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  1. #1
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
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    280

    Post Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

    The Art of trading: Using Elliott wave as a compass

    Many years have passed since the creation of markets, trading and since the introduction of the Elliott wave Theory. The Reality is that for years traders have been trying the best way to get money out of the Market, which sometimes is easier than others. Trading, by concept, is an active style of participating in the financial markets that seeks to outperform traditional buy-and-hold investing. Rather than seeking profits from long-term up-trends in the markets, traders look for short-term price movements to profit in both rising and falling markets. It can sound very easy, but traders know that it is not easy and hence we believe understanding the oscillations is one of the keys to success for traders. Oscillation, by definition, is movement back and forth at a regular speed which can depend on the time frame and speed. As Humans, it is very hard to see the shortest cycles and with the addition of the High frequency trading, (is an automated trading platform used by large investment banks, hedge funds and institutional investors which utilities powerful computers to transact a large number of orders at extremely high speeds.) the Markets have become more predictable, but more in need of a map. Elliott wave Theory described the Market moves in sequences of 5 waves and pullbacks in 3 waves, but like I said the Markets have changed, and we believe now move in sequences of 5 waves and also 3 waves. Elliott wave provides the map, whereas understanding the sequences in different time frames will allow traders to trade as a High Frequency machine i.e. keep pushing the sequences until it completes. Of course, High Frequency machines are more powerful than the human mind but the concept is the same, locate the sequence, draw the map, and push it until the end. This concept is applied in Elliottwave-Forecast every day and allows us to stay on the right side and avoid picking the end of a trend which most of the times results in either losing to the trend or bad ratios in winners.

    The Market is made up of two sides and knowing the map and the right side is the key. Understanding that the right side sets a target and taking profit on it is also important, and when the pullback happens, knowing the higher sequence is also important to be able to look for continuation of the sequences and being able to adjust if the sequence is negated based on distribution. It may sound simple but there are limitations to it, we at Elliottwave-Forecast cover 52 instruments and we look at even more instruments to gain an edge through sequences and other things because sequences can provide the hedge and consequently draw the maps as well. However, remember we are humans and when we miss a move, it’s because our mind was not able to process the data enough to figure out the right oscillations. We have developed a concept which is very practical and think like a Machine i.e. push the sequence until it fails, nothing different than the high Frequency Machines which at the end rule the Market. So, in conclusion Elliott wave Theory can help you develop a map but rest it’s all about execution and understanding that adjustments are part of trading, combining the Instruments, Time frames and sequences is the path into a solid Plan.
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الاســـم:	SPX-sequences-20161010194151.jpg
المشاهدات:	143
الحجـــم:	98.2 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466209

  2. #2
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
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    تونس
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    280

    افتراضي

    AUDUSD Elliott Wave View : 5 waves move

    AUDUSD ended the correction in Intermediate wave (X) after reaching 0.7486 and then started rallying from there. With today’s new high the pair is showing 5 waves impulsive move from 03/09/2017 low and has already reached the minimum target area for Minutte wave (v) to end. The minimum target for Minutte wave (v) can be calculated as the inverse 1.236-1.618 Fibonacci extension of Minutte wave (iv) which comes at 0.7734 – .07753. Short term, an extension higher can’t be ruled out as there are still 2 other methods for calculating the 5th wave and one method of calculating (v) = (i) gives us a higher target around the equal legs area at 0.7765 – 0.7790. However, we need to be aware that cycle from 3/9 low (0.7486) is mature and pair can complete Minute wave ((a)) any moment and then start Minute wave ((b)) pullback in 3 , 7 or 11 swing to correct cycle from 3/9 low. After ending at least 3 waves pullback in Minute wave ((b)), we expect AUDUSD to find buyers for the next leg higher as it has a bullish sequence from December 2016 low due to breaking above 02/23/2017 high (0.7740).

    AUDUSD 1 H Chart

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الاســـم:	11AUDUSD 6020170318142037.jpg
المشاهدات:	91
الحجـــم:	89.9 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466218

  3. #3
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
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    تونس
    المشاركات
    280

    افتراضي

    USDJPY Elliott wave View: Ending impulse

    Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that rally to 115.48 on 3/10 ended Intermediate wave (X). Decline from there is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott wave structure in which the first leg wave A is subdivided in 5 impulsive waves. Down from 3/10 high, Minute wave ((i)) ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.195, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 112.88 and Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 113.56. Cycle from 3/10 high is mature and Primary wave A has enough extension to be called complete, but more downside towards 111.56 – 111.95 area can’t be ruled out to complete Primary wave A. Afterwards, pair should bounce in Primary wave B in 3, 7, or 11 swing to correct cycle from 3/10 high before the decline resumes. A break above proposed Minutte wave (iv) at 112.9 may be an early indication that Primary wave A has ended.

    USDJPY 1 Hour Chart 03.21.2017
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الاســـم:	1JPY-6020170320211958-1.jpg
المشاهدات:	63
الحجـــم:	95.2 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466238

  4. #4
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
    الإقامة
    تونس
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    280

    افتراضي

    USDJPY Elliott wave View: Near bounce

    Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that rally to 115.48 on 3/10 ended Intermediate wave (X). Decline from there is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott wave structure in which the first leg Minor wave A is subdivided in 5 impulsive waves. Down from 3/10 high, Minute wave ((i)) ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.195, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 112.88 and Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 113.56. Cycle from 3/10 high is mature and Minor wave A has enough extension to be called complete, but more downside towards 110.088 – 111.12 area can’t be ruled out to complete Minor wave A. Afterwards, pair should bounce in Minor wave B in 3, 7, or 11 swing to correct cycle from 3/10 high before the decline resumes. We do not like buying the proposed bounce in Minor wave B and expect sellers to appear when Minor wave B bounce is done in 3, 7, or 11 swing later for another extension lower.

    USDJPY 1 Hour Chart 03.22.2017
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الاســـم:	1JPY-6020170321212049-1.jpg
المشاهدات:	51
الحجـــم:	90.9 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466298

  5. #5
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
    الإقامة
    تونس
    المشاركات
    280

    افتراضي

    USDJPY Elliott wave View: Mature cycle

    Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that rally to 115.48 on 3/10 ended Intermediate wave (X). Decline from there is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott wave structure in which the first leg Minor wave A is subdivided in 5 impulsive waves. Down from 3/10 high, Minute wave ((i)) ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.195, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.71 and Minute wave ((iv)) is proposed complete at 111.59. Cycle from 3/10 high is mature and Minor wave A has enough extension to be called complete, but a marginal low towards 100 – 110.5 area can’t be ruled out to complete Minor wave A. Afterwards, pair should bounce in Minor wave B in 3, 7, or 11 swing to correct cycle from 3/10 high before the decline resumes. We do not like buying the proposed bounce in Minor wave B and expect sellers to appear when Minor wave B bounce is over in 3, 7, or 11 swing later for another extension lower.

    USDJPY 1 Hour Chart 03.23.2017
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الاســـم:	1JPY-6020170322211643-1.jpg
المشاهدات:	53
الحجـــم:	85.1 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466352

  6. #6
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
    الإقامة
    تونس
    المشاركات
    280

    افتراضي

    AUDUSD Elliott Wave View: Pullback in progress

    AUDUSD is showing 5 swings sequence from 12/23/2017 low after it managed to break above 02/23 peak so the sequence is bullish against Intermediate wave (X) low (0.7487). The pair did 5 waves impulsive move from 03/09 low in Minute wave ((a)) which ended at 03/23 peak (0.7749) and currently doing Minute wave ((b)) pullback that’s unfolding as a double three structure. We expect Minute wave ((b)) to complete in the blue box equal legs area (0.7571 – 0.7544) where AUDUSD can resume the rally for new highs or bounce in 3 waves at least. If the pair manage to get above (0.7683) high before reaching the inflection area then there is a chance that Minute wave ((b)) ended and the next leg to the upside started already. We don’t like selling the pair and expect buyers to appear in above mentioned area for new highs above wave ((a)) or a 3 wave bounce at least.

    AUDUSD 1 H Chart

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الاســـم:	11AUDUSD-6020170323204527-1024x533.jpg
المشاهدات:	48
الحجـــم:	125.9 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466403

  7. #7
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
    الإقامة
    تونس
    المشاركات
    280

    افتراضي

    USDJPY Elliott wave View: More downside

    We are taking the more aggressive view in USDJPY and calling the rally to 115.48 on 3/10 as Intermediate wave (B). Decline from there is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott wave structure with an extension in wave 3. Down from 115.48, Minor wave 1 ended at 114.46 and Minor wave 2 ended at 115.2. Minor wave 3 is extended and further subdivided into 5 impulse waves where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 114.49, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 114.82 and Minute wave ((iii)) is proposed complete at 110.714. Minute wave ((iv)) currently is in progress as a Flat Elliott Wave structure towards 111.7 – 112.3 area before pair turns lower in Minute wave ((v)) of 3. Afterwards, pair should bounce in Minor wave 4 and later on still see further downside to complete Minor wave 5 towards as low as 106.85 – 108.5 area. Bounces therefore are expected to be limited and shallow.

    If current bounce is getting too big, then as an alternate, the move lower in USDJPY from 115.52 high is unfolding as a zig zag Elliottwave structure where Minor wave A ended at 110.58 low with subdivision of 5 impulsive waves . Current bounce will then be Minor wave B to correct decline from 3/10 high (115.52) before pair resumes lower again in Minor C. This alternate view is the less aggressive view but still calling for more downside in the pair as far as pair stays below 3/10 high. In both views (aggressive and less aggressive), we don’t like buying the pair.

    1 Hour USDJPY Elliott Wave Chart

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الاســـم:	1JPY-6020170324005904-1.jpg
المشاهدات:	35
الحجـــم:	92.8 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466404

  8. #8
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
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    تونس
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    280

    افتراضي

    USDJPY Elliott wave View: Extension lower

    We are taking the more aggressive view in USDJPY and calling the rally to 115.48 on 3/10 as Intermediate wave (B). Decline from there is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott wave structure with an extension in wave 3. Down from 115.5, Minor wave 1 ended at 114.46 and Minor wave 2 ended at 115.2. Minor wave 3 is extended and further subdivided into 5 impulse waves where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 112.88, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 113.56 and Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.59, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 111.34, and Minute wave ((v)) of 3 is proposed complete at 110.077. Minor wave 4 bounce is currently in progress towards 111.27 – 112.02 area, which is 23.6 – 38.2 retracement of Minor wave 3, before further downside is seen to complete Minor wave 5 towards as low as 106.85 – 108.5 area. Bounce is expected to be limited and shallow.

    If the current bounce gets too big, then as an alternate, the move lower in USDJPY from 115.5 high is unfolding as a zig zag Elliottwave structure where Minor wave A ended at 110.077 low with subdivision of 5 impulsive waves . In this alternative view, current bounce will then be bigger as it’s a Minor wave B bounce to correct decline from 3/10 high (115.52), but still as far as pivot at 115.2 stays intact, pair should resume lower again in Minor C. This alternate view is the less aggressive view but still calling for more downside in the pair as far as pair stays below 3/10 high. In both views (aggressive and less aggressive), we don’t like buying the pair.

    1 Hour USDJPY Elliott Wave Chart 03.28.2017

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الاســـم:	1JPY-6020170327210352-1.jpg
المشاهدات:	38
الحجـــم:	85.2 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466573

  9. #9
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
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    تونس
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    280

    افتراضي

    USDCHF Intraday Elliott Wave View

    USDCHF decline from 3/7 (1.0170) high to 3/22 (0.9879) low could be viewed as a 5 swing move that we have labeled as Elliott wave ((a)). Bounce to 0.9960 was a three move and completed Elliott wave ((b)). Pair has since dropped to a new low below 0.9879 confirming the view that wave ((b)) ended at 0.9960. Decline from 0.9960 – 0.9809 was again in 5 swings and completed wave (i) of ((c)). Pair has already done 3 wave bounce to 0.9868 which could be all of wave (ii) and pair can now resume the decline in wave (iii). Pair doing small 5 waves from 0.9868 high will add conviction to this view but we would need to see a break below 0.9809 low to confirm wave (ii) ended at 0.9868 and wave (iii) of ((c)) lower is in progress. Until then, another push higher towards 0.9884 – 0.9901 area can’t be ruled out to complete wave (ii) as a double three w-x-y structure. In either case, as pair is showing an incomplete bearish sequence down from 3/7 (1.0170) high, we expect the bounces to fail below 0.9960 high for extension lower and in case of another push, expect the pair to find sellers in 0.9884 – 0.9901 area. This view remains valid as far as price stays below 0.9960 high. Ideal target for wave ((c)) lower to complete is in the region of 0.9684 – 0.9569 and we can see the pair turning higher from there in 3 waves at least.

    USDCHF 1 Hour Elliott Wave chart – Wave (ii) completed
    Pair showing small 5 waves from blue wave (ii) peak will add conviction to this view and a break below 0.9809 will confirm this idea.

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الاســـم:	USDCHF-1H20170328132305.jpg
المشاهدات:	35
الحجـــم:	96.3 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466583

    USDCHF 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart – Wave (ii) in progress
    Pair has already done 3 waves up from 0.9809 low and has minimum number of swings in place to call wave (ii) completed. However, while above 0.9809 low, another 3 swings higher and a test of 0.9884 – 0.9901 area can’t be ruled out to complete wave (ii) as a 7 swing structure before decline resumes. In either case, expect rallies to fail below 0.9960 high for extension lower in USDCHF.

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الاســـم:	USDCHF-1H20170328132232.jpg
المشاهدات:	36
الحجـــم:	99.1 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466584

  10. #10
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
    الإقامة
    تونس
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    280

    افتراضي

    USDJPY Elliott wave View: Ending a cycle

    Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that cycle from 3/10 peak (115.53) has ended with Minor wave A at 110.07. Decline from 115.53 is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott wave structure with an extension where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.19, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.59, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 111.34, and Minute wave ((v)) of A ended at 110.07. USDJPY ended cycle from 3/10 peak and correcting that cycle in wave B bounce in 3, 7, or 11 swing.

    Wave B bounce is unfolding as an Expanded Flat Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) ended at 110.82 and Minute wave ((b)) ended at 110.15. Minute wave ((c)) of B ideally ends at 111.13 – 111.42 area or 1.236 – 1.618 extension of Minute ((a)) and ((b)) and from the area, pair should then either resume to a new low or at least pullback in 3 waves. However, due to the nature of an expanded Flat structure, wave C of a Flat can extend even beyond 1.618 extension. In other words, cycle from 3/27 low ideally ends at 111.13 – 111.42, but can also extend a bit higher and still considered to be part of the same Flat structure starting from 3/27 low. The more important invalidation level therefore is the pivot at 3/10 high (115.53) and wave B bounce should unfold in 3, 7, or 11 swing and the bounce is expected to stay below 115.53 for the next extension to the downside. We don’t like buying the pair.

    1 Hour USDJPY Elliott Wave Chart 03.29.2017

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الاســـم:	1JPY-6020170327210352-1.jpg
المشاهدات:	32
الحجـــم:	85.2 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466630

  11. #11
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
    الإقامة
    تونس
    المشاركات
    280

    افتراضي

    USDJPY Elliott wave View: Flat correction

    Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that cycle from 3/10 peak (115.53) has ended with Minor wave A at 110.589. Decline from 115.53 is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott wave structure with an extension where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.19, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.7, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 111.59, and Minute wave ((v)) of A ended at 110.59. USDJPY ended cycle from 3/10 peak and correcting that cycle in wave B bounce in 3, 7, or 11 swing.

    Wave B bounce is unfolding as an Expanded Flat Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) ended at 111.48 and Minute wave ((b)) ended at 110.077. Minute wave ((c)) of B ideally ends at 111.29 – 111.65 area or 1.236 – 1.618 extension of Minute ((a)) and ((b)) and from the area, pair should then either resume to a new low or at least pullback in 3 waves. However, due to the nature of an expanded Flat structure, wave C of a Flat can extend even beyond 1.618 extension. In other words, cycle from 3/27 low ideally ends at 111.29 – 111.65, but can also extend a bit higher and still considered to be part of the same Flat structure starting from 3/27 low. The more important invalidation level therefore is the pivot at 3/10 high (115.53) and wave B bounce should unfold in 3, 7, or 11 swing and the bounce is expected to stay below 115.53 for the next extension to the downside. We don’t like buying the pair.

    1 Hour USDJPY Elliott Wave Chart 03.30.2017

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الاســـم:	1JPY-6020170329213040-1-1024x517.jpg
المشاهدات:	41
الحجـــم:	113.4 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466679

  12. #12
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
    الإقامة
    تونس
    المشاركات
    280

    افتراضي

    USDJPY Elliott wave View: Extended bounce

    Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that cycle from 3/10 peak (115.53) has ended with Minor wave A at 110.077. Decline from 115.53 is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott wave structure with an extension where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.19, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.59, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 111.34, and Minute wave ((v)) of A ended at 110.077. USDJPY ended cycle from 3/10 peak and correcting that cycle in Minor wave B bounce in 3, 7, or 11 swing.

    Revised view suggests that Minor wave B bounce is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) ended at 111.426 as 5 waves diagonal and Minute wave ((b)) ended at 110.96. Minute wave ((c)) of B is in progress as 5 waves and expected to complete at 112.31 – 112.63 area before pair resumes lower or at least pullback in 3 waves. As far as pivot at 3/10 high (115.53) stays intact, expect pair to extend lower or at least pullback in 3 waves once Minor wave B is complete.

    1 Hour USDJPY Elliott Wave Chart 03.31.2017

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الاســـم:	1JPY-6020170330212842-1.jpg
المشاهدات:	34
الحجـــم:	91.3 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466730

  13. #13
    الصورة الرمزية بورصة
    بورصة غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Apr 2015
    الإقامة
    مصر
    المشاركات
    61

    افتراضي

    if possible, can you check and analyse DFMGI ( Dubai finance market index )

    Thanks in advance

  14. #14
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
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    تونس
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    280

    افتراضي

    IBEX: Triple Three Elliott Wave Structure

    In this Technical blog we’re going to take a quick look at the past Elliott Wave chart of IBEX chart from March 22,2017 and we are going to explain the structure & see how the index continued the rally afterwards.

    IBEX 1 Hour March 22 London updated chart

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الاســـم:	IBEX-22-March-1-Hour-London-1024x533.jpg
المشاهدات:	37
الحجـــم:	114.5 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466847

    Above chart is showing Elliott wave Triple three sequence remains in progress within the cycle from 2/08 lows, in Minute degree and index was showing 9 swings bullish sequence from that cycle favoring more upside extension as far as dips remains above 9877 second wave ((x)) connector low (9877). Also the sequence from 9877 low looks to be impulsive rather then corrective, thus creating a possible Elliott wave zigzag structure was in progress. According to Elliott wave theory Zigzag is a 3 wave structure having internal subdivision of (5-3-5) swing sequence where internal subdivisions are labeled as A, B, C where A = 5 waves, B = 3 waves and C = 5 waves. This means that A and C can be impulsive or diagonal waves. Also the A and C waves must meet all the conditions of 5 wave structure, such as: having an RSI divergence between wave subdivisions, ideal Fibonacci extensions, ideal retracements etc. So our Strategy was to buy the Intraday Minutte wave (b) pullback from 50-764% fib ret area ( 10110-9991 ) blue box area for another extension higher in the index provided the pivot at 9877 low remains intact or for 3 wave bounce at least.

    IBEX 1 Hour March 31 NY Midday updated chart

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الاســـم:	IBEX-Blog-1024x517.jpg
المشاهدات:	34
الحجـــم:	105.5 كيلوبايت
الرقم:	466848

    Index found the buyer’s from the blue box area as expected & ended wave (b) pullback at 10110 low. Up from there index started the another 5 waves as expected in wave (c) higher & now should be ideally looking for 10545 – 10652 area next week and make a 3 wave pull back at least from there. We don’t like the selling but 10545 is the area for longs from 10110 to book profits and RSI divergence at the peak should stay intact for the 5 waves in (c) idea to remains valid. Note if it gets erased during the next high, then it could end up being a (w) – (x) – (y) triple three structure from 9887 low.

  15. #15
    الصورة الرمزية AlienOvichO
    AlienOvichO غير متواجد حالياً عضو المتداول العربي
    تاريخ التسجيل
    Jun 2014
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    تونس
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    280

    افتراضي

    اقتباس المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة بورصة مشاهدة المشاركة
    if possible, can you check and analyse DFMGI ( Dubai finance market index )

    Thanks in advance
    Hello
    I'll check it later on and give you an update.

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