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الموضوع: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
- 22-11-2005, 07:03 PM #1
تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
Hello Everyone...........11/22.....10:55 AM EST New York Session..............
All our Entry Windows in Cable<>Euro<>Swiss and the Aussie are activated with Cable Stopped as the USDollar Index is meeting Resistance at its 92.24 current High. We will maintain Position in the Euro<>Swiss and Aussie with a new Buy Entry Window in Cable updated below as basing is occurring at a new Low in Cable with Euro<>Swiss and Aussie unable to break to a new High or Lows with the USDollar Index still unwinding Long Positions from the 92.50 High to Re-Position at the Resistance break at 90.45<>90.75 to build a Support for the next USD North move onto 94<>95.50.
The USDollar advanced to a test of 92 solely on the reaction to the ECB Chairman's clarification on Euro rate outlooks with the Market Pricing in a December rising to 2.25 and Chairman Trichet stating this is a one to possibly two time measure at this juncture which shows the ECB's intent on keeping rates contained with a lower Euro to spawn further EuroZone growth and to send a message to prevent further Euro appreciation beyond 1.20. This Corrective decline in USD is still intact with today's Low testing the neckline advance at 91.25 before Rallying back to 91.98 as further downside is Positioning. We will Position again to Buy Cable<>Euro and the Aussie and Sell the Swiss with updates below as the USDollar continues to weaken against the Majors with the Market's temporary Reversal today which is a false Signal of USD strength as today's moves were solely based on the ECB rate news to the European Parliament and not a Bull move in USD.
Cable...Gbp/Usd
Cable Buy Entry Window : 1.7090<>1.7115
Stops @ 1.7040...
1st Target Zones : 1.7230<>1.7275
2nd Target Zones : 1.7325<>1.7370
3rd Target Zone : 1.7430<>1,7480
Eur/Usd...
Euro Buy Entry Window : 1.1730<>1.1700
Stops @ 1.1650
1st Target Zone : 1.1760<>1.1800
2nd Target Zone : 1.1830<>1.1870<>1.1930
Aud/Usd...
Aussie Buy Entry Window : 7335<>7355
Stops @ 7295
1st Target Zone : 7400<>7420
2nd Target Zone : 7440<>7460
Usd/Chf...
Swiss Sell Entry Window : 1.3215<>1.3190
Stops @ 1.3270
1st Target Zone : 1.3160<>1.3130
2nd Target Zone : 1.31<>1.3075<>1.3030
3rd Target Zone : 1.3000<>1.2950
Iris
- 22-11-2005, 07:15 PM #2
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
اعتقد والله اعلم ان السناريو المذكور بالنسبة لليورو/ دولار تقد تحقق بالامس وانتهى التصحيح بعدم قدرته على كسر الترند الهابط اضافة لاخبار الفائدة الاوروبية اليوم واعتقد انه سيواصل مسيرته الى الاسفل
ولك كل الشكر
- 22-11-2005, 07:22 PM #3
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة splash
اتوقع بانه سوف يحد ث اليوم واليورو حاليا شكل قناه صاعده والله اعلم .
- 22-11-2005, 07:55 PM #4
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة ابوناصر
الا ترى معي اخي الكريم ابو ناصر ان هبوط اليورو وعدم اكمال طريقه الى الاعلى هو ارتباطه بالكروسات يعني بالنسبة لي والله اعلم ان الباوند لم يأخذ التشبع الكافي من البيع واليوم تشبع بيعا والله اعلم يعني بالمحصلة الا ترى معي الامور كلها متعلقة مع بعضها او بمعنى اخر قلة حركة اليورو وسرعة هبوط الباوند وعمل اقل لو له من مدة اسبوعين تقريبا والله اعلم
واتمنى ان استفسر منك عن موضوع الكروسات جزاك الله كل خير
يعني ما هي الكروسات الملاصقة لليورو والتي تؤثر عليه
وشكرا لك يا اخي
السلام عليكم
- 22-11-2005, 08:25 PM #5
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة ابوناصر
- 22-11-2005, 08:42 PM #6
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة Abdul
والله نتمنى الخير وان شاء الله تلقاه
بس حبيب قلبي الزوج الى الان متحرك 72 نقطة الهاي 1,1757 واللو 1,1685
وعشان يوصل 1,1870 يبيله 113 نقطة صعبة شوي
تسلم
- 22-11-2005, 09:00 PM #7
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة splash
عزيزي, لو كنا نتكلم عن الفترة الزمنية... فأنا أراها خلال هذا الأسبوع أو اللي بعده بالكثير إن شاء الله...
تقبل تحياتي...
- 22-11-2005, 09:13 PM #8
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة splashالسلام عليكم اخي سبلاش
يعني حضرتك هل تتوقع لليورو مستويات ادنى
واذا كنت متوقع ذلك, فالى اين سيذهب ؟
لكي يتضح لي الامر فقط
جزاك الله كل خير
لك تحياتي
السلام عليكم
- 22-11-2005, 11:09 PM #9
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة malek
عذرا علي التاخير والموضوع يبيله قعده فاعذرني في الوقت الحالي عن التفاصيل ولكن في اغلب الاحيان يكون حركه الكروس مع حركه السوق والله اعلم .
- 22-11-2005, 11:16 PM #10
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
الاخ Abdull حقيقة نقاط ممتازة وهي تجني الثمار في معظمها واود سؤالك هنا عن مصدر هذه المعلومات كي يستفيد الجميع مع تحياتي
- 23-11-2005, 07:36 AM #11
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
Hello Everyone...........11/22.....11:05 PM EST Asian Session..............
We've had two back to back days of Central Bank Policy posturing with the ECB's announcement on limited rate increases along with today's FOMC minutes showing concern with talk of rates being modulated as not to over tighten the US Economic expansion... what the Market will focus on is yield differential vs. GDP/Debt and Capital Flows which still favors the USDollar along with US Corporate repatriation thru the remainder of 2006. The ECB's challenge is continued Economic expansion with limited tightening to the FED's possible stop in upcoming meetings to bolster growth...the Bottom Line is ECB/2.25% to FED/4.25% spread going into 2006. All our Positions in Cable<>Euro<>Swiss and the Aussie are into sizable gains as the USDollar sold off on the FOMC minutes release were Position squaring also comes into play with the US Holiday as the Market has some interesting dynamics to analyze. With the USDollar testing the neckline Support at 91.25 of the advance to 92.50 the USD Corrective move is still active therefore we will Position again on 2nd Entry Windows to Buy Cable<>Euro and Sell the Swiss with updates below.
All our Entry Windows in Cable<>Euro<>Swiss and the Aussie are activated with Cable Stopped as the USDollar Index is meeting Resistance at its 92.24 current High. We will maintain Position in the Euro<>Swiss and Aussie with a new Buy Entry Window in Cable updated below as basing is occurring at a new Low in Cable with Euro<>Swiss and Aussie unable to break to a new High or Lows with the USDollar Index still unwinding Long Positions from the 92.50 High to Re-Position at the Resistance break at 90.45<>90.75 to build a Support for the next USD North move onto 94<>95.50.
Cable...Gbp/Usd
Cable 2nd Buy Entry Window : 1.7185<>1.7215
Stops @ 1.7130
Cable 1st Buy Entry Window : 1.7090<>1.7115
Stops @ 1.7040...Breakeven/Profit...
1st Target Zones : 1.7230<>1.7275
2nd Target Zones : 1.7325<>1.7370
3rd Target Zone : 1.7430<>1,7480
Eur/Usd...
Euro 2nd Buy Entry Window : 1.1780<>1.1805
Stops @ 1.1710
Euro 1st Buy Entry Window : 1.1730<>1.1700
Stops @ 1.1650...Breakeven/Profit...
1st Target Zone : 1.1760<>1.1800
2nd Target Zone : 1.1830<>1.1870<>1.1930
Aud/Usd...
Aussie Buy Entry Window : 7335<>7355
Stops @ 7295
1st Target Zone : 7400<>7420
2nd Target Zone : 7440<>7460
Usd/Chf...
Swiss 2nd Sell Entry Window : 1.3140<>1.3115
Stops @ 1.3200
Swiss Sell Entry Window : 1.3215<>1.3190
Stops @ 1.3270...Breakeven/Profit
1st Target Zone : 1.3160<>1.3130
2nd Target Zone : 1.31<>1.3075<>1.3030
3rd Target Zone : 1.3000<>1.2950
Iris
- 23-11-2005, 06:34 PM #12
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
Hello Everyone...........11/23.....9:50 AM EST New York Session..............
Our 1st/2nd Entry Windows in Cable<>Euro and Swiss are activated with the Aussie testing the 7400 level for which Exits of the 1st Entry Windows can be taken at the current/next Target Zone to protect the gains and let the 2nd Entries proceed to the next deeper Targets. The USDollar has weakened as anticipated with a Corrective decline forming back to Support at the Resistance breakout at 90.45<>90.75 levels where the 1st test of a base building will occur for a USDollar Index Rally onto 94<>95.50 as the FED rate hikes continue with a yield advantage and also the next and final round of US Corporate repatriation into Treasuries/USD thru the end of 2005. Our 2nd Entries are on the move for deeper 2nd/3rd Targets as the USDollar unwinds some of its current Long Positions.
- 24-11-2005, 04:13 PM #13
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
ماشاء الله الله يزيد ويبارك
- 29-11-2005, 08:23 AM #14
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة aalawee
- 29-11-2005, 08:25 AM #15
مشاركة: تحاليل أساسية مع نقاط الدخول...
Hello Everyone...........11/28.....11:23 PM EST Asian Session..............
The USDollar soldoff across the board today as the Market now begins to focus on the upcoming ECB rate announcement later this week along with further FED assessments in their upcoming mid December meeting on whether a pause is possible or continued hikes into 1st QTR 2006 as the 92.50 current High in the USDollar Index has proved firm Resistance that we have been focused on for a Correction over the last few weeks as today's US Housing data was the catalyst for the USD retreat ...along with the Market anticipating some USDollar Support Higher on US Corporate repatriation flows which did not translate into any Major Buying thus the Market Rallied/Soldoff to then Reverse again back to within our initial 2nd Entry Windows in Cable<>Euro and Swiss with the Aussie Rally over 100 pips from our Entry Zone into our Target. We will Re-Position again in Cable<>Euro and the Swiss in our prior 2nd Entry Windows below as the Corrective decline in the USDollar takes hold and the ECB rate news of a .25 hike looms on 12/1 and the Market factors the next Long Term Fundamentals to within the 1st QTR of 2006 as currently the USDollar Index Support will form around the 90.45/75 Resistance break for a North Rally onto 94<>95.50 upcoming.
Our 1st/2nd Entry Windows in Cable<>Euro and Swiss are activated with the Aussie testing the 7400 level for which Exits of the 1st Entry Windows can be taken at the current/next Target Zone to protect the gains and let the 2nd Entries proceed to the next deeper Targets. The USDollar has weakened as anticipated with a Corrective decline forming back to Support at the Resistance breakout at 90.45<>90.75 levels where the 1st test of a base building will occur for a USDollar Index Rally onto 94<>95.50 as the FED rate hikes continue with a yield advantage and also the next and final round of US Corporate repatriation into Treasuries/USD thru the end of 2005. Our 2nd Entries are on the move for deeper 2nd/3rd Targets as the USDollar unwinds some of its current Long Positions.
Cable...Gbp/Usd
Cable Buy Entry Window : 1.7185<>1.7215
Stops @ 1.7130
1st Target Zones : 1.7230<>1.7275
2nd Target Zones : 1.7325<>1.7370
3rd Target Zone : 1.7430<>1,7480
Eur/Usd...
Euro Buy Entry Window : 1.1780<>1.1805
Stops @ 1.1710
1st Target Zone : 1.1830<>1.1870
2nd Target Zone : 1.1930<>1.1970
Aud/Usd...
Aussie Buy Entry Window : 7335<>7355
Stops @ 7295...Exited.
1st Target Zone : 7400<>7420
2nd Target Zone : 7440<>7460
Usd/Chf...
Swiss Sell Entry Window : 1.3140<>1.3115
Stops @ 1.3200
1st Target Zone : 1.3075<>1.3030
2nd Target Zone : 1.3000<>1.2950
Iris
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