه الاسعار المستهدفة
ولو قارنتها بالشارت تلاحظ انها مقاومات ودعوم قوية جدا

سوف ارفقه لاحقا ان شاء الله

بارك الله فيك هو ده الهدف و ياريت لو فيها معاد سقوطها

ليس بوسعي الا أن أقول

أللهم ظله تحت ظلك يوم لا ظل الا ظلك

[عبد المهيمن]

عزيزي
سوف ارفق لك تقرير من ساكسو بنك اليوم او غدا
فيه اوبشنات العملات
اعتقد فيه الاسعار المستهدفة
ولو قارنتها بالشارت تلاحظ انها مقاومات ودعوم قوية جدا

سوف ارفقه لاحقا ان شاء الله

السلام عليكم
أخي الجاويش
هذا ما وجدته لدى ساكسو بنك
اتمنى ان يفيدك في شيء

[braveheart]

مشكور يا اخ Abed_Almouhemen

و بالفعل مثل ما تفضلت و قلت ان مكان العقود و الهدف يكون هناك دعم و مقاومة شرسة
اذ هناك معارك ما بين البنوك و الموؤسسات لي هدفم اقل من السعر الحالي و بين لي اهدافهم اعلى
بس ياليت حد يشرحلنا ما ورد في المرفق و ما هي كل هذه العبارات المستخدمة

[عبد المهيمن]

مشكور يا اخ Abed_Almouhemen

و بالفعل مثل ما تفضلت و قلت ان مكان العقود و الهدف يكون هناك دعم و مقاومة شرسة
اذ هناك معارك ما بين البنوك و الموؤسسات لي هدفم اقل من السعر الحالي و بين لي اهدافهم اعلى
بس ياليت حد يشرحلنا ما ورد في المرفق و ما هي كل هذه العبارات المستخدمة

هلا اخي
توكل على الله انا بقرأ عن الموضوع كثيرا واي شي جديد سوف اذكره في المنتدى

[الجاويش]

بارك الله فيك أخي عبد المهيمن

و فعلا و نعم الاخ حيث الاصرار علي العطاء لفائدة أخوانك

و ياريت الناس في المنتدي يهتموا بهذا الموضوع الذي سيعطي لهم تفسيرات كثيره لما يحصل
معهم في الحاضر حيث هناك خلف الستار من يخطط لأهداف أخري أكبر حجما بدون مخاطره

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