بخصوص AUDUSD

[عملات 2010]

Bearish: AUD/USD has been bearish since the 1.0581 high on the year. It has come down and broken the 2012-low of 0.9580 before finding a bit of support at 0.9527. Still the market has lower lows and lower highs, so the bearish trend is intact. But we are seeing an extended bullish divergence with the RSI suggesting some consolidation ahead. There is also a new bullish divergence in the daily chart, adding to the case for a consolidation soon.

Pivots: If the market can push above the 0.9710 pivot, it would reflect a bit of consolidation taking place, but first only opening up to 0.9840. It’s too early to call it a bottom so expect rallies to be faded, but if the bearish attacks do not push to new lows, then we could be establishing a bottom. Otherwise, if the market holds below 0.97, we still have downside risk to 0.9386 before hitting the 2011 low, which is the low point of about 2 1/2 years of sideways action.

Fan Yang

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