EUR/USD
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EUR/USD
Bank of Portugal cuts growth forecasts
Portugal’s central bank lowered its 2014 growth forecast to 0.3% for 2014 compared to 1.1% in its March forecast. On the upside, its 2013 forecast was raised to -2.0% from -2.3%.
Meanwhile, the consensus of private forecasters is for a 2.7% decline this year and growth of 0.25% in 2014
EUR/USD –leveraged accounts ,Real money and Hedge funds noted Start offers building at 1.3180/00 in good size.
From Frankfurt - Desk
EUR/USD – CB(central bank) offers at 1.3190/00 More than 10M
BarCap, BNPP, DB, JPM & Others - Did BOE Carney Vote For More QE In July
USD/JPY - Bids in good size ahead of 99.00 from Japanese accounts looking to book profits on their shorts
USD/CHF – More Stops below .9400 beginning to clear
Repetition
Bank of Portugal cuts growth forecasts
Portugal’s central bank lowered its 2014 growth forecast to 0.3% for 2014 compared to 1.1% in its March forecast. On the upside, its 2013 forecast was raised to -2.0% from -2.3%.
Meanwhile, the consensus of private forecasters is for a 2.7% decline this year and growth of 0.25% in 2014
USD/CHF –Banks demand noted at 0.9360/50 in good size
Equities losing some ground here as funds square up ahead of tomorrow; S&P -0.58%; Dow -0.39%; Nasdaq -0.27%
Crude Oil slipping a bit as well: -0.33%
The volatility in markets is because the Fed no longer speaks with one mouth
In the FOMC press conference, Bernanke wasn’t speaking for himself, he was speaking for the consensus at the FOMC. If you watched carefully, you could see that he was uneasy about some of the things he was saying. The most revealing example was when Economists reporter Ryan Avent asked him about inflation.
RYAN AVENT
Wouldn’t you say that, even if you’re happy with the pace of labor market recovery, that, other things equal, this sort of inflation performance suggests that you should be pushing harder on the accelerator.
CHAIRMAN BERNANKE
I don’t disagree with anything you said. I think low — inflation that’s too low is a problem. It increases the risk of deflation. It raises real interest rates.
The conflict will likely be illustrated again tomorrow. Bernanke’s published statement is likely to speak for the entire FOMC, which would give it a more hawkish tilt and help the dollar. His Q&A will likely reflect more of his personal feelings and hurt the dollar.
Morgan Stanley: Buy USD/CHF at 0.94 with a 0.93 stop and 0.9970 target
أخواني الاعزاء جميع هذه الاخبار و التوقعات والتقارير تعتبر استرشاديه ويجب علينا ان
نعرف كيف نتصرف معها قبل المتاجره والهدف منها ان نعلم ما يدور بالسوق اول بأول
وليس دائما تكون السيناريوهات طبق الواقع حيث اننا نعلم ان واقع السوق متغير دائما حسب
الاخبار سواء السياسيه او الاقتصاديه وحسب توجه كبار المستثمرين بالسوق , وهنا اوجه
كلامي بالاخص الى الاخوه المبتدئين ان ينتبهوا الى هذه التقارير وان لا يتعاملون معها على
انها واقع 100% ولتكون لهم بمثابه الاسترشاد والتوقع وعليهم ان يقارنوها مع باقي التحليلات
ومن جميع النواحي قبل اتخاذ القرار بالمتاجره , اما الاخوه اصحاب الخبره و المحترفون فأعتقد
انهم سيعرفون كيف التعامل معها وفي الاوقات المناسبه لكي يستفيدوا منها ويعلموا ما يحدث
بالاسواق .
يعني مثلا هذا الخبر
EUR/USD – HSBC demand noted at 1.2980 in good size
From Singapore - Desk
ليس معناه ان السعر سيطير وسيتغير الاتجاه لان ممكن البنك يطلع بعد اخذ الاوردر بعد 10 او 20نقطه وحتى احيانا 5 نقاط تكون صفقات سريعه وبكميات كبيره .
خصوصا اذا كان هناك اتفاق مع فروع البنك في الدول الاخرى حيث يقوم فرع مثلا في لندن ببيع
كميات كبيره ويقوم نفس البنك بفرعه في سنغافورا بالشراء بسعر اقل بعد الهبوط بكميات اكبر وهكذا
وهذا على سبيل المثال وليس الحصر , وأرجوا الحرص بالمتاجره وكميه العقود.
ملاحظه : سأعيد هذه المشاركه بين فتره وأخرى لينتبه عليها الاخوان الذين لم يطلعوا عليها .
وفقكم الله جميعا ورزقكم خير الدارين ان شاء الله.
Repetition
Valid Till : 21.00 GMT
EUR/USD –leveraged accounts ,Real money and Hedge funds noted Start offers building at 1.3180/00 in good size.
EUR/USD – CB(central bank) offers at 1.3190/00 More than 10M
HSBC - Trading In A Jittery Market: Buy USD Dips Now
The ongoing USD sell-off provides a fresh opportunity for establishing long USD positions at better levels, says HSBC.
"In particular, we would favour buying it against the EUR, the GBP and the CAD. Gains versus the AUD are likely to be more modest, while we would expect the JPY and scandies to keep pace with the USD," HSBC advises.
HSBC retains its sell EUR-USD position, targeting 1.2450 with a stop at 1.3280.