اتفق معك عزيزى و ارى تصحيح أمامنا غالبا سببه جنى الارباح و الوصول الى مستويات ادنى للشراء مجددا خاصة و ان صعود الزوج أمس لم يكن نتيجة أخبار تدعمه بل كانت مضارباتاقتباس:
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة Abo Ibrahim
أرى التصحيح عند 105.50 و على السعر ان يتخطى هذا المستوى قبل الحديث عن 104
تحيااااااااااااااااااتى
فيديو : تقرير افتتاح فترة التداول الامريكية
الدولار يسيطر
http://vimeo.com/105640166
لا توجد بيانات مهمة يمكن التداول عليها لهذا اليوم
تحديث NZD/JPY
الزوج فى طريقة لمستوى 88.00 و هى مقاومة جيدة اذا ما وصل اليها اذا كانت دعم سابق
اذا نجح فى اختراق هذا المستوى سنرى 90.00 و اذا صمد المستوى سنرى 86.00
تم تفعيل أمر بيع NZD/CAD من 0.8977 وقف الخسارة عند 0.9037 ااغلاق نصف العقود عند 0.8947
و تحريك الاستوب الى نقطة الدخول و اغلاق باقى العقود عند 0.8825
تداول الأخبار لهذا اليوم
- قرار الفائدة للبنك النيوزيلندى _ لا نقوم بتداول أخبار الفائدة _ لا تداول
- نتائج مؤشر ثقة المستهلك الصينى _ الاخبلر الصينية يمكن أن تكون محرك قوى للسوق و لكن من الصعب احتوائها _لا تداول
- بيانات البطالة الاسترالية _ يصعب التنبؤ بها هذا الشهر و ذلك بسبب التباين بين المؤشرات الدالة عليه :
مؤشر أسعار المنتجين انخفض
مؤشر البطالة فى قطاع الخدمات لم يتغير
مؤشر الانشاءات صعد
Tonight is a BUSY one for the Australian and New Zealand dollars with the RBNZ rate decision and Australian employment report scheduled for release. Many of the major currencies are at key levels and these event risks could drive it beyond those rates. To take advantage of the potential volatility, we are laying out the following new pending orders. Please remember we are STILL long EUR/CHF but since it already hit T1, we can allow for 2 additional open trades before canceling the rest.
Place the following pending orders:
1. Place order to Sell NZD/CAD at 0.8977
Stop at 0.9037
Close 1/2 at 0.8947, move stop to breakeven
Close rest at 0.8825
2. Place order to Buy NZD/CHF at 0.7782
Stop at 0.7722
Close 1/2 at 0.7812, move stop to breakeven
Close rest at 0.7925
3. Place order to Buy EUR/AUD at 1.4228
Stop at 1.4168
Close 1/2 at 1.4258, move stop to breakeven
Close rest at 1.4450
4. Place order to Sell EUR/USD at 1.2835
Stop at 1.2895
Close 1/2 at 1.2805, move stop to breakeven
Close rest at 1.2675
***Remember, if 2 orders trigger without one hitting T1 first, all other orders are canceled
تسلم على هذا العمل الممتاز
On AUDJPY on M5 chart went LONG at 98.094 with Stops 97.944 and Take Profit 98.164
WHY ARE AUSSIE AND KIWI CRASHING DESPITE DECENT DATA?
September 11th, 2014
Market Drivers for September 11 2014
Australian employment shows massive upside surprise but market shrugs off data
USD/JPY runs through the 107.00 barrier
Nikkei 0.75% Europe .01%
Oil $91/bbl
Gold $1250/oz.
Europe and Asia:
NZD RBNZ keeps rates on hold
AUD Employment 121K vs. 14K eyed
CNY Chinese CPI 2.0% vs. 2.2%
EUR German CPI 0.0% vs. 0.0%
North America:
USD Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30 AM
The Australian employment report shocked the market to the upside printing 10 times greater than the consensus forecast, but after a knee jerk reaction higher the Aussie reversed all of its gains and was actually trading lower on the day as currency traders shrugged off the news as a statistical aberration.
Australia reported a whopping 121K gain in jobs versus 15K eyed with part time making up the bulk of that number at 106K. Still the full time jobs increased a very respectable 14K in August while the unemployment rate declined to 6.1% and the participation rate increased 65.2%.
Overall this was a blockbuster number showing much stronger than expected demand for labor across the board, but market took the data with a grain of salt. Two months ago the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported a job loss of more than 70K as they instituted a new methodology for calculation and today’s data appears that the department is still making adjustments to its new measuring techniques. To put today’s data in perspective it would approximately equal the creation of 1.5M new jobs in US in just one month’s time – clearly an unlikely event given the tepid global growth conditions.
Still today’s data indicates that the RBA is unlikely to change its neutral monetary stance towards any easing bias, and in fact if today’s numbers have a kernel of truth to them and the labor conditions continue to show marked improvement the RBA may once again switch to a tightening bias in order to curtail the excess demand in the booming housing sector. All of this suggests that sharp decline in AUD/USD – triggered in large part by speculative flows moving back to the greenback – could be coming to an end. The pair has dropped more than 200 point over the past few days but had found support ahead of the 9100 level and is likely to find even more buyers near the 9000 figure as bargain hunters come out of the woodwork.
Elsewhere in the region kiwi came under further selling pressure after the RBNZ left rates unchanged (matching market consensus) and announced that any further tightening will not take until the middle of 2015 at the earliest. The kiwi broke below the 8200 level in reaction to the news and drifted lower as the night progressed.
Both kiwi and Aussie have been the biggest victims of the King Dollar rally as the currency market gears up for the possible shift towards the tightening bias by the Fed and the concomitant rise in US yields. However, the Fed action if any is still a long way away, while the correction in both comm dollar currencies has been severe. Therefore as Aussie approaches 9000 and kiwi approaches 8000 both units will likely find much stronger support as the carry trade bargain hunter swoop in.
BKSWING -- NZD/CAD Sell at 0.8977 TRIGGERED Stop at 0.9037 Close 1/2 at 0.8947, move stop to breakeven Close rest at 0.8825
BKSWING -- Stopped out of NZD/CAD -120 on trade
EUR/JPY – Has It Found A Bottom?
SEPTEMBER 11TH, 2014
Fundamentals
The euro has been under selling pressure for the better part of two months, while USD/JPY has been in one way uptrend throughout the same time. The net result of this dynamic has been an uneasy truce in the EUR/JPY pair as it has bottomed out near the 136.00 level. But after having declined more than 1000 points the euro looks like it is basing as most of the bad news has already been priced into the pair. Indeed the decline in the euro could be one of the key drivers of rebound in the EZ as export demand picks up. We’ve already seen early evidence of improvement in German data and that could provide the pair with a much needed lift. In the meantime the USD/JPY pair looks to be a juggernaut as the market prepares for Fed’s eventual tightening and that is likely to keep the yen crosses bid providing more scope for a bounce in the EUR/JPY pair.
Technicals
After making a quadruple bottom at 136.00 level and now breaking above the 138.00 figure the EUR/JPY looks ready to make an assault on the 140.00 level. A break above there opens up the prospect of further move to 142.00. Meanwhile only a break of 136.00 would resume the bearish bias.
Here’s what we are looking for in tomorrow’s economic reports (Sept 12, 2014) -- Good Luck Trading!
1. Eurozone Industrial Production (5AM ET) No Trade -- Tough call. Sharp rise in German IP offset by slowdown in French IP
2. US Retail Sales (8:30AM ET) Bullish USD -- Potential upside surprise given strong rise in ICSC chain store sales and Johnson Redbook survey
3. University of Michigan Consumer Confidence (9:55AM ET) Bullish USD -- Potential upside surprise given rise in Investor Business daily’s consumer confidence index
BKSWING Order to Buy EUR/AUD triggered at 1.4228 Stop at 1.4168 Close 1/2 at 1.4258, move stop to breakeven
Close rest at 1.4450
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