مقاله مهمه عن الدولار الكندى

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السلام عليكم ورحمه الله

مقاله وجدتها فى موقع بلمبورج عن احتماليه لرفع فائده الكندى يوم 25

اعذرونى على الاطاله لكن حبيت اضعها كلها لعل وعسى يجد بها احد فائده تذكر

بالمناسبه .. انا تفأجأت انه من المحتمل رفع فائده الكندى هذا الاسبوع .لانى لم اقرأ اخبار هذا الاسبوع بعد. خاصه كانت فرصه على المقاومة 1500 .. ربنا يعوضنا خير منها هذا الاسبوع

http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news...d=amSEuqSTEAfI




Canada's Dollar Posts Weekly Gain on Prospects of Higher Rates


April 22 (Bloomberg) -- The Canadian dollar rose this week, approaching a 14-year high, on speculation the Bank of Canada will lift borrowing costs to the highest since September 2001.

Traders expected the central bank will lift its benchmark interest rate to 4 percent from 3.75 percent on April 25. It will be the sixth straight rate increase since September. The currency also gained as crude oil reached $75 a barrel and basic metals including copper and zinc rose to all-time highs, boosting the prospects of the world's ninth largest economy.

``If the central bank continues to raise interest rates, it will fuel the Canadian dollar to rise much faster,'' said Clement Gignac, chief economist at National Bank Financial in Montreal. ``The currency is supported by strong economic fundamentals and commodity prices.''

Canada's dollar advanced 1.3 percent to 87.92 U.S. cents this week. One U.S. dollar buys C$1.1374. The Canadian dollar traded as high as 88.10 cents on April 19; on March 2 it reached 88.49 cents, the highest since Nov. 21, 1991.

The central bank will raise the target rate for overnight loans between commercial banks a quarter point next week, according to all 29 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. The announcement is scheduled for April 25 at 9 a.m. Toronto time.

The Bank of Canada, after its rate-setting meeting last month, said ``some modest'' further rate increases ``may'' be needed. Bank of Canada Governor David Dodge on March 21 reiterated a ``modest'' increase in rates may be needed.

Growth, Inflation

The overall year-over-year inflation rate was 2.2 percent in March, equaling the number reported in February, Statistics Canada said in Ottawa yesterday. The number compared with a median forecast of 2.1 percent inflation by 16 economists in a Bloomberg survey.

Canada's index of leading economic indicators rose 0.6 percent in March after a revised increase of 0.3 percent a month earlier, Statistics Canada said April 19. It compared with the median of 0.3 percent by 11 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

``The Bank of Canada is data-dependent right now,'' said Ted Gould, a currency trader at Investors Bank & Trust in Boston. ``If economic data continue to be good, it will continue to raise interest rates. The Canadian dollar will strengthen.''

Canada's dollar also advanced this week as crude oil breached $75, while copper for delivery in three months reached a record $6,625.10 a ton. Zinc jumped to an all-time high of $3,270 a ton. Nickel rose to $19,200 a ton, the highest since at least 1987, when Bloomberg began recording the data.

Commodities account for 35 percent of Canada's exports and about 10 percent of its C$1.09 trillion ($950 billion) economy.

Gains Limited

Gould said gains in the Canadian dollar may be limited as the relative strength index, a technical gauge traders use to measure price momentum, which was 63 yesterday, approaching the level of 70 that may suggest the currency is poised to decline.

The relative strength index, or RSI, is a gauge that attempts to identify possible turning points in the direction of a currency's price by calculating the degree by which daily gains outpace daily losses over a given period, or the inverse. A reading below 30 indicates an increase in the currency's value may be in store.

``It gives such a signal that people may start to go long U.S. dollar and short the Canadian dollar,'' said Gould. A long position is a bet on a currency's rise, while a short is the opposite.

The yield on Canada's two-year bond fell 5 basis points to 4.07 percent this week. The price of the 3.75 percent bond due June 2008 rose 9 cents to C$99.36. Bond yields move inversely to prices.

The benchmark 10-year bond yield was little changed for the week at 4.45 percent. It touched 4.488 percent on April 20, the highest since 4.499 percent on March 23, 2005.

The 10-year yield has climbed from 3.72 percent on June 24, the lowest in the past year. The price of the 4.5 percent bond due in June 2015 fell 5 cents to C$100.35.

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