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حياك الله
التذبذب لقد وجدنا الحل باذن الله
اي تذبذب يحصل عند مقاومه او دعم فيكون اما لصالحنا او ضدنا
عند الدعم لا بد من الشراء اذا تم كسر السعر اي السعر وصل الاستوب ندخل بيع مضاعف
عند المقاومه نفس المبدء من بيع او تبديل الصفقة للشراء بعد الاختراق بشمعه ايضا
هذا الوضع يقودنا الى النظر الى فريم اكبر لمعالجة الوضع
يجب مراعاة انتظار الصفقة : كالصيد الثمين
وجب علينا استخدام تكتيكات المضاربة
تقريب الاستوب على منطقة الدخول بعد اول 25 نقطه
عدم تحريك الاستوب
وضع اوامر معلقة مع مراقبتها
مراعاة جدول البيانات اليومي
مراعاة الاتجاه العام للترند
موفق أخي
معك قلبا وقالبا وسنتفوق باذن الله تعالي
وجزاك الله خيرا ...
اسعد الله اوقاتكم بالخير
سنتكلم عن مؤشر الكامريلا في استراتيجيتي هذه(camarilladt7v11)
هذا المؤشر مدمج معه مستويات البايفوت من دعم او مقاومه
افتح شارت الساعه وانظر بداية اليوم وكيفية الاتجاه والتحرك
جميع مستويات المتاجرة عبر الكامريلا الناجحة
ولا بد من وجود ملخص متكامل عن هذا الموشر الناجح
فريم الساعة وحرية الاتجاه
المثال التالي هو لزوج الاسترليني
تذبذب الزوج في منطقة البيع وعدم الاختراق الواضح مع اختلاف المؤشرات في الاسفل
ما هو السيناريو للعمل
نضع خط فوق اعلى سعر وخط تحت اقل سعر شراء فوقه وبيع تحت والاهداف المستويات التي تراها امامك
ايضا ناتي لصفقات اسكالبنج البيع من المقاومه باتجاه الدعم والشراء ايضا من الدعم باتجاه المقاومه على فريمات الخمس والربع ساعه
كما يلي
موفق اخى الحبيب
مبروووووك ياااا غالي
بالنسبة للكاماريلا معروف انها تصدق مع ازواج الباوند والفرنك اكثر من غيرها
وثانيا الكاماريلا ايام التذبذب جيدة جدا. ولكن ايام الترند الواضح مثل هذه الايام لايحترمها السعر كثيرا وهنا الافضل الدخول مع كسر الهاي او اللو الاسيوي اذا كان متفقا مع اتجاه الترند.
ومتابع معك
تقبل تحياتي وودي
السلام عليكم
اسعى من سرد ملخص عن الكامريلا الى فهمها وافضل السبل للدخول
اليكم بعض السناريوهات لاساليب الكامريلا مع شرح - طبعا انجليزي- وسوف اقوم بشرح موجز لما يقولونه باذن الله
How to use advanced camarilla calculator
Look at the opening price for the stock/futures/commodities/currency.
There are various scenarios that can occur
Scenario 1
Open price is between H3 and L3
For Long
Wait for the price to go below L3 and then when it moves back above L3, buy. Stoploss will be when price moves below L4. Target1 - H1, Target2 - H2, Target3 - H3
For Short Sell
Wait for the price to go above H3 and then when the price moves back below H3, sell. Stoploss will be when price moves above H4. Target1 - L1, Target2 - L2, Target3- L3
Scenario 2
Open price is between H3 and H4
For Long
When price moves above H4, buy. Stoploss when price goes below H3. Target 1 - H5, Target 2 - H6
For Short Sell
When the price goes below H3, sell. Stopless when prices moves above H4. Target1 - L1, Target2 - L2, Target3- L3
Scenario 3
Open price is between L3 and L4
For Long
When price moves above L3, buy. Stoploss when price moves below L4. Target1 - H1, Target2 - H2, Target3 - H3
For Short Sell
When the price goes below L4, sell. Stoploss when price moves above L3. Target 1 - L5, Target 2 - L6
Scenario 4
Open price is outside the H4 and L4
Wait for the prices to come in range and trade accordingly.
Camarilla Equation And Methodology
Your views and comments on this are appreciated. I edited and retyped most of this material. It was available on the web. Feel free to make any comments. It is NOT my system/methodology but I have read about the Camarilla equation and trading method as being a "sure thing" so to speak. You be the judge:
CAMARILLA EQUATION
History
Discovered in 1989 by Nick Stott - a successful bonds trader - the Camarilla equation quite simply expounds the theory that markets - like most time series - have a tendency to revert to the mean. In other words, when markets have a very wide spread between the high and low of the day before, they tend to reverse and retreat back towards the previous day's close. This suggests that today's intraday support and resistance can be predicted using yesterday's volatility. [This doesn't sound like any sort of unbelievable revelation to me but I put it up here as per some reading I have done into it. There are some mighty claims surrounding its potential.]
THE ALLEGED EQUATION*
H4 = [1.1*(H-L)/2]+C
H3 = [1.1*(H-L)/4]+C
H2 = [1.1*(H-L)/6]+C
H1 = [1.1*(H-L)/12]+C
L1 = C-[1.1*(H-L)/12]
L2 = C-[1.1*(H-L)/6]
L3 = C-[1.1*(H-L)/4]
L4 = C-[1.1*(H-L)/2]
H* = Previous Day's high
L* = Previous Day's low
C = Previous Day's Close
*ALLEGED BECAUSE I FOUND IT ON THE WEB I DID NOT DEVISE IT
H* & L* ARE SUCH LETTERS ALONE - NO NUMBER FOLLOWING LIKE H4 OR L3 ETC
Trading with the Camarilla Equation
The Camarilla Equation involves trading both with and against the trend using simple rules based around price penetration of the L3 and L4 levels at the bottom of the days range, or the H3 and H4 levels at the top of the day's range. It relies on entering and exiting trades with the backing of major support or resistance. The positioning of these levels are determined by the equation. To use the Camarilla Equation, we need yesterday's open, high, low and close. The calculation then gives us 8 levels of intraday support and resistance. There are 4 of these levels above and 4 levels below yesterday's close. See equations above and charts below.
The important levels to note are the L3 and H3 levels, where you may expect a reversal to occur, and the L4 and H4 levels that shows you where a major breakout has been confirmed. How you enter a trade depends on the way the market opens.
HOW TO APPLY THE NUMBERS TO A TRADE
This applies to long or short trades – buying or selling. If the market opens between the L3 and H3 levels – below H3 and above L3 - wait for the price to approach either of these two levels. Whichever it hits first - L3 or H3 - determines your trade.
If the HIGHER – H3 - level is hit; go SHORT - against the trend - with the expectation that the market is about to reverse. Some traders recommend using the higher – H4 - level as your stoploss point, as a penetration up thru the H4 level actually shows that a major breakout may be under way.
A security consideration is to wait for price to bounce back down inside the H3 level before entering the trade. The logic here is that you will actually be trading with the – short-term – trend.
A LONG position is the opposite scenario: If the LOWER – L3 – level is hit; go LONG. In this case you could use the lower – L4 – level as your stoploss. To apply a safer trade here; wait for the price to come back up inside the lower L3 level, before going LONG.
IF the market opens outside the L3 or H3 levels
This scenario involves waiting for the market to move back up through the L3 level or down through the H3 level. In this case, you will be trading with current short term trend. Your stoploss could be the L4 or H4 levels if your account allows it or a lesser level based on current results while following this system. This is something that needs further observation to tweak. Taking profits for this system was not included with this document. I cannot suggest a profit level other than to base it on any other intraday profit level which appears viable based on current data. Using trailing stops after a 30 or 40 pip profit seems a good place to start with more volatile markets.
Research shows that these reversals from L3 and H3 happen as often as 4/5 times – 80% - during intraday trading.
Trading a breakout – L4 or H4 breached
If price rises above – or breaks through - the H4 level – go LONG – BUY
If price drops below – or breaks through – the L4 level – go SHORT – SELL
I also found these equations with regards to this equation. I know nothing about them other than what they are – again – allegedly for:
HL5 = (hi/lo)*close
HL4 = ( ((hi/lo)+0.83)/1.83 ) *close
HL3 = ( ((hi/lo)+2.66)/3.66 ) *close
LL5 = close - (HL5-close)
LL4 = close - (HL4-close)
LL3 = close - (HL3-close)
This is all I have on this -apparently - elusive system. My thoughts are that the concept is in no way ingenious. The concept is practical and moderately – out-of-the-box. It is clearly similar to pivot points with a different approach as per the calculations. Only testing will tell if it actually works. This is where you come in. I have dug-up the information and will do what testing I can. I ask that you do what testing you can and report your findings here.
Trading Breakouts with the SureFireThing Camarilla Equation
The L4 and H4 levels are actually phenomenally good 'breakout' levels themselves. If price pushes up thru the higher H4 level, the chances are it is going to keep on running that way. Our own research indicates that in such a breakout on the S&P, a move of up to 7 points can be expected, which is, as you will understand, a VERY significant proportion of a typical day's volatility.
Running with the breakout
As the original equation specified no levels outside L4, knowing when to exit the trade becomes highly subjective. This is where SureFireThing's '{b}' version of the Equation becomes useful, as the 'profit target' of the {b} version seems, in our experience, to be quite a good level to watch for the move to falter. Taking profits here might often be a prudent course of action, as once your money is off the table, the worst that can happen is that you earn some interest on it! Stoplosses, of course are also subjective - we find on the S&P that 2 points or less is usually sufficient. Once again, SureFireThing's '{b}' version supplies a suggested stoploss, which seems to actually be quite a good suggestion in our experience.
In this example from the FTSE (The UK equivalent of the S&P) on 1st July 2003, the breakout is clearly signposted downwards, as is the suggested profit target. This particular breakout uses the levels from the {b} version of the equation, which usually correspond quite well to L4.
Putting it all together
They say a picture is worth a 1000 words - below is a chart from 21st May 2003, showing what levels the Equation predicted (thanks to SureFireThing.com for permission to reprint this image) and what actually happened on that day.
A Classic Day.
As you can see, the market respected the H3 and L3 levels very well, and gave an opportunity to make a double digit profit on the day. Our research leads us to beleive that such opportunities are not, in fact, rare, but rather the usual state of affairs. Once again, thanks to SureFireThing for permission to reprint this image.نلتقي من يوم غد باذن الله وسوف اقوم بوضع الكثير من الشارتات
ارجو التوفيق
بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم
هذه بعض الامثله
ولكن النظر الى خط البويفت الاصفر تعطي دلالة الاتجاه سواء صعودا او هبوطا
هذه هي استراتيجيتي
1- فهم خطوط الكامريلا كمستويات واهداف
2- معرفة نقطة الدخول بالنظر الى هذه المستويات وموافقة المؤشرات
يوجد اسهل من هذه الاستراتيجية ولكنها ممتازة وسوف تحقق الامل المنشود باذن الله كما في خطتي التي ساسير فيها
الدخول للشراء :
صعود السعر من منطقةl3 long باتجاه خط البايفوت مع تغيّر لون المؤشرات الى الازرق كافة
وقبل ذلك ظهور نقطة المؤشر الابيض chanalprofit
الاستوب :تحت مستوى منطقةl3 long
ايضا راجع سيناريوهات التداول سابقا
الدخول للبيع
هبوط السعر من منطقة h3 short باتجاه خط البايفوت مع تغيّر لون المؤشرات الى الاحمر
احيانا يكون البايفوت فوق خط البيع دلاله قوية على البيع وكسر المستويات
واحيانا يكون تحت خط الشراء دلالة قويه للشراء واختراق المستويات
الاهداف كما في الشرح المنقول بالانجليزي من مواقع مختلفة
وسوف اكون شاكرا لمن يساعد في الترجمة والشرح معي
اسعد الله صباحكم وجعل يومكم ارباح
الاسترليني فرنك وفرصة الشراء حسب الشارت
وضمن السيناريوهات السابقة
تفضلوا
الاسترالي دولار
النيوزلندي دولار
اليكم الشارت
دخول البيع - سوف ننتظر اغلاق هذه الساه فاذا ارتد سوف ندخل شراء عليهما من منطقة 0.9850 والهدف الاول 0.9860 الاول و0.9880 الثاني
للاسترالي حسب احد السيناريوهات السابقه
او البيع ان كسر منطقة البيع
بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم
الاسترليني دولار حسب الشارت الان يتوجد في منطقة اختراق لمقاومة لها اليوم وبعد قليل ستظهر بيانات عليه
للشراء من مناطق 1.5820 وحتى 1.5850 باهداف 1.5900
الاستوب هي مناطق البيع من 1.5800 الى 1.5740
اليكم شارت
تحليل بناء على مؤشر الكامريلا
بالتوفيق والرزق الوفير