عودة الى ال Eur/gbp

الكلام ادناه منقول من احد المنتديات ...

SanFrancisco TG 22:36 GMT November 17, 2004
The economy which is most impressive to me is Great Britain. 2.7% unemployment and whopping homeownership. I don't see a housing bubble, perhaps some pull back, but thats it, and trade should be strong. From the long term perspective, as the US "weak dollar" policy concludes, and economic condition hopefully overrides geo-political unrest, Sterling could dramatically outperform the Euro as it is clear the Eurozone is not going to progress past a certain point of performance under current restrictive structural format. It may grow GDP by acquisition perhaps, but that does not equate to inherent performance or per capita wealth.

At the end of this cycle, if all things align, logic may dictate a long term Eur/Gbp sell position.


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Pecs Andras 23:02 GMT November 17, 2004
SanFrancisco TG 22:36 GMT November 17, 2004
I think you are absoltutely right. The rpesent EUR/GBP rate is just plain ridiculous. The last couple of weeks we have had some mixed UK data, but overall more positive than negative. On the other hand all the EZ data have been on the negative side, some really pathetic. Finally, the pound should enjoy a healthy yield advantage over EUR. And yet we are up at 0.7000 from the mid .65. This EUR bubble should collapse sooner than later


زبدة الحكي ان سعر الباوند مقابل الباوند لا يعكس واقع حال الجنيه الاسترليني .... حسب ما يشوفه المشاركان اعلاه ... فالمفروض والمتوقع هو ارتفاع قوي للباوند مقابل اليورو ...

مع ملاحظة ان الاتجاه العام هو تصاعدي في مصلحة اليورو ....

وهذا رد اخر يقدم سبب لاداء الباوند الغير جيد مقابل اليورو
shanghai bc 23:15 GMT November 17, 2004

TG -- Britain is doing fine except that they are in debt up to the hilt with very little savings..Sounds fartmilair to the current forex trend and focus..No wonder Pound is doing poorly in this round..It may take sometime before forex world changes the focus to growth issues rather than debt issues..Just the same as it will take sometime before the market realize they are wrong on speculating on RMB revaluation so soon..

من ملاحظتي لهذا الزوج فهو يتبع حركة اليورو/دولار و الباوند / دولار

فأذا انطلق اليورو مقابل الدولار وانطلق الجنيه الاسترليني بحدة اقل كان الارتفاع لليورو

واذا كان الارتفاع او الانخفاض بنفس النسبه فأن هذا الزوج يرتفع او ينخفض بنفس النسبه

واذا ثبت احد الازواج واستمر الزوج الاخر بالصعود او النزول تحرك معه هذا الزوج تباعا


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