اقتباس المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة ae_dxb مشاهدة المشاركة



سحر !!!

مادونا ماسونيه مثل وليام جان ودفن في مقابر الماسونيه

انا ولا مره تحدثت عن سحر

القوة السحرية واقصد بها

التناغم السحري بين الشارت وعقلي الباطن وهذا تحدث عنه مارك دوغلاس في كتابه التداول في المنطقة

طبعا الصور ربما توحي بالسحر و طبعا كلها مؤثرات سينمائيه وليست سحر حقيقي


طبعا أنا أستخدم العلم والمعرفه ولدي خبره وأعرف كيف أقرا الشارت


طول عمرك ،، هذه بورصه لاتخضع للعقل الباطني ،، وتفضل سر الفوركس

Why Technical Traders Fail The general premise of TA is that all information is contained in the chart. This is of course technically true, but the unspoken secret is that it only tells you what has already happened. The coin toss experiment and a real market chart look identical, because for the purposes of technical analysis, they are. As a TA practitioner, it is irrelevant WHY the prices moved as they did. Without that information, the core decision process relies on the probability of an event occurring. How are those probabilities determined? Through back testing of existing data! So what prevents the technical trader from back testing a 10,000 flip coin chart for recurring themes? Beyond the inherent understanding that a coin toss is truly random, nothing. Trading on the basis of probabilities is guaranteed, 100%, indisputably, without question, a losing proposition. Why? Because price can only do two things; move up or move down. 50/50. Once you account for the spread, it becomes 49/49 or worse. Over an infinite number of trades, your account will inevitably drop to zero just as it does in a casino. The post earlier where Captain Piptastic ran a test on gbp highlights this fact with all of his tests losing money once the spread was accounted for. Money management is irrelevant to a technical trader because in the end their dead anyway. Playing a 50/50 game, for every pip you increase the TP over the stop, you increase the chance of being stopped out proportionately. Going back to Captain Piptastics work, the “Ugly” winner sits squarely on the probability distribution curve even after optimizing the ratios. If more data was utilized, it would be easy to conclude that a return to zero equity would result at some point in the future. And that’s really the key point; money management can help you last long enough for luck to put some cash in your pocket, but if you continue playing, your going to give it all back in the end. Betting strategies don’t work in Vegas, and you shouldn’t expect them to bail you out of the market either. It comes down to: You’re either exploiting inefficiency in the market or you’re providing the liquidity for those that do. Everything else is a roll of the dice