== $ == Banks Orders Book == $ ==

Barclays Technical Research

EUR/USD
Despite the pullback in the Asian session, weakness is currently underpinned by 1.3230 support and this suggests a choppy return to 1.3375/1.3400 before potential topping signs. A break back below 1.3230 is needed to flip our view targeting 1.3100 instead.

USD/JPY
The uptrend paused as expected though we are reluctant to assume a stronger pullback than the 99.00/98.50 area. Dips into this zone are likely buying opportunities for a move to 100.90, then 101.50. Above 101.90 is needed to turn us more bullish.

GBP/USD
We are adopting a marginal bullish bias while price stays above 1.5700/25 and would look to buy dips. Targets are to 1.5850/1.5880. A break below 1.5700 would suggest a top and return to our medium term targets to 1.5430 and potentially 1.5100.

USD/CHF
With price holding above 0.9285, we are maintaining a bullish bias to the 0.95 handle. The small Doji posted yesterday also points to a small bounce with 0.9375 as a short-term bullish trigger.

EUR/JPY
The Doji candle from earlier this week resulted in a deeper than expected pullback through 132.00. This turns us neutral, allowing for a 131.50 to 133.40 range in the coming sessions. Overall, bullish risks remain for a test of 134.60 following a period of consolidation.

EUR/GBP
The Inside day posted yesterday argues for further weakness. Short term, bearish pressure remains beneath 0.8440 with a close below 0.8400 pointing to medium term downside to 0.8285 with 0.8365 as an interim target.

EUR/CHF
No change: We are looking for a break above trendline resistance near 1.2420 to confirm the upside traction is taking hold. Such a move targets 1.2465/1.2500 next. Short-term bullish while above 1.2350.

AUD/USD
A Key Bearish Reversal Day from resistance near 0.9350 and also ahead of the 100-day average at 0.9380 points to a near-term pullback. Targets are to 0.9115 and potentially 0.9000. A close above 0.9350 is needed to challenge this view.

NZD/USD
Overbought momentum readings while price stays below multi month range highs near 0.8165 argue for weakness. We expect a dip to 0.8000 and more aggressively to 0.7900. A close above 0.8165 is needed to change our view.

USD/CAD
We are turning neutral given the lack of bearish traction recently and the demand just above 1.0300. The risk is for a 1.0300 to 1.0400 range; we are allowing for a small bounce within range.

التقرير الكامل بالمرفقات

يالغالي تم البيع من

5862

5865

5866

الاستوب اغلاق واضح فوق 5900

والهدف 5600 بإذن الله . . .

اقتباس:

---

المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة Abo Abdullah

جمعه مباركه يالغالي عليك وعلى الجميع ان شاء الله , والحمد لله انت اليوم

فاضي لان انا اليوم طالع للبحر بعد قليل هههههه , صفقه حلوه للداو

و الاسترليني اتفقنا ان شاء الله البيع من هذه النقطه مع التأمين على الصفقه

بعد الدخول وبالنسبه للهدف يمكن نسيت تضيف بعد خمستين هههههه ,

اليورو انا راح اطلع منه اذا وصل اليوم 3210 والاسترالي كما هو

عند 9180 والكيوي ان متعلق فيه وراح اشوفله حل بعدين لاني

احاول ان اصفي جميع الصفقات قبل اخبار التيسير لاني غالبا الاسبوع الجاي

راح اكون متفرج لحد ما اشوف تأثير الاخبار وبيومين بعدها , والله المستعان

---

هههههههههه أجازة سعيدة ياغالي .

وبأذن الله تخرج من الاسترالي واليورو والكيوي على خير.

والاسترليني بداية الرحلة اليوم باذن الله . . . والخروج قبل الاجتماع اتفق معك .:0031:

UBS - S/T Outlooks

FX Technicals

EURUSD NEUTRAL
With the MACD threatening to cross above its zero line, focus on the critical
resistance at 1.3452. A close above which would be outright bullish
development. Support is at 1.3230.

USDJPY BULLISH Any downside should be limited as bullish conditions persist. Strong support is at 98.21 and 97.64. Resistance is at 100.61 ahead of 101.53.

GBPUSD BULLISH With the trending and momentum indicators pointing higher, potential is for more upside. Resistance is at 1.6027 ahead of 1.6179. Support is at 1.5777.

USDCHF NEUTRAL Critical support area is at 0.9147/30. Resistance is at 0.9341 ahead of 0.9456.

AUDUSD NEUTRAL
Resistance is at 0.9510. Only a close above this would be a major bullish
development and confirm the bullish sentiment. Support is at 0.9224 ahead of
0.9116.

USDCAD NEUTRAL There is a strong support at 1.0241, a close below which would be negative.Resistance is at 1.0365 ahead of 1.0436.

EURCHF NEUTRAL Resistance is at 1.2434 ahead of 1.2475. Support is at 1.2326 ahead of 1.2268.

EURGBP BEARISH Further selling pressure suggests more downside in the near-term. Support is at 0.8285 ahead of 0.8165. Resistance is at 0.8454.

EURJPY BULLISH Important resistance is at 133.80. A close above which would extend the strength to 138.49. Support is at 129.91.

*NOTE: The trend for each currency pair as defined in the table is determined by our proprietary model and is independent of our discretionary interpretation of price action

Source: UBS FX Strategy

Commerzbank - Daily Technical Analysis Research - Karen Jones

Interbank FX Wire

Flows were light overall
EUR/USD traded lower as offers in good size noted from 1.3380 to 1.34, including supply from real money and sovereign accounts
Bids from leveraged funds reported at 1.3320/30 with some stops seen beneath
GBP/USD was bought by an Asian central bank, but selling from real money names drove it sub-1.5920
Offers remain ahead of the 1.60 barrier option and banks also see good supply from corporates towards the big figure
USD/JPY saw good two-way flows keeping the pair in a tight range; stops are resting above 99.00 while large bids from Japanese names seen from 98.20 down to 98.00
An US name was a good buyer of AUD/USD and the offers at 0.9370 were well absorbed; bids from specs resting at 0.9320/30 with stops building below
A leveraged fund was noted seller of EUR/AUD

Technical Levels

EUR/USD has major resistance at 1.3400-20 and then 1.3450. Minor support lies now at 1.3320, better at 1.3280 and 1.3420, with the latter level now pivotal for bulls.

GBP/USD has support at 1.5900 and 1.5880 with stops building beneath the latter level. Topside, resistance ahead of the 1.60 barrier option and then 1.6050.

USD/JPY has minor support at 98.50, better demand seen at 98.20 and 98.00. Resistance at 99.20, 99.50 and heavy at 99.80.

AUD/USD has support at 0.9220 and 0.9150, while resistance lined up at 0.94.

NZD/USD support at 0.8130 and better at 0.8080. Stops beneath the big figure. Topside, resistance at 0.8220.

EU expected to make more GAINS

EUR/USD bias remains on the upside for gains to the 30-day upper Bollinger-band, now at 1.3441. A break above the 30-day upper Bollinger-band will unmask 1.3453, Aug 20 peak and then 1.3482, which is 76.4% of the 1.3711-1.2740 2013 range. The recent failure to break 1.3104, 50% retrace of the 1.2755-1.3453 up-leg, was the first warning sign that medium-term bulls were again in charge. The series of daily closes back above the 30-DMA has added to the upside potential. Note that daily momentum seems on the verge of turning positive.Martin.Miller at thomsonreuters com

GBP-USD: When Support Line Becomes A Resistance Line

EUR/USD

EU familar levels 1.3400 TOUGH resitance

Opens +0.32% after stalling at significant 1.3380/00 selling orders
Draghi reitterated that ECB will keep rates low for some time - little impact
At mid point of yesterday's range - suggests local order books will be sparse
Momentum studies & ma's show conflicting signals - Bolli's contract
Yesterday's 1.3298/1.3385 range initial sup/res - expect a tight Asian range

Interbank FX Wire

EUR/USD ran into solid offers from specs at 1.3380 and order books suggest the pair will struggle to break the 1.34 level, with more supply from leveraged names and corporates noted towards the big figure. To the downside, stops through 1.3320 and larger at 1.3275.

GBP/USD bounced off the 1.5915 level and rallied up to 1.5960, but selling from corporates prevented any further gains. More corp offers 1.5975-85 and supply from option players seen ahead of the 1.60 barrier option. Leveraged names have bids lined up at 1.5880 with a few stops accumulating beneath.

USD/JPY selling from real money names was offset by solid buying from US leveraged funds. The post-Empire Mfg dip to 98.65 was also bought by specs and stops above 99.00 were cleared. Banks note sizeable bids from Japanese names from 98.20 to 98.00, while offers are lined up at 99.20 with some stops resting above 99.25.

AUD/USD upside was capped by offers from Asian accounts that were lined up at 0.9380 and EUR/AUD buying from an US leveraged fund increased the pressure on the pair. Eventually, intraday stops at 0.9320 were cleared and no notable bids seen until 0.9250.

Dealers note that real money names bought USD/CAD in decent amount. Corporate offers seen above 1.0350, while corp and ACB bids are resting around 1.0280.

Technical Levels:

EUR/USD has support at 1.3320 and 1.33; a break below would pave the way for a test of 1.3250 support. To the topside, resistance at 1.3380 (intraday high), 1.3408 (Aug 23rd high) and 1.3450 (August high)

GBP/USD support lies at 1.5880; better at 1.5840 and 1.5775 (Sep 12/13 low). Resistance at 1.5960 (intraday high) and 1.60 (psychological level, barrier option).

USD/JPY support at 98.45 (intraday low, Sep 6 low) and 98.00. Resistance lined up at 99.30, 99.80 and heavy ahead of the 100.00 level.

AUD/USD has little support until 0.9280, then 0.9240 and 0.9220 (Sep 12/13 low) as major levels. Resistance at 0.9380 and 0.94, then 0.9450.

NZD/USD has solid support at 0.81 and 0.8060, while resistance remains at 0.8220 and 0.8250.

EUR/USD

UBS - S/T Outlooks

FX Technicals

EURUSD NEUTRAL Resistance is at 1.3386 ahead of the critical 1.3452. Support is at 1.3279, a breach of which would expose 1.3212.

USDJPY BULLISH Resistance is at 100.61 ahead of 101.53. As bullish conditions persist, any downside should be limited as to strong support at 98.21.

GBPUSD BULLISH Resistance is at 1.5963, a break above which would open the way to 1.6043.Support is at 1.5759.

USDCHF NEUTRAL Support is at 0.9225, a move below which would expose the critical area at 0.9147/30. Resistance is at 0.9313 ahead of 0.9368.

AUDUSD NEUTRAL
Resistance is at 0.9394 ahead of 0.9510. Only a close above this would be a major bullish development and confirm the bullish sentiment. Support is at 0.9203 ahead of 0.9084.

USDCAD NEUTRAL There is a strong support at 1.0241, a close below which would be negative.Resistance is at 1.0392.

EURCHF NEUTRAL Resistance is at 1.2434 ahead of 1.2475. Support is at 1.2326 ahead of 1.2268.

EURGBP BEARISH Further selling pressure suggests more downside in the near-term. Support is at 0.8285 ahead of 0.8165. Resistance is at 0.8454.

EURJPY BULLISH Important resistance is at 133.80. A close above which would extend the strength to 138.49. Support is at 129.91.

*NOTE: The trend for each currency pair as defined in the table is determined by our proprietary model and is independent of our discretionary interpretation of price action

Source: UBS FX Strategy

Deutsche Bank Spot Desk

EUR (Michael Ford)

Open 1.3343 Support 1.3320 1.3280 Resistance 1.3415 1.3450
EURUSD settles in on a 1.33 handle and feels content to wait here until the Fed tomorrow. Flows light with some Macros taking back shorts and some light Corporate selling. Order book still better supported but still overall light
ZEW this morning, US CPI and TICS data this afternoon
Small bias to be long here but really content to stay nimble until the Fed tomorrow

GBP (Michael Waugh Bacchus)

Open 1.5918 Support 1.5776 (low Sep12) Resistance 1.5963 (hi Sep16)
Once again Institutional Investor choose to buy pounds. The UK Government announced the start of the sell off of it's Lloyds Bank stake with up to 6 pct being offered to investors in a private placement.
CPI Inflation( 9.30 BST today) is likely to have moved closer to the Bank of England's target rate of 2 pct, forecast 2.7 pct , prior 2.8 pct.. Position wise i am still long a sterling basket, .

CHF (Christoph Milewski)

Open 1.2358/60 Support 1.2330 1.2290 Resistance 1.2380/1.2420
Open 0.9261/63 Support 0.92300.9190 Resistance 0.9290/0.9310
Even it sounds like a broken record, the x still trades very uninspired in well known 1,2320/1,2410 range and it does not look like we could see a break out soon, nevertheless we keep our longs on the longer run
Also usdchf trades rather sidelined and is waiting for the fed tomorrow, 0,9220-0,9300 should cover it for the day, flows very light in both pairs

AUD (Cameron McKay)

Open 0.9320 Support .9240 .9140 .9070 Resistance 9400
RBA minutes confirm that the hurdle for another cut has risen, and they are comfortable that they have done enough for now.
I am pretty neutral AUD after a spicy start to the week. AUD remains supported towards 9250, and failed close to 9400 yesterday as some panic SL buying on Summers withdrawal rattles some cages.
FOMC tomorrow, key focus, interesting how vol continues to compress, so seems the market is pretty content with a small taper, and even a more dovish FED.
I am short AUD, but not vs the USD, I have it v GBP and NZD. AUDUSD much more a range trade 9250-94.

NZD (Cameron McKay)

Open 0.8170 Support 0.8100 0.8160 Resistance .8350
NZD could not close above the 200 day MA, looks interesting technically.
Still think the dips will remain shallow, and if we get a dovish FOMC, expect NZD to be a benefactor.
AUDNZD will remain heavy, a lot of positioning was covered post RBA, and now market commitment to trade should increase.
I like selling this rally to 1.1400, SL through 1.1550 for move lower to 1.12. NZDUSD bullish whilst above 8100. Will re assess if get below that, as may prove that this is top of recent 77-82 range, rather than a break press higher.

JPY (Justin Gray)

Open 99.12 Support 98.45 97.80 Resistance 100.62 101.50-55
Open 132.29 Support 131.45 Resistance 133.80 135.00

USDJPY continues to find support under 99.00 with Japanese demand evident on the return of the local community after a Tokyo holiday yesterday.
Book-wise; Light bids on mid 98s. Very light int on upside.
FOMC tomorrow night is the highlight of the week. Locally, Trade number Thursday, and Kuroda to speak Friday.
Expect us to be relatively quiet now until FOMC. Overall like UsdJpy higher but risk light until we get further guidance from the FED.

CAD (Justin Gray)

Open 1.0328 Support 1.0270 Resistance 1.0365
Stronger Housing data in Canada has failed to inspire the loonie and we open mid range this morning.
Bearish price action in USDCAD should continue but expect progress to be slow as bids from importers contains the downside.
Expecting a quiet session ahead with FOMC in the sights.

Interbank FX Wire

EUR/USD rose up to 1.3368, but BIS selling capped the rally. Several banks report heavy offers from 1.3380 up to 1.3410, including supply from sovereign names and corporates. Bids are resting at 1.3320 with stops beneath.

GBP/USD was supported by buying from Eastern European names and specs ahead of the CPI data, but longs covered after the release came in line with expectations. Cable dropped to a fresh intraday low of 1.5885 on selling from an UK clearer, but was able to bounce. There are solid bids at 1.5880 and stops accumulating beneath., while offers are seen at 1.5950 and ahead of the 1.60 barrier option.

USD/JPY flows were light. Dealers note offers from Asian accounts resting at 99.40, while stops from short-term players seen through 98.70.

AUD/USD was sold by an custodian, but this was well absorbed. Offers at 0.9350 capping the rally at the moment, but stops above looking vulnerable.
Two German banks were noted buyers of EUR/GBP, but sizeable stops above 0.8410 are intact so far. To the downside, bids ahead of the 0.8350 barrier option.

Momentum funds were buyers of GBP/JPY in the early London session, pushing the pair above 158.00

Middle East names have been selling Gold and have offers clustered between 1320 and 1325

Technical Levels

EUR/USD has support at 1.3320 and 1.33; a break below would pave the way for a test of 1.3250 support. To the topside, resistance at 1.3380, 1.3408 (Aug 23rd high) and 1.3450 (August high)

GBP/USD support lies at 1.5880; better at 1.5840 and 1.5775 (Sep 12/13 low). Resistance at 1.5960 (Sep 17 high) and 1.60 (psychological level, barrier option).

USD/JPY support at 98.45 (Sep 17 low) and 98.00. Resistance lined up at 99.30, 99.80 and heavy ahead of the 100.00 level.

AUD/USD has little support until 0.9240, then 0.9220 (Sep 12/13 low). Resistance at 0.9380 and 0.94, then 0.9450.

NZD/USD has solid support at 0.81 and 0.8060, while resistance remains at 0.8220 and 0.8250